Catalexit: What do you think will happen?

[Rogerborg]

Well, it's game on. Catalan.gov declares independence.

They don't seem to have many allies except for the Scotch Racialists and you know, they'd go and help, but their backs are a bit hurtit.

Certainly Brussels will look the other way while the jaunty jackboot of Castilian fascism stomps on their faces again.

Barricades and bayonets by the weekend?
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[stinkwheel]

Just when it seems to be hotting up, the inherant idleness will kick-in and everyone will go home early for a nap.

The police will be too busy leaning against the wall chewing gum and alternately checking their hair in their wing mirror and eyeing up other mens wifes tits to break any heads.
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“Rule one: Always stick around for one more drink. That's when things happen. That's when you find out everything you want to know.”
I did the 2010 Round Britain Rally on my 350 Bullet. 89 landmarks, 3 months, 9,500 miles.

[c_dug]

I want to see them pull it off and achieve independence.

I don't suppose it'll happen, Spain has more guns.
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[ScaredyCat]

I predict lots of blood and dead bodies.
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[The Shaggy D.A.]

I predict more wee Jimmy Krankie air time.
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[thx1138]

I predict some sort of football related incident.

[Rob Fzs]

i predict not alot and it will be business as usual in 2 weeks
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[Polarbear]

Barcelona has better pickpockets than Madrid. They'll be fine.
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[Jewlio Rides Again LLB]

Funny how Downing Street won't acknowledge Catalonia as independent. Will this follow onto Scotchland, should they get a second crack at it?
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[Kawasaki Jimbo]

[Jewlio Rides Again LLB]

[ScaredyCat]

You all disappoint. I set it up for you. You had a perfect opportunity.

https://youtu.be/hamKl-su8PE?t=114
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Honda CBF125 ➝ NC700X
Honda CBF125 ↳ Speed Triple

[Kawasaki Jimbo]

The presiding government. They said they wouldn't recognise the poll from the start, contrasting with the Scottish vote which you referred to.

[Jewlio Rides Again LLB]

[Kawasaki Jimbo]

[RhynoCZ]

[stinkwheel]

My understanding is that the Spanish constitution was written by fascists. It doesn't allow for a region to seccede, referrendum or not and it can't be changed according to its own terms.

Spain is still in the process of slowly emerging from a fascist dictatorship. Many parts of the state apparatus still exist. Noteably the civil guard.
____________________
“Rule one: Always stick around for one more drink. That's when things happen. That's when you find out everything you want to know.”
I did the 2010 Round Britain Rally on my 350 Bullet. 89 landmarks, 3 months, 9,500 miles.

[M.C]

A good comparison would be Crimea. Unless the Catalan government enforce their new state it'll just be ignored.

[Jewlio Rides Again LLB]

[M.C]

[Rogerborg]

[stinkwheel]

[Rogerborg]

Well, relative is as relative does. My current employer has a Barcelona office and their lunches don't seem to run to more than two or three hours, most days.

Spain has never really recovered from the 2008 crash, although they've reduced their deficit a bit recently. They need Catalan's taxes and exports to keep the wheels on the wagon, although in about 20 years it'll rumble straight into a bull infested demographic swamp whatever they do.
____________________
Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike

[Lupo]

Spain has called local elections for the 21 December and the campaign will start on the 5th of December.

They have destituted the Catalonia Government and dissolved a few organisms vital to the independence, like the Catalonian foreign office. Apart from that they will react to circumstances.

Question is what the Independence movement will do, will they organize a parallel elections or will run in the Central government ones? Of course we could go back to square one if they win the elections and decided to carry on with the independence process, or if they lose to boycott the new administration. But that means people putting their jobs on the line and will damage the local economy too, very difficult to gauge how much appetite for that there is.

@Stinkwheel

Spanish Constitution was written by democrats that broke away from the remnants of Franco's regime. You are right, one of the postulates of the Constitution is the fact that Spain is indivisible as a country, something the Catalonian parties involved in the writing of the Constitution agree to, and something that can be changed upon consulting in a referendum with the Spanish population.

As per the Civil Guard, they were formed in 1844.
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A por ellos, que son pocos y cobardes.

[Lupo]

Apologies for the double posting.

Seems that the Catalonia politicians will do what politicians do best and try to get elected in the central government elections called for the 21st of December, as to keep milking the tit of the state instead of building a brand new independent Catalonia.

The CUP (Independence hardliners, 10 MP's out of 135) while originally refusing to take part in the election because they do not recognise the Spanish government anymore, now they are having second thoughts and talking about participating because of their "responsibility to our people"

Junts per Si (JxSi, 62 Mp's out of 135) it is a coalition of ERC (Republican Leftists for Catalonia) and CDC (Catalonian Democratic Convergence), that it has been reformed to PDeCAT (European Democratic party of Catalonia) due to being mired in corruption charges. Then there are a couple of other players, significant because their capacity to mobilise people. They are all talking of "hard decisions ahead" and "decisions that will not be easy to understand".

Also all these parties representatives in the Senate and the Parlament in Madrid had not resigned as they should do if as they said, Catalonia is an independent country. Surprisingly they declared that doing that will be a cosmetic gesture and rather pointless.

Not surprising, I will do the same if I was getting the money and perks they get.
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A por ellos, que son pocos y cobardes.