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zx636
Scooby Slapper



Joined: 28 Jul 2004
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PostPosted: 14:08 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: oil. Reply with quote

Isnt it that the price of petrol is going up because of the demand for refined petrol not the oil itself. I believe the USA has the oil reserves but not the refined products and has lost a good percentage of its refining capacity. In the end its all a matter of supply and demand.
will the government help?? I doubt it although they have had a windfall in taxes due to the current cost, and could I suppose, if they wish reduce the tax.

I support the protesters 100% and with luck something may come of it.

As for those who believe the use of such fuels is bad for the enviroment then copy these protesters. Make a stand for what you say you belive in and dont buy such products. We all do our little bit for the envioment I hope.
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bazza
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PostPosted: 14:27 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've got a fuel protest for you truck-driving retreads - if diesel costs that much, try not overfilling your tanks and then slopping the stuff all over the roads/roundabouts...

You'll save a fortune.
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m99dws
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PostPosted: 14:37 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

I support the protests and won't be panic-buying filling pots and pans up. If I can't run the car, I can't take my daughter to nursery, so I will have to stay off work.
Either way I get paid.
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Rookie
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PostPosted: 14:48 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Projected figures show £1.20 a litre by October.

If the protest will stop this happening, I'm all for the inconvenience.
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John C
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PostPosted: 16:13 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
The books always have to balance, if duty on petrol is frozen again or even decreased, tax on something else will just go up!

Not true, they also have the option to simply cut spending.

The sensible option would be: lower fuel tax = less to spend = less subsidies for public transport.

Despite the fact that car emissions are negligible in the grand scheme of things, the government wants to look like it's doing something to 'save the environment', and has to keep the tree huggers happy. As such the above will probably not happen.
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map
Mr Calendar



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PostPosted: 16:29 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSRSparkie wrote:
...The sensible option would be: lower fuel tax = less to spend = less subsidies for public transport.....

IMO public transport in this country is a joke. We do not have an integrated solution. In Germany the train timetable is such they actually wait for the bus and vice versa. If they're running late they wait, there's flexibility built into the system. Over here with so many different companies each chasing their own performance targets it'll never happen without a drastic overhall.

To give you an example. On holiday the other week. Decided to take the train into Leeds. The only reason we didn't take the car was we didn't want to be searching for parking. Two adult and two children, around £18. Then the train was over 40 minutes late arriving. The cost of the petrol for the journey, including parking would have been less than the train fair and in the time the train was late we could have driven into Leeds.

Another example. A while ago went to visit my parents by train as without car and bike for the weekend. Bus journey to station then 3 changes of train, total time over 3 hours with the connections. Then had to walk from the station at journey end as no buses and no taxis (not even a phone for taxis). I know I can drive that journey door to door in just over 60 minutes.

...and you say the solution would be to spend less on public transport so their prices will have to rise Rolling Eyes Brick Wall

What's my incentive to use public transport when IMO it's this far out of whack?
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John C
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PostPosted: 17:13 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
...and you say the solution would be to spend less on public transport so their prices will have to rise

That's right. F*ck public transport, I despise it with a passion and hope never to get on bus or train ever again. I'd sooner walk.

They say look out for number 1, and right now number 1 would quite like petrol to be 80p / L.
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Kickstart
The Oracle



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PostPosted: 17:14 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

map wrote:
...and you say the solution would be to spend less on public transport so their prices will have to rise Rolling Eyes Brick Wall

What's my incentive to use public transport when IMO it's this far out of whack?


Why bother subsidising something so bad, irrespective of how efficient they are.

Currently buses get large fuel duty subsidies (think 35p a litre back, plus public transport is VAT exempt so no VAT on the fuel, even at current prices they are paying about 50p a litre). Trains are even worse. This money is just wasted. You may as well pour it down the drain for all the good it does.

When the fuel is subsidised but the vehicles are a pretty much fixed cost there is no incentive to (for example) run smaller and more fuel efficient vehicles during the parts of the day when passenger levels do not justify a large vehicle.

Spend the money on investments (such as integrated timetable system, substantial car parks at stations, etc) and it might be worthwhile. Current money is just wasted, hence the number of buses going round with virutally no passengers (or none at all).

As it stands public transport is expensive, dirty and no more fuel efficient than just using cars. And I suspect that to get the passenger numbers up would result in even lower occupancy levels for individual vehicles, reducing overall fuel efficiency.

All the best

Keith
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John C
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PostPosted: 17:51 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Spend the money on investments


Why even bother?

Who needs busses and trains anyway?

Now it's privatized let it be truly privatized. The government justified the financial benefits of selling the rail network off, so why should the government's (our) money be spent helping what are essentially businesses, and not public services. Best option, leave them to fend for themselves and they wont last very long, or be worth very much. Then make the whole system public again.

privatization sucks.
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instigator
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PostPosted: 18:23 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Apart from using the bike for fun or even for getting to work, the price of fuel doesn't really effect me as I get travelling expenses, for a 70 mile commute, if I've done under 4000 miles in total, I get £28 a day. Once it steps over 4000, it's down to roughly £15.

I do wonder how this is going to hit companies who issue out fuel cards....Thinking As I'm looking forward to mine.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 18:38 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSRSparkie wrote:
Why even bother?

Who needs busses and trains anyway?


Same reason money should be spent on the road infrastructure.

For much of the country public transport is fairly useless. However for getting in to the centre of London trains are very heavily used (buses and cars carry about the same numbers, but both dwarfed by the number using trains).

Let them work where they make sense, but the current subsidies are about as effective at sorting out the system as giving free heroin with no strings attached is to sorting out a junkee who does not want to give up.

All the best

Keith
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Dan 4RR
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PostPosted: 18:57 - 07 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Siggi wrote:
Hopefully you're a hot babe who's up for some recreational sex. Thumbs Up Laughing
Sorry to disappoint you, but I'm all man. But I totally agree with you about the petrol prices. Thumbs Up
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kal9001
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PostPosted: 00:45 - 08 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Right i dont know if this point has been made beofre but it gives meannother chance to pointout this VERY serious situation

a previous poster said that no new refineries have been built for a very long time, Oil companies are mergeing like crazy. what does that tell you about the market...what do they know we dont...

Oil will not last forever "we are a long way from running out of oil" true it will probably be annother60 years before we totaly run out of oil, but are anyof you aware of "peak oil"
its a very simple concept, basicley, when the planets total oil supply reaches 50% (roughley) then globa oil production will "peak"
simple mental diagram for you.
your hand is a oil well, and a huge tray of maggots infront of you is the oil supply, when you start ou can chuck them out in great big handfulls, but once there are few left you have to start picking them out...oil is the same, once we reach that level oil extraction will slow.if that slows refineries will slow then we are all fucked.

now there will also be some people who think that rasing prices wont mean much for them.
we have prices slowley rising now, the effect of this is people are slowley getting poorer, now when peopl get poorer they tent to spend less in shops and so on, but as petrol is neccecery then we cant squander that,so we sacrifice other things, those companies then loose money. so it has to reduce its size, or lay off staff hold that thaught

DHL a ditrubution company is faced with increcing prices of its deasil, so it has to rase its prices, OR lay off staff. now if it does the former then comapny A as mention erlier will have topay more for its deliveries...wich makes its low sales even more of a problem...when it goesoutof buisness as theres no money,it loosesall the staff who cant buy anymore stuff thus spread the problem to more places, AND DHL who lost a contract, thus money wich makes its problem even worse
wich in turn slowley eats away at our economy, untill we are all fucked...
and the worst thing is, lostof high power people KNOW this will happen, BUT in our capitalist world noone will do anythingwhile there is still money to be made! so when the problem gest that bad that we realise we need to do something then we will all be too poor toafford alternative energy.
also consider by this point DHL and other companies will be ether out of buisness or so crippeld they are unable to deploy and provide the new technology.

this is a VERY big problem, and noone seems to be bothers pureley cos there are currentley no symptoms, other then the obvious cause - high oil prices...

and annother point, we know what the Americans are like, look at iraq, look at the thing going off ATM...what theirculture does when its desperate...so when things get realy rough and america is faced with not being able to fuel their 3 SUV's per person then who do you think will end up worse off when they comelookingfor more oil...us or them...a US cenetor of some kind a few yeasr ago allready admited that planshad been drawn up for the US to"secure resources by force" to ensure that the american lifestyle can be upheld...
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Kickstart
The Oracle



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PostPosted: 01:00 - 08 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

Oil reserves are quoted in proven resources at current consumption. We have about 40~50 years at that level. However as the price rises then previously uneconomic reserves become feasable, so the time frame increases although increased oil use has the opposite effect. Also improved extraction techniques mean that more oil can be got from sources that would otherwise have been abandoned.

There are other sources. For example, as oil prices rise shale oil should become economically viable.

All the best

Keith
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kal9001
Trackday Trickster



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PostPosted: 20:30 - 08 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes but your takeing the very narrow minded aproch to it...what happens in 50 years when they DO run out...then we will have the same problem we have today, its all about sustainability!
at the moment Demand is rising, production is capped, and pretty soon the extraction will start to slow. this is known as "Peak oil" it is a proven cycle its happend in the US and in russia, and somethinf very simaler has happend with North sea gas...
the oil doesnt need to acctualy run out for the extraction of it to slow dramaticaly...so the 40-50 years of avalable supply we are currentley running it at 100%...that could be 90% of todays figure if oil peaks...then the year after 90% of that...then 90% of that...ect
slowley, or probably quite quickley supply will fall short of demand...then prices will hit the roof.
we can see this allready the prices will follow a tangent...so the prices will raise slowley at 1st...look in the past fiew years how quickley they have risen...not that much realy its only been the past 2-3 years its become a real issue...well think in 2-3 years time when we have £3 per litre or maybe more...

the Peak oil theory wich has been proven in practice...oil supply follows a "bell curve" meaning in any given oil providing area...the supply will slowley build up, then increce in speed untill the supply hitts 100% meaning even tho there is pleany of oil left its not possible to extract it any fater. that it known as peak...it can sit at that for a little while. then a little past 50% of the total avalable the supply begins to drop off...and it slowley starts to cost more and more to maintain that supply...and once supply hits demand then the shit hits the fan...
now in the US and russia when this happend both following that exact pattern, the oil companies just when else where, i.e. saudi arabia and iraq...once they peak then we will have to go somewhere else ect...
now the pint made is that once they are all the same level the old ones will become viable again...yes they may become a cheaper option, but thats all relative..the prices will still be high...and they will just keep getting higher...

so despite not acctualy running outof oil the prices will raise to such an extent as you wouldnt beabel to afford it...and when noone buys it the refineries go bust, and the oilcompanies go bust then if we get that far, supply will be nill....while demand will have also dropped off as the slowley rising prices will have milked everyone dry so they end up giveing up cars...but by then the economies of the developed world will be in sich a mess that we wont need them...
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Kickstart
The Oracle



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PostPosted: 21:52 - 08 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

KAL9000 wrote:
Yes but your takeing the very narrow minded aproch to it...what happens in 50 years when they DO run out...then we will have the same problem we have today, its all about sustainability!


But nothing has been suggested that does increase sustainability. If the oil lasts 50 years or we all use public transport and it lasts an extra couple of weeks is hardly important.

KAL9000 wrote:
then the year after 90% of that...then 90% of that...ect
slowley, or probably quite quickley supply will fall short of demand...then prices will hit the roof.


Except that misses the point totally. Yes it falls, but we have 40~50 years proven reserves at current rates of consumption that is economically viable. Prices go up and more reserves become economically viable, so the proven reserves become larger.

This is how we have gone from being told 30 years ago that we had 20 years worth of oil to now having double that.

KAL9000 wrote:
well think in 2-3 years time when we have £3 per litre or maybe more...


Except at that point plenty of other alternatives become financially viable.

KAL9000 wrote:
now the pint made is that once they are all the same level the old ones will become viable again...yes they may become a cheaper option, but thats all relative..the prices will still be high...and they will just keep getting higher...


They become viable long before that point. And you are confusing current short term high prices with any long term gradual increase.

KAL9000 wrote:
so despite not acctualy running outof oil the prices will raise to such an extent as you wouldnt beabel to afford it...


That does not follow at all. Price rises to the point where people cannot afford it and then demand goes down, so the price reduces.

All the best

Keith
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plugger147
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PostPosted: 22:52 - 08 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

the oil companies are businesses hence there whole point is to make money,it's the government who rob us with their taxes and excuses.if there government wasn't making so much money from fuel then they would have started encouraging alternative power source's for vehicle's back in the seventies when they hit problem's then.

i don't know if it's just because they want to or if they are being encouraged now but the japanese car makers have all got their fingers in alternative power source's.why has it taken until now though?
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TOM M
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PostPosted: 00:20 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

On the subject of oil availability, isnt there ment to be a massive oilsupply underneath the north pole / antarctica (cant remember which)??
If so then why dont they tap into these in a few years to make the oillast longer?????
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Barry_M2
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PostPosted: 13:30 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

https://www.petroldirect.com/index.htm

Check this site out, its excellent! Very cheap petrol. Wink
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John C
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PostPosted: 14:11 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:


Very Happy
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craigie b
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PostPosted: 14:15 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

innominate wrote:
I honestly don't think that £1 is a rip off.
Considering the unforunate detrimental effects petrol has when used :/

Anyway you should look on the bright side.
@ £1 per liter its easy to work out how much it will cost to fill your tank :p


Shut the fuck up Rolling Eyes Laughing if your not gonna say anything useful then be quiet Laughing

I'll agree on the enviromental thing, however as an industrialised nation we need transport and petrol main source of fuel. If this keeps on going the way it is then I'm gonna think about changing fuel types on my car.
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kb-zxr
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PostPosted: 14:53 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Barry_MC21 wrote:
https://www.petroldirect.com/index.htm

Check this site out, its excellent! Very cheap petrol. Wink


I think B.P will shit a brick when they see their logo Mr. Green
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John C
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PostPosted: 15:14 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I think B.P will shit a brick when they see their logo

https://www.petroldirect.com/images/tagline.gif
https://www.vniigaz.ru/gts2005/img/bp-logo.gif

Mr. Green Thumbs Up
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innominate
Brolly Dolly



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PostPosted: 15:19 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

craigie b wrote:
innominate wrote:
I honestly don't think that £1 is a rip off.
Considering the unforunate detrimental effects petrol has when used :/

Anyway you should look on the bright side.
@ £1 per liter its easy to work out how much it will cost to fill your tank :p


Shut the fuck up Rolling Eyes Laughing if your not gonna say anything useful then be quiet Laughing

I'll agree on the enviromental thing, however as an industrialised nation we need transport and petrol main source of fuel. If this keeps on going the way it is then I'm gonna think about changing fuel types on my car.


Hush child...



First point valid.

Second point a joke.

Sorry if thats difficult to wrap your brain cell around.



In the long run alternatives will become more avaliable. Problem is that when the petty is prohibitively expensive the alternatives , to start with, probably won't have the same energy value for the same volume.

Ideally I would like to be able to take, reliable, public Transport to commute everyday. Then just keep the bike for enjoying myself at the weekends. Then the higher prices that will come won't affect me as much.

But since public transport is more than twice as expensive as running my bike atm, then nothing much is going to change untill prices properly go through the roof.
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I, as a responsible adult human being, will never concede the power to anyone to regulate my choice of what I put into my body, or where I go with my mind. From the skin inwards is my jurisdiction, is it not? I choose what may or may not cross that border. Here I am the customs agent. I am the coast-guard. I am the sole legal and spiritual government of this territory, and only the laws I choose to enact within myself are applicable.


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Vespa
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PostPosted: 15:26 - 09 Sep 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

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