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Where is electric technology going

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czakal
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PostPosted: 12:39 - 26 Dec 2014    Post subject: Where is electric technology going Reply with quote

I started a post on ultra low emissions and realised I wanted to know more about electric bikes. I never thought much of them before as they're so expensive to buy, but I wonder if costs will come down by 2020 when ultra low emissions rules come in force. And then I would consider electric with the advantages of low running costs and mechanical simplicity. I can't find much information on electric bikes at the moment. Would they cost nearly £10k for a bike equivalent to a 125cc commuter? Are prices likely to come down with all the research and investment going into electric vehicles?

Seb
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RhynoCZ
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PostPosted: 13:06 - 26 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Electric powered vehicles are much heavier than petrol powered once. The result is more carcinogenic stuff being blown into the air, when braking. So the cities won't have problem with the ''classic'' emissions, but they will have problem with highly carcinogenic powder which is a side product of brake and tyre wear. Thumbs Up
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 14:53 - 26 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

We'll need post-lithium battery technology before real[*] prices can come down. Carbon, silicon, aluminium. Nothing unobtanium.

Actually, I understand that domestic Chinese electric bikes tend to be big heavy scooters with banks of good old lead-acids.

InB4 G's "electrically assisted pedal cycles". It's a laudable idea to keep weight and therefore energy and cost down, but those with a mind to turn up sweaty and smug are likely already doing so.

[*] Without being subsidised by tax money or manufacturers.
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Chuffin Nora
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PostPosted: 06:12 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Re: Where is electric technology going? Reply with quote

I've been giving this matter some serious thought, and my accumulated wisdom predicts that journeys which involve going and returning via the same route -- at least so far as current technology is concerned -- just aint gonna work. A non-starter, in fact.

The only way forward, therefore, will be to ever return in a roundabout way.

Great news for Track Day enthusiasts!

Because, to work at all,
electricity

needs

a

circuit
.
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Snowdonia Rider
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PostPosted: 09:04 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ooooh yes, I'd love to ride a silent bike that needs to be plugged in every 30 minutes, such a stimulation to the senses.

I hate electric vehicles.
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G
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PostPosted: 12:12 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:

InB4 G's "electrically assisted pedal cycles". It's a laudable idea to keep weight and therefore energy and cost down, but those with a mind to turn up sweaty and smug are likely already doing so.

[*] Without being subsidised by tax money or manufacturers.

No need to turn up sweaty when you've got something along the line of Aff's creation.

Yea, who'd want a fast bike that weighs less than petrol bikes, with massively less maitenance and a power delivery that lets you get the very best out of it to ride to as close to 99% as possible on track when you can have a heavy farting harley, eh, under_rated? Wink

As ever, I'd suggest it's 'going' mostly in the wrong direction. Rather than trying to replace a scooter for getting to work in London, they're trying to replace a prestige bike for covering distance fast on. Electric works well for slower speed and shorter journeys - it really excels in such situations, especially a lighter vehicle that can be charged at work, meaning even less outlay on energy.
Energy density of current storage technology is a lot worse than petrol (and fuel cells are FAR too expensive), so to increase range you significantly increase weight as well as price, while for petrol both are fairly negligible, before you get to the 'refuelling time'.

(And yes, on a previous thread I worked out the power requirements to refuel some electric 'big bike' in the same time as petrol - if you had the systems to handle it, it'd require the output of a power station the size of a reasonable sized barn just to recharge one bike!)
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Andy_Pagin
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PostPosted: 12:34 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

The big problem with all electric vehicles is limited range and very long recharge times. The only way the technology as it is now will ever be viable is if we develop vehicles that can drive into a filling station where a robotic arm unplugs the battery pack and replaces it with a new one. So filling becomes as quick as for a petrol machine, and the real purchase/running costs of the vehicle and it's working life have to be comparable to conventional vehicles.

Problem is it's a chicken and egg situation. It'd realistically require massive government funding and intervention to get something like that going.
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Snowdonia Rider
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PostPosted: 12:51 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

G wrote:

Yea, who'd want a fast bike that weighs less than petrol bikes, with massively less maitenance and a power delivery that lets you get the very best out of it to ride to as close to 99% as possible on track when you can have a heavy farting harley, eh, under_rated? Wink



At least a Harley would make a powerful noise, I'd rather go around a track with a deep burble rather than sounding like a milkman or a golf cart Laughing

P.S. I don't ride a Harley lol.
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G
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PostPosted: 13:46 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Andy_Pagin wrote:
The big problem with all electric vehicles is limited range and very long recharge times.

The big problem with all electric vehicles is they are compared to ICE vehicles, rather than how they can be useful transport in their own right Wink.
Another thing that I'm sure wouldn't happen but would be interesting would be for electric vehicles to be connected up to some kind of road-train for distances. So a bit truck tractor unit pulls a load of electric vehicles the 200 miles between towns when transiting, then they go back to electric transport for the last bit. Should be a good bit more economical than an ICE car and allow some rest time for drivers.

Harleys? Poweful noise? Now I see where the issues is Laughing.
Harleys have a slow tractor like fart. Not something I'd connect with 'power' Smile.
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KnuckleShot
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PostPosted: 13:57 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have just had a quick look up on this ultra low emission thing coming into place.
Is this currently just for London or the whole of the UK?
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Snowdonia Rider
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PostPosted: 14:27 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just London I think.
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Andy_Pagin
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PostPosted: 16:27 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

under_rated wrote:
Just London I think.
It'll spread like cancer.
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G
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PostPosted: 18:18 - 27 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Andy_Pagin wrote:
It'll spread like cancer.

Nowhere else has managed to get a normal low emissions zone yet, despite that oft-been mooted by councils trying to pump up their coffers.
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talkToTheHat
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PostPosted: 02:38 - 28 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

I used to race RC cars as a teenager. NiCaD was the battery technology of choice and NiMH was looming. I was of adequate standard, winning club championships and not being too awful at regional and national series. I occasionally tried the petrol cars (nitromethane and premix oil in a methanol base, two stroke, glow ignition) and was massively disappointed at the performance, sure flat out and on pipe there was some power to go with the noise, but for mind-blowing acceleration, 2wd carpet racers every time. Race NiCaD batteries were good for a season if that and I'd have 3 or more good sets on the go at any time and a handful of degraded sets for practice and suchlike.

Yes, there are plenty of hurdles to overcome and electric motorcycles are very much in the expensive toy category for now because we can't swap batteries or charge in minutes. They won't sell in the small commuter market until they are competitive on price and running cost.

The elephant in the room is battery life though. My 22 year old relic still runs well. How well do modern EV batteries age? Is there any value in a five, ten or twenty year old vehicle? How many of us exist on old vehicles bought for 25% or less of the list price of an equivalent new vehicle? If a bike needs new batteries every 5 years at 60% of a new vehicle cost, how many of us are priced out of the market?
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 10:32 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Its easy to laugh at electric bikes. But the limitations at the moment are the energy source. When low weight high capacity quick charging batteries come along and petrol bikes start getting burned at the lights then we will all want one.

The potential with electric bikes in terms of smart power management is amazing. A bike could learn your riding style adapt the power delivery to be more efficient and cause less wear and tear. Average speeds could go up. The bike could log performance analyze and then show you what you need to do to improve as a rider. The difference between electric bikes now and in twenty years is like the smart phones today compared with the first mobile phones.
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G
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PostPosted: 10:45 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
The potential with electric bikes in terms of smart power management is amazing. A bike could learn your riding style adapt the power delivery to be more efficient and cause less wear and tear. Average speeds could go up. The bike could log performance analyze and then show you what you need to do to improve as a rider. The difference between electric bikes now and in twenty years is like the smart phones today compared with the first mobile phones.

All of that can and IS being done by ICE bikes as it is. It is a bit easier for electric bikes from the power delivery point of view - thus you get fixed position multirotors in electric but not ICE. However, for the purposes of a motorbike, I expect you've got plenty enough control in ICE.

Why will petrol bikes get 'burned' at the lights? Will electric bikes be much longer, thus compromising handling? It's easier to make electric 2wd, but that's been done with ICE and is only useful in a limited set of circumstances it seems - even for electric, you're going to have to make some weight and handling compromises.
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 14:16 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

G wrote:

Why will petrol bikes get 'burned' at the lights?......


Because technology moves forward and as a result performance. So if you were sat there at the lights in 1960 on your 30BHP triumph or whatever and some dude turned up riding a 2014 MT-09 and left you standing at the lights much as you might love your triumph you would probably be aching to know what just burned you off as it disappeared into the distance. Same thing will happen eventually with an electric bike. Some mainstream manufacturer will stick something on the market which everyone will mock and then next thing you know it will be thrashing everything in sight. It will be cheaper faster lighter more reliable. Of course some will still gamely cling on to the past.
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G
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PostPosted: 14:31 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Boozehawk wrote:

Because technology moves forward and as a result performance. So if you were sat there at the lights in 1960 on your 30BHP triumph or whatever and some dude turned up riding a 2014 MT-09 and left you standing at the lights much as you might love your triumph you would probably be aching to know what just burned you off as it disappeared into the distance. Same thing will happen eventually with an electric bike. Some mainstream manufacturer will stick something on the market which everyone will mock and then next thing you know it will be thrashing everything in sight. It will be cheaper faster lighter more reliable. Of course some will still gamely cling on to the past.

I would humbly suggest you don't understand the basic physics that is in play in regards to a motorcycle accelerating.

Any modern reasonably ok bike is not limited in acceleration by power, but by basic physics - to make it faster you have to make it longer or lower, both of which will harm other aspects of the bike.

The Mt-09 is faster than the 30hp bike because it has more power.
A 200hp BMW gets to 60 in the same time as a 100hp 2003 600cc bike because they are both limited by the front coming up.

Electric doesn't provide some magical physics-defying solution for this.
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 14:57 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think my original point stands and is understandable by all those who are not restricted to the most literal understanding of conversation.
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Ste
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PostPosted: 15:01 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I think my original point stands

Which part of it?

Boozehawk wrote:
Its easy to laugh at electric bikes. But the limitations at the moment are the energy source. When low weight high capacity quick charging batteries come along and petrol bikes start getting burned at the lights then we will all want one.

Any chance of you explaining how physics will be different for electric bikes than it is for petrol bikes?

Boozehawk wrote:
The potential with electric bikes in terms of smart power management is amazing. A bike could learn your riding style adapt the power delivery to be more efficient and cause less wear and tear. Average speeds could go up. The bike could log performance analyze and then show you what you need to do to improve as a rider. The difference between electric bikes now and in twenty years is like the smart phones today compared with the first mobile phones.

Any chance of you explaining how this will be any different for electric bikes than it is or could be for petrol bikes?
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G
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PostPosted: 15:30 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

Boozehawk wrote:
I think my original point stands

I think it doesn't; thus my post.

Care to explain how a not-so-literal understanding of
Quote:
petrol bikes start getting burned at the lights then we will all want one.

Could be true?
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rideslikean00...
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PostPosted: 15:59 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought electric bikes were supposed to have linear torque response unlike an ICE where it performs better in certain rev ranges even in ideal conditions. Maybe that's what boozehawk is referring to?
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G
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PostPosted: 16:06 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

It does.
But that doesn't equate with faster.
It might make it a little easier, but we've already got anti-wheelie, traction control and so on for modern sports bikes, so it's a bit of a moot point anyway
Litre bikes (and frankly, modern 600s too), tend to have a flat power delivery, nothing like an early R6 or a 90s 'stroker.
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 16:49 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

In really simple terms. People don't like new things until they see the new thing working better than the old thing. This doesn't mean the old thing is crap. For instance horses have great traction control. Not many people ride a horse to work though. Early motorcycles were shit didn't stay that way though.
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G
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PostPosted: 17:30 - 29 Dec 2014    Post subject: Reply with quote

So, in "simple terms", do you think this is likely to happen, or not?
Quote:
petrol bikes start getting burned at the lights then we will all want one.


Do you think that electric bikes will accelerate significantly faster away from the lights than ICE bikes?

As hinted by 'borg, I'm one of the proponents of electric vehicles on this forum, so I'd suggest it's not the case of me disliking 'new things', especially electric vehicles.
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