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Brexit: What do you think will happen?

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Ste
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PostPosted: 09:20 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

mpd72 CPT wrote:
Labour really must have found a bit of spare cash after all. Maybe Diane's been doing the sums again?

They've come up with a new way to raise revenue without calling it a tax.

"Every company with more than 250 staff would have to set up an “inclusive ownership fund”, or IOF, holding 10 per cent of its equity on behalf of workers. The stake would be built up gradually, with a company handing over 1 per cent of its equity a year over a decade.

Workers would not be able to buy or sell the shares held by the inclusive ownership fund, but would benefit from dividends — up to a maximum of £500 per person. The fund, run by a board of trustees made up of workers, would also have voting rights like other shareholders.

The model for Labour’s plans, inspired by the IPPR think-tank and the Co-operative party, would be an “asset-lock” mechanism as used by John Lewis and similar employee-owned enterprises.

One key aspect of the policy is that the government would collect any dividend payments above the £500-a-head threshold, and divert them to the state coffers. That would generate more than £2bn per annum after five years, Labour estimated."

https://www.ft.com/content/4cad1c50-bf59-11e8-8d55-54197280d3f7
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Diggs
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PostPosted: 09:32 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Against my better judgement, but...

1. Nobody understood the implications of leaving when the referendum was held. Not even you.

2. There is nothing undemocratic about having another vote now that we have a better idea of what we are voting for. That is how democracy works.

3. You keep on using the term 'snowflake' as you think it places you on higher ground morally and intellectually. It does neither.

4. You use the term 'project fear' to justify keeping your head in the sand.

5. Giving the electorate the chance to decide our future now we are better informed isn't a party political issue. All parties bar UKIP think it is a good idea.

I could go on.
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Ste
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PostPosted: 09:54 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Diggs wrote:
2. There is nothing undemocratic about having another vote now that we have a better idea of what we are voting for. That is how democracy works.

Do we?

Until a deal is agreed, nobody knows.

A deal will be struck at the 59th minute of the eleventh hour. Both sides want and need there to be a deal that is reasonable so the deadlock will be broken.
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Diggs
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PostPosted: 10:20 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ste, you make the point I have been getting at all along - no fecker knows... so to hold a referendum on something no fecker knew anything about was criminal, and to not hold another now we have a better idea is adding negligence to the crime.

As for the 11.59 deal, at what point during the next 6 months will we be told that all sides agree on something workable? Unless all sides are conducting negotiations 'under the table' and are going to present us with a done deal that suits everybody, this isn't going to happen.

No, it is either stop it all before it is too late, accept a deal that Europe wants (i.e. to our disadvantage) or no deal at all and into the abyss. This fallacy that we can negotiate a deal that somehow gives us our cake and cherry is ridiculous.

For those who prefer the 'abyss' option, tell me you won't be buying a few extra tins of Bigsoup in your March shop...
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Ste
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PostPosted: 10:36 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

If plans for another referendum are made then that would weaken our position for negotiating. It's the uncertainty that causes harm so it's hard to see any benefit to indecisiveness.

Even if there is a second referendum, no deal will have been made so people still wouldn't know the details of what they're voting for. Whichever side didn't win would start bitching about it not being fair, if remain won then should we have a third to make it best of three?

Negotiations / discussions will be happening away from the TV cameras, you can call it under the table if you want. As both sides want and need a workable deal to be agreed, things will be being worked out. It's like how discussions for potential coalition governments happen before results of general elections are known.

It's already too late to stop it, the results of a referendum shouldn't be discarded since that defeats the point of having it and goes against democracy.

A workable deal can and will be struck simply because both sides want and need it.

I'm not going to be doing extra shopping in March in case everything grinds to a halt and supermarket shelves become empty.
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Diggs
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PostPosted: 10:46 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

...and another thing, don't forget how this all came about. The only reason we had a referendum in the first place was because Cameron was scared he'd lose votes to UKIP.

It doesn't matter how many times people use terms like 'snowflake', 'project fear' and the like to belittle people with different views, the fact is that they are responsible for where we are now and where we will be in April.

I think many people voted to leave to stick a metaphorical middle finger up at 'the man'. Fair play, but the wrong arena. The same people are now relying on 'the man' to get us out of the shit... Sadly 'the man' can't because the people have spoken.
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 10:55 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Diggs wrote:
Against my better judgement, but...

1. Nobody understood the implications of leaving when the referendum was held. Not even you.

2. There is nothing undemocratic about having another vote now that we have a better idea of what we are voting for. That is how democracy works.

3. You keep on using the term 'snowflake' as you think it places you on higher ground morally and intellectually. It does neither.

4. You use the term 'project fear' to justify keeping your head in the sand.

5. Giving the electorate the chance to decide our future now we are better informed isn't a party political issue. All parties bar UKIP think it is a good idea.

I could go on.


1) We were told that there would be a perhaps extended period of instability, that there would be an economic shock, etc. etc. We were told very, very plainly indeed, and every household in the UK was directly informed. The information was all over the online, print and TV media. Do you remember that?

2) It is absolutely undemocratic to have another in/out referendum, having recently expressed our opinion, without what we voted for having been implemented, and in the face of all the promises repeatedly made that it would be implimented. These promises were all over the online, print and TV media.

3) The proper term is probably antidemocrats. Those who having expressed their opinion, and having been outvoted, try to overturn the result.

4) "Project fear" is very real. It is funded by rich antidemocratic people who have made large financial donations to overturn the result of the referendum (how hollow: "one man, one vote" rings now), and by people in the media, with their powerful influence, and by the antidemocratic minority who clamour to overturn the result that they do not like. The EU itself is also continually agitating to overturn the result.

5) See (4). We were perfectly well informed at the time. It is most certainly not true that "All parties bar UKIP think it is a good idea". The Conservatives have said that it is not a good idea, and Labour are split on the subject.

In the circumstances, we should leave the EU. Perhaps we could consider a democratic exercise to consider rejoining it in (say) the year 2058.
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 11:04 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ste wrote:
If plans for another referendum are made then that would weaken our position for negotiating. It's the uncertainty that causes harm so it's hard to see any benefit to indecisiveness.


Our position is constantly being undermined. That is why the "EU negotiators" only need say "No" and "Maybe" to cause upheavals in our own ranks, and further undermining of our position. Their positoin has always , I'm sure, been to spread disunity while various parties in the UK hype up their perceived problems and do the EU's own job for them - "divide et impera", or as we say "divide and conquer".
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 11:08 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ste wrote:
A workable deal can and will be struck simply because both sides want and need it.


Yup. Most of it's agreed anyway, about 9/10ths, and whatever is left will be fudged. It will be a "blind" or at least "partially sighted" Brexit. Things will continue to work, leaving plenty of time afterwards to agree the remainder.
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 11:11 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ste wrote:
I'm not going to be doing extra shopping in March in case everything grinds to a halt and supermarket shelves become empty.


Neither am I. It's pointless and silly.

Remember the "Oh we're stockpiling drugs" scaremongering?

It turns out that stockpiles are routinely maintained. Before now, for instance, about 10 weeks' of some important drugs have been kept on hand "just in case". For actual Brexit, stocks have been increased to 14 weeks'. This does not seem to indicate that drugs firms, or governments, see Brexit as a showstopper.
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 13:02 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Diggs wrote:
tell me you won't be buying a few extra tins of Bigsoup in your March shop...


I like Big Soups Smile
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 13:12 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

chickenstrip wrote:
Diggs wrote:
tell me you won't be buying a few extra tins of Bigsoup in your March shop...


I like Big Soups Smile


Asdas own Chilli beef version of big soup Wub
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 13:28 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tesco have started doing their own chunky soups now too, but only in a standard size tin. If they start to do them in the bigger size, I'll try them.
Asda is way over on the other side of town to me, so they're out alas.
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Ste
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PostPosted: 14:24 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

One of the things that pisses me off about all this is that mpd is right. Shocked Laughing

In 2016, the deadline for registering to vote was extended by 48 hours because people weren't interested in registering until then. 436,347 people then registered in those 48 hours.

https://www.ft.com/content/e5495ca6-2d81-11e6-bf8d-26294ad519fc

"A decision by the government to extend the deadline for voters to register for a referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU has enraged Brexit campaigners, who accused officials of trying to “skew” the result.

Whitehall is to rush through emergency legislation on Thursday to extend the deadline for vote applications until midnight of that day, said Matt Hancock, the Cabinet Office minister.

The extension is necessary, according to the government, because the applications website crashed in the run-up to the original deadline on Tuesday night, after more than 214,000 people tried to apply between 9pm and 10pm.

It is not known how many of those people failed to complete the application process."

Give it up already. Wink
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Sload
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PostPosted: 15:53 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm with Diggs. I have nothing against a final ref being called once all cards are dealt, these are the options, have at it. It IS democratic and to argue against ignores that the last ref went against the original ref ad nausium and is invalid. The last was barely won, it is being negotiated by a very weak government, lots of voters died, lots new now eligible etc and so on blah blah boring.

I think the actual true argument against from many brexiteers is fear of it switching which reeks to me like they just wish to disenfranchise their opposition as much as I'm sure their opposition would like to do to them.

Plus we are due a spectacle.

And yes you are right Ste, it does undermine the negotiating position, it always has, that is probably the point and is probably why it wouldn't be granted.

What makes me curious now though honestly, if in MPDs nightmare a vote was recast, remain was chosen etc, what would or could be the reaction of the EU in that instance?
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 15:58 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sload wrote:


I think the actual true argument against from many brexiteers is fear of it switching which reeks to me like they just wish to disenfranchise their opposition as much as I'm sure their opposition would like to do to them.


I just can't help but think the less layers of politicians we have, the better. But it really doesn't matter. EU politicians mess things up for people, and UK politicians mess things up for people. What difference does it make? Rolling Eyes
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 16:02 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sload wrote:
I'm with Diggs. I have nothing against a final ref being called once all cards are dealt, these are the options, have at it. It IS democratic and to argue against ignores that the last ref went against the original ref ad nausium and is invalid


First I refer you to my post at 10:55 - 25 Sep 2018.

Next I shall observe that we have had only one referendum concerning the EU, and the result of that was that we voted to leave. We were never asked whether or not we wanted to join.
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Sload
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PostPosted: 16:19 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Riejufixing wrote:
Sload wrote:
I'm with Diggs. I have nothing against a final ref being called once all cards are dealt, these are the options, have at it. It IS democratic and to argue against ignores that the last ref went against the original ref ad nausium and is invalid


First I refer you to my post at 10:55 - 25 Sep 2018.

Next I shall observe that we have had only one referendum concerning the EU, and the result of that was that we voted to leave. We were never asked whether or not we wanted to join.
,

Aesthetics argument, nah I'm good as it's boring and autistic and repeated all over the internet and has no winner. As to your other points, meh we disagree. The primary difference being is I'm happy for you to have another vote whereas you appear as though you would be happy to prevent others from having it, when you cut all the excess away.

chickenstrip wrote:
I just can't help but think the less layers of politicians we have, the better. But it really doesn't matter. EU politicians mess things up for people, and UK politicians mess things up for people. What difference does it make? Rolling Eyes


Yes true. I guess the difference in this instance alone is allowing the people at least in principle the illusion of choice for whatever it actually matters. When people feel they have an investment in the outcome, even when it doesn't go their way it can help maintain social stability and cohesion and gives a smidgen of investment. I think the quote I'm gonna butcher goes along the lines of democracy is flawed but it's the best we have.
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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 17:05 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sload wrote:
Aesthetics argument, nah I'm good as it's boring and autistic and repeated all over the internet and has no winner.


What - so you are stating that we did have a vote when we joined the EU?
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Sload
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PostPosted: 19:28 - 25 Sep 2018    Post subject: Reply with quote

mpd72 CPT wrote:
Ah, so if your choice loses by a narrow margin, that doesn't stand and we should abolish democracy and have an option of how much the winning side is allowed to win. Cobblers.

It's like the Tories winning a GE, then Labour voters having a second election to decide how many MP's they get, who the MP's will be and what power they get.

You lost. Move on.


Swing and a miss buddy, my ideological side won the last one, barely.
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