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Brexit: What do you think will happen?

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Riejufixing
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PostPosted: 21:39 - 13 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

linuxyeti wrote:
And now ford are taking steps to move production out of the UK, should they deem it the right thing to do for their business

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47225787


You should tell the whole story, not miss bits out to suit your agenda.

"Ford has said a no-deal Brexit would be catastrophic for the firm's manufacturing operations in the UK and that it would do "whatever is necessary" to protect its business"

(my emphasis)

Edit: Still, at least it's on topic, unlike those twats blathering. They should get married.
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 22:35 - 13 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Surprising that there is still a vestige of car manufacturing left in the UK. Gradual decline, but don't blame Ford, blame Brexit. Wink

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-10/ford-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-in-europe-eyes-plant-closures
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 23:14 - 13 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Surprising that there is still a vestige of car manufacturing left in the UK. Gradual decline, but don't blame Ford, blame Brexit. Wink

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-10/ford-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-in-europe-eyes-plant-closures


Every year of Britain's EU membership resulted in a net increase in jobs in car production did it? Wink

EU = Gradual decline
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 23:39 - 13 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im-a-Ridah wrote:
Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Surprising that there is still a vestige of car manufacturing left in the UK. Gradual decline, but don't blame Ford, blame Brexit. Wink


Every year of Britain's EU membership resulted in a net increase in jobs in car production did it? Wink

EU = Gradual decline


Not sure if you misunderstood me. Ford job losses are just the thin end of a very large wedge which has already brought Dagenham alone down to 3000 jobs compared to 50,000 in its heyday. Those 3000 + 10,000 UK are now under threat along with others across Europe, unrelated to Brexit as the link shows.
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Ste
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PostPosted: 00:15 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Blame everything on Brexit. Thumbs Up
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M.C
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PostPosted: 01:02 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

linuxyeti wrote:
And now ford are taking steps to move production out of the UK, should they deem it the right thing to do for their business

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47225787

I thought the EU helped with the factory in Turkey where they build the new Transit? Eh?
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cdlxxvi
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PostPosted: 10:59 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Surprising that there is still a vestige of car manufacturing left in the UK. Gradual decline, but don't blame Ford, blame Brexit. Wink

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-10/ford-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-in-europe-eyes-plant-closures


There is no correlation between the number of cars manufactured and the number of people directly employed by the manufacturers. The reason is improving automation, thanks to which it takes much fewer man-hours to make a car than it took 70 years ago.

Still, car manufacturers bailing out of Greatest Brexitain will cause some job losses - but more importantly we will lose the whole ecosystem around their operations, i.e. there will be a dip in the business for everyone who supplies them with machinery, servicing, electricity, building maintenance, cleaning, catering, computers, and even toilet paper. We will also lose the tax revenue.

But I guess it's all worth it, because at least we won't hear anyone speaking Hungarian in the supermarket, while we wonder where are all the tomatoes gone.

mpd72 CPT wrote:
The EU has managed to turn us into the biggest car buyers in Europe


We aren't the biggest car buyers in Europe. Germany is.
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linuxyeti
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PostPosted: 11:57 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

mpd72 CPT wrote:

Are you pretending the Airbus announcement all over the news this morning, highlighting the Project Fear lies pedalled by the Remain media? Now it's only 200 staff and they expect them all to be given alternative roles within the company.
Not quite the 10,000 plus doom and gloom pedalled by the Remedia and you.


The news from Airbus this morning is to do with the A380, not Brexit, although, once the requirement for building such large wings has gone, makes moving wing production that bit easier..
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linuxyeti
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PostPosted: 12:08 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh, taking aside the inconvenience to passengers ..

https://airlinerwatch.com/eu-airlines-have-seven-months-to-adjust-their-ownership-structures-for-post-brexit-era/

Where do you think all that lovely tax, income tax for the employees, national insurance ... will be going, when the shareholders etc, are not from the UK, well, it won't be the UK treasury now will it !!

Yes, brexit is just so good for the UK's economy, it's the event that just keeps on giving

Still, looks like we have a trade deal lined up with Zimbabwe ! Yeay !!

So, go on then, tell us the good news then ..

Well, I suppose you could say, Eurotunnel have been given 3 months to see if something can be sorted to keep the service functional

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47215904

I guess, kind of good news?

However, Eurostar train drivers are currently being issued with French train driver licences - UK issued ones will not be valid from 29th March and therefore will have to be suspended in the interim period.

Oh, now the fishermen are bleating, as, they voted in the main for brexit, but now realise, the largest market they export to is the eu, and now they are worried !! A case of chickens coming home to roost
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 12:37 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hard Brexit Appreciation Day!

Timed to coincide with the bombing of Dresden Cool Cool Cool

mpd72 CPT wrote:
It’s amazing. The EU has managed to turn us into the biggest car buyers in Europe, who throw cars away and lease a new one every 3 years, whilst taking manufacturing from us.

I do hope we leave the single market and they all lose tariff free access to it. Maybe then UK car manufacturing will get the competitive edge it needs.


Exactly. The US and China use this strategy very effectively. Make it here and avoid the tariff.

M.C wrote:
linuxyeti wrote:
And now ford are taking steps to move production out of the UK, should they deem it the right thing to do for their business

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47225787

I thought the EU helped with the factory in Turkey where they build the new Transit? Eh?


Yup.
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linuxyeti
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PostPosted: 12:55 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

mpd72 CPT wrote:


You think a foreign registered company pays its fair share of YK tax?

Ever considered a career in comedy?

If you believe the bullsh1t in that article then you’ll believe anything. So no airlines not EU owned fly over Europe? How do these EU airlines expect to fly to the U.K.?

Wake up and think for yourself before regurgitating propaganda eh?


Oh, you dullard !! No, what will need to happen, is for airlines, such as easyjet, to set up foreign owned/crewed aircraft, they started doing this a while ago to be honest, however, as the Austrian branch of easyjet, is, well, Austrian, whereas before, it was all part of the UK company, that taxes etc, that would have gone to the UK treasury, will now go to the Austrian treasury..

Also you 'tard, flying over, is NOT the same as flying to, which is also different to flying within, different rules & regulations.
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 13:09 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wonder if European carriers want to keep their landing slots at Heathrow Wink
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 13:23 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

cdlxxvi wrote:
Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Surprising that there is still a vestige of car manufacturing left in the UK. Gradual decline, but don't blame Ford, blame Brexit. Wink

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-10/ford-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-in-europe-eyes-plant-closures


There is no correlation between the number of cars manufactured and the number of people directly employed by the manufacturers. The reason is improving automation, thanks to which it takes much fewer man-hours to make a car than it took 70 years ago.

Fair point, but the actual "making cars" bit went abroad to cheaper labour markets a long time ago.

cdlxxvi wrote:
Still, car manufacturers bailing out of Greatest Brexitain will cause some job losses - but more importantly we will lose the whole ecosystem around their operations,... We will also lose the tax revenue.

Watch the video. It's going to happen with or without Brexit.
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 13:31 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

cdlxxvi wrote:

There is no correlation between the number of cars manufactured and the number of people directly employed by the manufacturers. The reason is improving automation, thanks to which it takes much fewer man-hours to make a car than it took 70 years ago.


Not true actually. Automation just means you need more people to maintain and program the robots. The big benefit of automation is reduced defects, being able to do complex welds consistently and saving people from boring monotonous tasks.


Last edited by Im-a-Ridah on 13:36 - 14 Feb 2019; edited 1 time in total
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cdlxxvi
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PostPosted: 13:34 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:

cdlxxvi wrote:
Still, car manufacturers bailing out of Greatest Brexitain will cause some job losses - but more importantly we will lose the whole ecosystem around their operations,... We will also lose the tax revenue.

Watch the video. It's going to happen with or without Brexit.


Of course it will eventually happen, since manufacturing isn't as profitable in a high cost country. It will be a gradual process, though, and if it's slow enough, as a society and a country we may emerge from it unscathed.

However, it will happen much faster if we exclude ourselves from the single market facilitating both supply chain and sales for our car industry, and we are very unprepared for such sudden a collapse.
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cdlxxvi
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PostPosted: 15:35 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

By the way, Ford's assessment of Brexit impact on its business presented to the MPs is a very informative read: https://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/business-energy-and-industrial-strategy-committee/leaving-the-eu-implications-for-the-automotive-industry/written/71680.pdf

In short, they aren't duped into believing in a single unicorn that the Leave vote was supposed to produce. The closest they come to admitting that Brexit may result in anything positive is guarded by a big fat "BUT FIRST DON'T BREAK WHAT EU MEMBERSHIP IS GIVING US":

Ford wrote:

Trade opportunities: what opportunities are there for the UK to improve exports to countries outside the
EU? Where should Government the Government seek to prioritise in terms of trade deals?
 Ford does see potential opportunities in future UK trade deals and asks that Government works closely
with the automotive sector to assess the pros and cons of specific trade deals, taking into account the
growing importance of electro-mobility and data services.
 Clearly, it will be critical to secure an ambitious free trade arrangement with the EU as a necessary
platform on which to build other opportunities. Ford also believes that the UK should prioritise
preserving free trade with those territories already covered by FTAS with the EU, such as Canada and
South Africa.
 In addition, Ford shares the view of other sectors in prioritising a comprehensive free trade deal with
Turkey, especially important to support our engine exports and commercial vehicle business.
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linuxyeti
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PostPosted: 15:35 - 14 Feb 2019    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im-a-Ridah wrote:
I wonder if European carriers want to keep their landing slots at Heathrow Wink


Won't really matter, if things do go pear shaped, they won't be worth anything like they are now, instead, Amsterdam, Paris Charles De Gaulle & Frankfurt will be the main beneficiaries. They already are to some degree, although not brexit related, but, due to the debacle over the new runway.
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