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An Inconvenient Truth and Esso

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Vincey B
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PostPosted: 15:43 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: An Inconvenient Truth and Esso Reply with quote

I saw this film last night and wondered if anyone else had seen it and what they thought?

I would definetly recommend it - if you havent heard of it its basically a 90 minute lecture by Al Gore about climate change and puts to bed any doubt that climate change is happening and is a result of human activity.

ExxonMobile, the oil company that ownes Esso petrol stations is the biggest culprit for funding organisations that promote the idea that there is some "debate" in the scientific community about climate change, when in fact there is a complete consensus that it is happening because of mankind.

I would suggest that if you have the choice of petrol stations that you use please avoid Esso, if enough people did it would really make them notice how unpopular their stance on the subject is.

If you can get to see this film then I suggest you do, it will open your eyes to the complete lies and misinfomation that surround this subject.

Vince
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killa
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PostPosted: 15:52 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you stop going to the Esso to get fuel and snacks you're not going to help the world.
It has already been fucked, the only people that can make a difference don't drive themselves anywhere and don't a toss.

I imagine the film is pretty scary, but you can't do shit about it.

I saw a film/doc on Bush, i want to go to America this year, and he's an absolute mentalist.
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feef
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PostPosted: 16:26 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

climate change is happening.

it's been happening long before mankind was around, and it'll keep happening long after we're gone.

we do have an effect on climate change, but the effect we have is similar to trying to steer a supertanker with an oar.

Is this the same Al Gore who (in 2000) controlled between $250,000-$500,000 of Occidental stock (he is executor of a trust that he says goes only to his mother, but will revert to him upon her death). After the sale, Gore began disclosing between $500,000 and $1 million of his significantly more valuable stock. It was finally all sold about 6 years ago, after he founded an investment firm to fund 'green companies', which happen to include promoting his own book. Occidental is one of Esso's big competitors, and i'm sure he still has friends there, who might like to see Esso damaged in some way.

Gore also received royalties from a Zinc mine till it shut in 2003..

as always, and like any other politician.. Gore seems more interested in money and will support any movement that is the flavour of the month, green or otherwise, to make a few dollars.

cynical? moi?

a
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zaknafien




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PostPosted: 16:29 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
puts to bed any doubt that climate change is happening and is a result of human activity.


You fell for it hook, line, sinker, rod and copy of angling times!
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innominate
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PostPosted: 16:47 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

feef wrote:
we do have an effect on climate change, but the effect we have is similar to trying to steer a supertanker with an oar.


Proof please.
Or ignoring your argument the same way you obviously ignore the other side of the argument.


Debate and analysis is the only way to get a greater understanding on how much we affect eh climate at the current time.


Bandwagon jumping (by either side) just shows plain ignorance and/or stupidity.
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Vincey B
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PostPosted: 16:55 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Of course the climate has changed in the past, but when the recent changes are plotted against changes that have been recorded previously its obvious to even the most stubborn that the pattern does not fall within previously recorded levels.

It falls down to the same argument, which I seem to be loosing in this case - that there is debate that climate change is happening due to human activity, every single peer reviewed scientific journal has concluded that what is happening is not comparable to anything that has happened before and is being caused by the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere.

As for Al Gore, he has been an environmentalist all his political life, despite the fact that it gets you no where in US politics (his advisors told him to play down environment issues during his presidential campaign).

All I can say is, see the film, and see if your opinion changes.
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feef
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PostPosted: 17:25 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

innominate wrote:
feef wrote:
we do have an effect on climate change, but the effect we have is similar to trying to steer a supertanker with an oar.


Proof please.


with pleasure..

for starters:

from
https://www.cs.ntu.edu.au/homepages/jmitroy/sid101/uncc/fs017.html
Quote:
Natural climate variability hinders the detection of any man-made warming trend....

....For two million years, the earth's climate has been dominated by periodic ice-ages, each lasting tens of thousands of years. The ice-ages are separated by warmer "interglacial" periods, such as the one we are in now.....

.... One hundred million years ago, in the time of the dinosaurs, the earth was 5-15 C warmer than it is today, probably because the continents were arranged differently. Figure C shows, very schematically, how the earth has cooled since then. The projected man-made warming over the next 100 years is clearly visible on a plot of global temperature over the past 100 million years.


and
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/02/050212195414.htm
Quote:
A new study of climate in the Northern Hemisphere for the past 2000 years shows that natural climate change may be larger than generally thought.....

....Only the last 15 years appear to be warmer than any previous period of similar length.....

....climate shows an appreciable natural variability - and that changes in the sun's output and volcanic eruptions on the earth may be the cause.....

...This means that it is difficult to distinguish the human influence on climate from natural variability, even though the past 15 warm years are best explained if one includes human influence in the simulations.


also check out:
https://www.ukcip.org.uk/climate_change/natural_manmade.asp
Quote:
A good fit between observed and simulated global temperature occurs only when natural and human factors are included. Temperature change is relative to the 1880-1920 average.


https://www.multi-science.co.uk/climatechange.htm
Quote:
The evidence is that the projections of more extreme global warming from increased greenhouse gas concentrations emanates from those models that contrive 'positive feedback' processes to amplify the impact. There is no evidence from observations over recent decades for such feedback. It would be a tragedy for civilisation if scarce resources were to be squandered on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. The diversion of resources from community infrastructure projects would leave communities, especially those of developing countries, more susceptible to loss and damage from climate extremes.

William Kininmonth has a career in meteorological science and policy spanning more than 40 years.



I can find more stuff as published in scientific journals next time I'm at my parent's house if you'd like, supporting the fact that natural climate change has a MUCH bigger effect than anything we do, and at best, makes it VERY hard to identify any change we've had, considering we can only look at our effects over a relatively Tiny time period.

a
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RickHolt
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PostPosted: 18:02 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think castles show how things aren't so bad.

Loads of them were built on coastlines around the UK. Go look at alot of them now and they have docks no where near the sea. Once sea levels get back up to and beyond the castles, I'll start to worry. Untill then, things are just going back to the way they were.

It's too convenient that the people being paid to research global warming are making it out to be a big issue.

Rick.
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Vincey B
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PostPosted: 18:30 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

In response to feef...

Of the webpages you use as your proof, 1 of them was written in 1993, one is by an unknown scientist trying to sell a book (Just like Al,apparantly) and one of them concludes with this:

"This is one of several important pieces of evidence that suggest increasing human influence on global climate. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that, " .. most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases."

All those articles do however prove 1 important point, climate change is happening. The issue then it seems is what is causing it.

One of the facts given in Al Gores film is that of a random sample of almost 1000 peer reviewed papers on the subject, 0% suggested that climate change was not happening due to man, as opposed to a random sample of media reports on the issue where 53% suggested this was not due to mankind.

So...

Do you believe then that despite the majority of evidence being that its mans activity that causes climate change, the small amount of evidence suggesting it is merely natural change is the correct explanation? If so, then thats fine, were not going to get much further with this.

Also as someone who claims to be a sceptic can you not see that companies like ExxonMobile who have invested nothing in alternative energy have a huge vested interest in funding scientific studies and websites that cause people to doubt a general scientific consensus?

Going back to the film (which this thread is about) he draws a parallel with the evidence that tobacco was causing lung cancer in the 60's. Tobacco companies did all they could to debunk the evidence due to their vested interest and ability to manipulate government policy (ExxonMobile is the number 1 corporate contributor to President Bush's campaigns). The aim of the tobacco companies, like some oil companies today, is not to deny evidence altogether, but simply to raise doubts that prevent people from taking action.

All I would say is just see the film without bias and make up your mind based on the facts presented.

Vince
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Retro-Man
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PostPosted: 20:02 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

tis all bollox

the steering a super tanker with an oar comment is pretty much spot on IMHO

Quote


Treating climate change as beyond argument

Much of the noise in the climate change discourse comes from argument and counter-argument, and it is

our recommendation that, at least for popular communications, interested agencies now need to treat the

argument as having been won. This means simply behaving as if climate change exists and is real, and that

individual actions are effective. This must be done by stepping away from the ‘advocates debate’ described

earlier, rather than by stating and re-stating these things as fact.

The ‘facts’ need to be treated as being so taken-for-granted that they need not be spoken. The certainty of

the Government’s new climate-change slogan – ‘Together this generation will tackle climate change’ (Defra

2006) – gives an example of this approach. It constructs, rather than claims, its own factuality.

Where science is invoked, it now needs to be as ‘lay science’ – offering lay explanations for what is being

treated as a simple established scientific fact, just as the earth’s rotation or the water cycle are considered.





taken from



https://www.ippr.org.uk/ecomm/files/warm_words.pdf



therefore all your arguments are null and void
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stinkwheel
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PostPosted: 22:21 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

The castle argument is null.

There is a well researched geological reason for this. ie. tectonic rebound. The Northern part of the UK was until recently covered in a sheet of ice a mile thick, which you have to admit, is going to be pretty damned heavy. This was basically pressing Scotland down into the mantle.

Since the ice sheets melted, Scotland has been slowly rising up out of the earth, England had been slowly sinking in a see-saw manner. Iron age people could walk between the Isle of Wight and the mainland. There are cliff arches made by costal errosion near Mallaig half a mile inland.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 22:41 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

It is a very inconvenient truth for Al Gore that there is little evidence to support his scare tactics.

Bjorn Lomborg is a bit unpopular in the green industry. His comments on that film:-

Bjorn Lomborg wrote:

There are much more 'inconvenient' truths
BJØRN LOMBORG
CINEMAS will soon show former US vice-president Al Gore's global warming film, An Inconvenient Truth. It has received rave reviews in the United States and Europe, and it will most likely gain a large worldwide audience. But, while the film is full of emotional images, it is short on rational arguments.

An Inconvenient Truth makes three points: global warming is real, it will be catastrophic and addressing it should be our top priority. Inconveniently for the film's producers, however, only the first statement is correct.

While it's nice to see Gore bucking the trend in a nation where many influential people deny global warming even exists, many of his apocalyptic claims are highly misleading. But his biggest error lies in suggesting humanity has a moral imperative to act on climate change because we realise there is a problem. This seems naive, even disingenuous.

We know of many vast global challenges we could easily solve:preventable diseases such as HIV, diarrhoea and malaria take 15 million lives each year; malnutrition afflicts more than half the world's population; 800 million people lack basic education, and one billion do not have clean drinking water.

In the face of these challenges, why should stopping climate change be our priority? Gore's attempt at an answer doesn't stand up to scrutiny. He shows glaciers have receded for 50 years, but he doesn't acknowledge they have been shrinking since the Napoleonic wars in the early 1800s - long before industrial carbon dioxide emissions. Likewise, he considers Antarctica the canary in the coalmine but again doesn't tell the full story. He presents pictures from the 2 per cent of Antarctica that is warming, while ignoring the 98 per cent that has largely cooled over the past 35 years.

The film shows scary pictures of the consequences of the sea level rising 20 feet, flooding large parts of New York, the Netherlands, Calcutta and Shanghai. Were realistic levels not dramatic enough? The United Nations suggests a rise of only one to two feet during this century, compared with almost a foot in the last century.

Europe's deadly heatwaves in 2003 lead Gore to conclude that climate change will mean more fatalities. But global warming would mean fewer deaths caused by cold temperatures, which, in most of the developed world, vastly outweigh heat deaths. In the UK alone, it is estimated the temperature increase would cause 2,000 extra heat deaths by 2050, but result in 20,000 fewer cold deaths.

The film invites viewers to conclude that global warming caused Hurricane Katrina, with Gore claiming the warm Caribbean waters made the storm stronger. But when Katrina made landfall, it was not a catastrophic Category 5 hurricane: it was a milder Category 3. In fact, there is no scientific consensus that global warming makes hurricanes more destructive, as he claims. The author Gore himself relies on says that it would be "absurd to attribute the Katrina disaster to global warming".

After presenting the case for the potentially catastrophic effects of climate change, Gore unveils his solution: the world should embrace the Kyoto Protocol, which aims to cut carbon emissions in the developed countries by 30 per cent by 2010. But, even if every nation signed up to Kyoto, it would merely postpone warming by six years in 2100, at an annual cost of £80 billion. Kyoto would not have saved New Orleans from Hurricane Katrina: improved levees could have. While Gore was campaigning for Kyoto in the 1990s, a better use of resources would have been to bolster hurricane defences.

Indeed, the real issue is using resources wisely. Kyoto won't stop developing countries from being hardest hit by climate change, for the simple reason that they have warmer climates and fewer resources. But these nations have pressing problems we could readily solve. According to the UN, for £40 billion a year - half the cost of Kyoto - we could provide clean drinking water, sanitation, basic health care and education to every human being. Shouldn't that be a higher priority?

• Bjørn Lomborg is director of the Copenhagen Consensus Centre and adjunct professor at the Copenhagen Business School. His most recentbook is How to Spend $50 Billion to Make the World a Better Place.


Balanced? Probably about as much as a politician.

All the best

Keith
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gavin
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PostPosted: 22:55 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

ive got the book, signed by al gore himself. ive had it a while. not had a chance to see the film yet. ive read a bit of the book, only a bit, because i find myself trawling the web for evidence of each statistic he presents, of which there are many. ive already come to the conclusion that he dosent go far enough.

the film may well be full of emotional language for all i know, but what i do know is that the book is full of reasoned argument and plenty of scientific fact. a lot of it is presented graphically and is extremely compelling. not in the emotional sense, rather in the sense that it makes it easy to visualise the enormity of what is happening.

for a taster, google "lost glaciers".



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Vincey B
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PostPosted: 23:17 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bjorn Lombergs argument makes very little sense to me ie. climate change is happening because of humans, but lets do nothing about it at all and concentrate on other problems.

However looking at his profile I cant see anything to indicate why he should be taken seriously:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bj%C3%B8rn_Lomborg


The Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty cited The Skeptical Environmentalist for:

Fabrication of data;
Selective discarding of unwanted results (selective citation);
Deliberately misleading use of statistical methods;
Distorted interpretation of conclusions;
Plagiarism;
Deliberate misinterpretation of others' results.
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zaknafien




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PostPosted: 23:20 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
DCSD response

On March 12, 2004, the Committee formally decided not to act further on the complaints, reasoning that they had already found Lomborg not guilty, and that a new investigation into the complaints against Lomborg would be likely to fail.[4] This closed the case, leaving the original findings invalidated. [3] Two days later a complaint was issued by Kåre Fog, an ecologist who maintains an anti-Lomborg website; Fog reported that this complaint was rejected on 27th Dec. 2004.[4]


Quote:
Response of the scientific community

The original DCSD decision about Lomborg provoked a petition[5] among Danish academics. 308 scientists, many of them from the social sciences, criticised the DCSD's methods in the case. A Dutch think tank, Heidelberg Appeal the Netherlands, published a report in which they claimed 25 out of 27 accusations against Lomborg to be unsubstantiated or not to the point.[6]

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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 23:27 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

srkid wrote:
The Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty cited The Skeptical Environmentalist for:


And found him innocent.

His point is that we are contributing slightly to it. And there is little that we can do about it (ie, agree to Kyoto, at a cost of 80bn a year and having virtually no effect), with the resources being far better spent elsewhere.

There is massive uncertainty about global warming. Partly because we only have 27 years worth of accurate gobal temperature measurements (prior to that we have badly contaminated land based measurements). Mainly because the argument on both sides is put forward by large industries (the green groups are just as much an industry as oil companies).

Put it this way, what are you prepared to give up on the off chance that it will improve things?

All the best

Keith
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gavin
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PostPosted: 23:55 - 20 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

the problem with wikipedia is that it can be written to and edited by almost anyone, as highlighted by scott mills on radio one a few months back, with chaotic consequenses. i believe they had to take the site off line for a while.

im sure the intentions were good, but unfortunately it has become a heat sink for disinformation on the web.

i think lomberg is quite correct about one thing, koyoto cant achieve anything. if the people who believe global warming is real are right, ultimately it is human activity per se that is the root of the problem, and the solution to that dosent bear thinking about.

there is also something rather obtuse ( or disengenuous, to use lombergs word) about throwing billions of dollars of capitalist generated wealth at a problem which is argued to be largely the result of globilization and capitalist generated wealth. Confused
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killa
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PostPosted: 09:10 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

Natural disasters happen and in a large number of cases we don’t see them coming, some disasters have happened and we can’t explain them even today. Global warming isn’t new, but the more we learn about it, the more wild assumptions come out of it as well.
The money that would be spent trying to stop the world from burning out is completely pointless, how about a few million towards the victims of Katrina, I’d like to see some homes rebuilt for those people. There are countless other people who need money like that.

Companies that expel a large amount of carbon dioxide, so therefore the culprits of the beginning of the end (in the eyes of Gore) probably know more than him about this problem, and I imagine over the years haven’t simply ignored the fact.

This film is going to be shown publicly, to people the world over, some of which thought the bloody Matrix was real and that we lived in a fucking computer AI of some sort (documentary on CH4, they were American).
I bet the film has some slow moving CGI of New York going underwater to the tune of Craig Armstrong’s – Weather Storm, reconstructions of women and children drowning in library and being saved by the only few emergency services…..hmmm sounds familiar Rolling Eyes
What the fuck am I supposed to do, write a letter to Esso and complain? Stop using my bike to go to work?
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feef
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PostPosted: 09:19 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

when it's all said and done, one of the most glaring errors and misnomers is how climate change/global warming is 'damaging the planet' or 'killing the earth'..

bollx.. the planet was around, and supporting life in MUCH more hostile environments than we have now, for millions of years before we appeared... the planet will continue to support life for millions of years afterwards.. what IS happening, if anything, is the climate change is affecting the way the planet's environment can support human life.

Dinosaurs once ruled the planet, they got wiped out.. now we 'rule', and one day we'll get wiped out.. the lump of rock we live on will continue to exist, and I doubt very much that it will cease to support all forms of life. Sure, thigs will change, and some creatures will dominate more than others when the conditions suit, but nature has a way of evening out the balance on the whole, even if it doesn't give as shit about a specific species in the process.

a
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Vincey B
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PostPosted: 11:26 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

https://www.guardian.co.uk/Columnists/Column/0,,1877283,00.html

This article pretty much sums up this thread, and mentions in the 2nd paragraph that The Economist magazine rejected its previous stance taken that it would be to expensive to do anything about climate change.

As for Bjorn Lomberg, he was critisized but was not found guilty due to a lack of expertise or definitive answers on the subject.

There will always be a few individuals who propose alternative solutions to a major problem (he does at least agree the problem is there).

The point about Esso and ExxonMobile is that they dont even agree that there is a problem in the first place. Companies that expel large amounts of Co2 have no interest in anything that would restrict them from doing so, and yes some have completely ignored this fact where as some (like BP) are researching heavily into alternative forms of energy as they know they will have to change.

The film does not use sensational graphics, just clear concise and properly sourced and referenced charts. There is an illustration of what would happen to Manhatten if sea levels went up by 20ft, as well as illustrations of what would happen to China, the Indian sub continent and Northern Europe.

Again all I can say really, see the film, look at the facts and make up your own mind.
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Itchy
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PostPosted: 12:58 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

forget about it , we can do nothing ,

the government wanting us to reduce emissions or what not is a convient excuse to tax us all even more ,

and even if WE cut back will India and China cut back? , no , hence we trying to plug a dam with our little finger.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 17:28 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

srkid wrote:
This article pretty much sums up this thread, and mentions in the 2nd paragraph that The Economist magazine rejected its previous stance taken that it would be to expensive to do anything about climate change.


Given who that article is written by (George Monbiot, well known for hysterical scare tactics) I take it with a large pinch of salt.

srkid wrote:
The point about Esso and ExxonMobile is that they dont even agree that there is a problem in the first place.


There is not yet real concensus that there is a problem. Lots of dodgy data, lots of scare stories.

srkid wrote:
Companies that expel large amounts of Co2 have no interest in anything that would restrict them from doing so, and yes some have completely ignored this fact where as some (like BP) are researching heavily into alternative forms of energy as they know they will have to change.


Really? Firstly man made CO2 amounts to about 3% of total CO2 emissions. Secondly, if CO2 emissions were cut back by reducing oil consumption then Exxon and the like can easily make more profit in the long term (lower volumes will almost certainly lead to far higher profit margins for volume).

srkid wrote:
The film does not use sensational graphics, just clear concise and properly sourced and referenced charts. There is an illustration of what would happen to Manhatten if sea levels went up by 20ft


Pretty big contradiction there then. No sensational graphics, but an illustration of something that is way out of reality.

All the best

Keith
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craigie b
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PostPosted: 17:42 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

fucking hell, the yanks first said we played no aprt n globalb warming...now they are reversing their opinion on this, you guys are regressing and supporting a line of argument that the very people who supported it are now trying to distance themselves from.

We put CO2 into the air, this causes the green house effect. Heat gets trapped. Simple. We are at least contributing to it.

Saying you can do nothing about it is bollocks as well. Turn of your air con in the summer and bung some shorts on. Stop leaving everything on standby. Get energy saving lightbulbs. Shit like that would reduce our overall energy consumption and help us save resources and pollute less.

As said, we ain;t fucking the earth, we're fucking our environment that we live in. But given most people want to consume stuff now, its highly unlikely anyone will give enough of a fuck until the sea water is filling their living room.
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Kickstart
The Oracle



Joined: 04 Feb 2002
Karma :

PostPosted: 17:55 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

craigie b wrote:
We put CO2 into the air, this causes the green house effect. Heat gets trapped. Simple. We are at least contributing to it.


Quite possibly we are contributing to it. That is very different to having any measureably contribution. CO2 is a pretty poor greenhouse gas (water vapour and methane are both far more effective), and almost all of it is naturally produced.

TwoSock wrote:
Saying you can do nothing about it is bollocks as well. Turn of your air con in the summer and bung some shorts on. Stop leaving everything on standby. Get energy saving lightbulbs. Shit like that would reduce our overall energy consumption and help us save resources and pollute less.


Which will have next to no effect. That is far less than would be required to comply with even Kyoto, and the effects of Kyoto amounts to delaying the warming predicted for 2100 to 2106.

Trouble is that all these horror stories are based on computer simulations that are so crude that they cannot even give the current climate when fed supposed historical data.

There are interested parties on all sides trying to get greedy. Whether that is an oil company falsely claiming that CO2 has no effect, or a small pacific island falsely claiming that they are sinking.

All the best

Keith
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Vincey B
Renault 5 Driver



Joined: 14 Oct 2005
Karma :

PostPosted: 18:13 - 21 Sep 2006    Post subject: Reply with quote

https://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/5368194.stm

Looks like someone else has fallen for it, hook line and sinker.

Sensational graphics would be a picture of ground zero with water over it and fish swimming around American flags, a satallite image with areas shaded is not what I would call sensational.
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