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ICE phase-out delay

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grr666
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PostPosted: 10:46 - 22 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Like I said, why can't we have both? If those that want and can afford electric cars go ahead and buy them then
that's fine. Let's say about a third of ICE car drivers do just that, an approximate 30% reduction of ICE cars will
reduce the UK's contribution to global emissions down from about 1% to about 0.65% which has got to be an
improvement hasn't it? Smoke churning old bangers will disappear in exactly the same way Ford Sierras did
(once not that long ago one of the commonest cars on the roads) by just being worn out/crashed/rotted away. Only
the cleanest running ICE engined cars will remain anyway, with any new ones sold up to current Euro standards as
a matter of course.
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rpsmith79
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Joined: 31 Jan 2017
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PostPosted: 11:27 - 22 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

grr666 wrote:
Like I said, why can't we have both? If those that want and can afford electric cars go ahead and buy them then
that's fine. Let's say about a third of ICE car drivers do just that, an approximate 30% reduction of ICE cars will
reduce the UK's contribution to global emissions down from about 1% to about 0.65% which has got to be an
improvement hasn't it? Smoke churning old bangers will disappear in exactly the same way Ford Sierras did
(once not that long ago one of the commonest cars on the roads) by just being worn out/crashed/rotted away. Only
the cleanest running ICE engined cars will remain anyway, with any new ones sold up to current Euro standards as
a matter of course.


Exactly, if EV's are as good as they are cracked up to be, then there won't need to be a mandate to sell xx% of EV's by whatever arbitrary date, they should surely sell themselves, so give folk a choice for when EV's aren't suitable/affordable

As for the notion petrol station will simply vanish after the ban on pure petrol/deisel vehicles, hybrids will still be available after the 2035 cut off date, so there will still be a plentiful need for fuel long after 2035 (not to mention the millions of second hand fossil fuelled motors)
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Robby
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Joined: 16 May 2002
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PostPosted: 08:33 - 23 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Haven’t you just refuted your own argument by saying the old standard for laptop cells was replaced by better (smaller) ones? Development is then limited to improved cooling and chemical purification but the basic technology is frozen.


18650 is a size and voltage spec. They stopped being used in laptops because the form factor is too big. An 18650 cell is 18mm in diameter, so that won't work if you want a 10mm thick laptop.

The basic technology of lithium ion cells keep seeing incremental improvements, and has done for 30 years. That technology is used to create new cells, including new 18650.

So an 18650 made in 2010 is inferior to an 18650 made in 2020, even though they look the same. The technology is not frozen. It's why my car was available with a 30kwh battery in 2016, then the facelift model in 2019 came with a 40kwh battery that fitted into the same space.
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 11:02 - 23 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

From google - The most popular battery pack supplied by Tesla contains 7,104 18650 cells in 16 444 cell modules capable of storing up to 85 kWh of energy.

7000+ 18650 batteries in a car battery pack. Surely there has to be a better configuration for car batteries than that especially bearing in mind....

If one cell fails open, or shorts and causes the fuse wire to open, the usable pack capacity will drop about 1.4%, assuming no active recharge from the battery management system (BMS). If the cell fails as a partial short and pulls more current than the BMS can balance, the pack will ultimately fail.


From Tesla motors club.
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MCN
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PostPosted: 11:06 - 23 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
Absolutely the right thing to do. My Shell shares thank Mr. Sunak. Thumbs Up

In seriousness, as Nobby says, makes total sense to align with the EU.


It would have made even more sense to not to leave the EU after 46 years of heavy investment.

My idea was to remainer and bleat like a mofo until we had our way.

Or maybe elect proper diplomats to represent our concerns rather than the who-the-fuck-is-that crowd that we sent.

As far as can be seen after three years opted out. We are still kow-towing to Bruxxels and the Bastirts Thereon.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 12:01 - 23 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Conventional batteries are two plates separated by an electrolyte, normally a liquid (which is why "Solid State" batteries should be more exciting than they sound.)

Anyhoo, this usually translates to something like two sheets of metal foil with paper soaked in a chemical in between. The two common topographic configurations are flat packs (think phone batteries) and rolled up (18650, 217000.) Even old stuff fits these two camps: lead-acid batteries use a stack of plates side by side and the AA batteries in your TV remote are rolled up just the same as 18650s.

"Why use loads of round batteries? Seems like a waste of space." True but they're easy to make to a standard, transport, etc. - a known quantity - and when making a battery pack one can utilise the gaps in the stacks to pass a non-conductive coolant.

As to improvements it's true we haven't hit the limits yet but there is a theoretical limit to any system where gains are not possible. For example the thermal efficiency of a conventional 4-stroke petrol engine is 30% and there's no way past that. "But! But! I've made an engine that can do better!!!" fine, maybe you have but it won't be a 4-stroke it'll be something else (e.g. a turbine.)

AFAIK we're about half way there with Lithium Ion batteries. If a Tesla did 500 miles now theoretically the battery tech could be pushed to do a thousand. However as with anything, it get's harder and harder to squeeze in improvements as you approach the limit so expect the range increases to make smaller and smaller jumps as time wears on. Hopefully before we approach the limit something new will have come along like solid state batteries.

Ultimately, with both batteries and ICE, we're relying on extracting energy from chemical reactions and there's an upper limit even there. Don't worry though we still have nuclear fission, fusion and anti-matter if we need more Wink
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Robby
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Joined: 16 May 2002
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PostPosted: 12:45 - 23 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:


7000+ 18650 batteries in a car battery pack. Surely there has to be a better configuration for car batteries than that especially bearing in mind....


There are lots of different ways of configuring them. The Tesla system is pretty good, arranging the cell into modules so a cell failure will mean replacing a module, but not replacing the entire battery pack. There is also a cottage industry for fixing those broken tesla modules, replacing the one bad cell.

You could design it to have more modules, each containing fewer cells, but that means more parts and more materials - including a lot copper wire that can handle high current. This gets heavy and expensive.

Cell failures are fairly uncommon* too, otherwise the companies making electric cars would be drowning in warranty work. The battery management system is quite clever about keeping the cells happy. The battery in a mobile phone gets a much harder life.

*As far as I can see, similar frequency to major mechanical failure in a petrol car. Unlikely to happen to you, but something you will hear about happening to others. More likely in an older vehicle that hasn't been looked after.
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megaross
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Joined: 27 Feb 2018
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PostPosted: 07:54 - 26 Sep 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Can't say it fusses me, we'll still be able to buy petrol, probably til I'm dead. I'm perfectly happy with used bikes

New bikes are better at some things - they're easy to ride and safe and comfortable. In terms of character and pure joy of riding they've become stilted in my opinion.

Wonderful engineering in the light of restrictive legislation but in terms of how I feel riding a new bike vs an old bike?

Doubtless they'll tax it all to hell but what's new? Governments hate everyone who isn't a toff anyway.
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