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The Impending Nuclear Apocalypse

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thx1138
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PostPosted: 20:16 - 27 Jun 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

chickenstrip wrote:
Easy-X wrote:
A game of chicken with conventional weapons sounds quite entertaining but when one of the players is sitting on the largest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the known universe it kinda takes the edge off it Neutral


On the other hand, no matter how powerful your arsenal, you can only kill someone once. And if you use nukes, you have to factor in that someone might reply in kind. The nuke argument in the field of this particular situation in the Black Sea is a straw man effectively. You can stomp around shouting about how many of the things you have, but you would actually have to be quite mad to use them. Is Putin mad? I don't think so. Kim Jong Un? Quite possibly mad enough.


Fortunately, he doesn't have the range. And China would then squish him.
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 02:53 - 29 Jun 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fat Angry Scotsman wrote:
Im-a-Ridah wrote:
That's an air defence destroyer, it has loads of ways to zap a plane. Short (~40km) and medium range (~120km) extremely agile very high speed air defence missiles, 2 CIWS which are 20-30mm robotic chainguns "cannons" designed for shooting down anti-shipping missiles, plus other "cannons" and miniguns! Even if there was a war it wouldn't go nuclear, people seem to have this weird idea that wars are all or nothing as per the cold war. Now its all about slicing the salami to get what you want.


Personally, I think that the reason I will never see a Third World War in my lifetime is because a fight between any of the nuclear superpowers NATO vs Russia, NATO vs China, West vs East, etc in full and earnest would extremely quickly escalate from a conventional war to a nuclear one.


You won't see a 3rd world war because roads. WW1 and WW2 were slow affairs. Now you can just drive up your neighbours land border motorway at 60mph straight to the capital. To prolonged battles.

chickenstrip wrote:
Easy-X wrote:
A game of chicken with conventional weapons sounds quite entertaining but when one of the players is sitting on the largest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the known universe it kinda takes the edge off it Neutral


On the other hand, no matter how powerful your arsenal, you can only kill someone once. And if you use nukes, you have to factor in that someone might reply in kind. The nuke argument in the field of this particular situation in the Black Sea is a straw man effectively. You can stomp around shouting about how many of the things you have, but you would actually have to be quite mad to use them. Is Putin mad? I don't think so. Kim Jong Un? Quite possibly mad enough.


Putin has the worlds largest nuclear stockpile, a fact commonly cited. Less commonly cited is that his country is basically just Moscow and St. Petersburg.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 14:20 - 29 Jun 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im-a-Ridah wrote:
Putin has the worlds largest nuclear stockpile, a fact commonly cited. Less commonly cited is that his country is basically just Moscow and St. Petersburg.


And the UK is just London, the US is just NY & LA... Singapore is just... Shifty
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 20:42 - 30 Jun 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

https://youtu.be/RsokGIeQFFI

Kaboom
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 22:20 - 30 Jun 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ribenapigeon wrote:
https://youtu.be/RsokGIeQFFI

Kaboom


Maggie pissing herself laughing, that's a rare sight.
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MCN
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PostPosted: 03:06 - 01 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
Ribenapigeon wrote:
https://youtu.be/RsokGIeQFFI

Kaboom


Maggie pissing herself laughing, that's a rare sight.


I disagree with this post.

She would have been pissing hersel shutting down UK industry, laying of men and women who would then struggle to find jobs, sell off public owned industries to Johnny Foreigner. (Indirectly via hoodwanking the British Public with 'shares options'.)

Not to mention about the time as minister for education when she took the 1/3 of a pint of milk off school bairns.
Rotten auld cow was hopefully pissing hersel as her dementia dividend paid out.
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 11:42 - 01 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

MCN wrote:


I disagree with this post.

She would have been pissing hersel shutting down UK industry, laying of men and women who would then struggle to find jobs, sell off public owned industries to Johnny Foreigner. (Indirectly via hoodwanking the British Public with 'shares options'.)

Not to mention about the time as minister for education when she took the 1/3 of a pint of milk off school bairns.
Rotten auld cow was hopefully pissing hersel as her dementia dividend paid out.


But look at the fantastic consumer and service economy based society we now have thanks to her forward thinking neo-liberal policies!
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 21:49 - 01 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ribenapigeon wrote:
But look at the fantastic consumer and service economy based society we now have thanks to her forward thinking neo-liberal policies!


Mmm, 'cos socialism's been such a fantastic success everywhere else in the world Wink
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 21:55 - 01 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:


Mmm, 'cos socialism's been such a fantastic success everywhere else in the world Wink


Oh God not this old ping pong game! Laughing
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 11:28 - 02 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ribenapigeon wrote:
Easy-X wrote:


Mmm, 'cos socialism's been such a fantastic success everywhere else in the world Wink


Oh God not this old ping pong game! Laughing


You serve, I'll smash it back Laughing
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 02:43 - 03 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
Im-a-Ridah wrote:
Putin has the worlds largest nuclear stockpile, a fact commonly cited. Less commonly cited is that his country is basically just Moscow and St. Petersburg.


And the UK is just London, the US is just NY & LA... Singapore is just... Shifty


The US is a very evenly spead country actually. The loss of LA and NY would be a tremendous loss but it wouldn't mean the end of the US. China is also like the US but on a much bigger scale, they can take loads of nuke hits and still continue. If LA were a Chinese city it would be the 28th biggest, just ahead of Taiyuan a city most people have never even heard of.

Top 50 of the Largest Cities in Mainland China by Population of Urban Area Rank City Province Latest Estimate[4] 2010 Census[5]
1 Shanghai#~ — 26,917,322 20,217,748
2 Beijing⍟# — 20,381,745 16,704,306
3 Chongqing# — 15,773,658 6,263,790
4 Tianjin#~ — 13,552,359 9,583,277
5 Guangzhou#*~ Guangdong 13,238,590 10,641,408
6 Shenzhen† Guangdong 12,313,714 10,358,381
7 Chengdu#* Sichuan 9,104,865 7,791,692
8 Nanjing* Jiangsu 8,789,855 5,827,888
9 Wuhan#* Hubei 8,346,205 7,541,527
10 Xi'an#* Shaanxi 7,948,032 5,403,052
11 Hangzhou* Zhejiang 7,603,271 5,849,537
12 Dongguan Guangdong 7,402,305 7,271,322
13 Foshan Guangdong 7,313,711 6,771,895
14 Shenyang* Liaoning 7,191,333 5,718,232
15 Harbin* Heilongjiang 6,360,991 4,596,313
16 Qingdao~ Shandong 5,597,028 4,556,077
17 Dalian~ Liaoning 5,587,814 3,902,467
18 Jinan* Shandong 5,330,573 3,641,562
19 Zhengzhou#* Henan 5,286,549 3,677,032
20 Changsha* Hunan 4,555,788 3,193,354
21 Kunming* Yunnan 4,422,686 3,385,363
22 Changchun* Jilin 4,408,154 3,411,209
23 Ürümqi* Xinjiang 4,335,017 2,853,398
24 Shantou† Guangdong 4,312,192 3,644,017
25 Hefei* Anhui 4,216,940 3,098,727
26 Shijiazhuang* Hebei 4,098,243 3,095,219
27 Ningbo~ Zhejiang 4,087,523 2,583,073
28 Taiyuan* Shanxi 3,875,053 3,154,157
29 Nanning* Guangxi 3,837,978 2,660,833
30 Xiamen† Fujian 3,707,090 3,119,110
31 Fuzhou*~ Fujian 3,671,192 3,102,421
32 Wenzhou~ Zhejiang 3,604,446 2,686,825
33 Changzhou Jiangsu 3,601,079 2,257,376
34 Nanchang* Jiangxi 3,576,547 2,614,380
35 Tangshan Hebei 3,399,231 2,128,191
36 Guiyang* Guizhou 3,299,724 2,520,061
37 Wuxi Jiangsu 3,245,179 2,757,736
38 Lanzhou* Gansu 3,067,141 2,438,595
39 Zhongshan Guangdong 2,909,633 2,740,994
40 Handan Hebei 2,708,015 1,830,000
41 Weifang Shandong 2,636,154 2,044,028
42 Huai'an Jiangsu 2,632,788 2,494,013
43 Zibo Shandong 2,631,647 2,261,717
44 Shaoxing Zhejiang 2,521,964 1,725,726
45 Yantai~ Shandong 2,511,053 1,797,861
46 Huizhou Guangdong 2,509,243 1,807,858
47 Luoyang Henan 2,372,571 1,584,463
48 Nantong~ Jiangsu 2,261,382 1,612,385
49 Baotou Inner Mongolia 2,181,077 1,900,373
50 Liuzhou Guangxi 2,153,419 1,624,571
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 07:48 - 03 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm sure even we have 50 nukes. Bye bye China.
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 22:48 - 04 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
I'm sure even we have 50 nukes. Bye bye China.


We have around 250, plenty to handle China and Russia. That said nuke numbers are hardly a problem when you have a nuke factory as we do Laughing
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 00:13 - 05 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im-a-Ridah wrote:
Polarbear wrote:
I'm sure even we have 50 nukes. Bye bye China.


We have around 250, plenty to handle China and Russia. That said nuke numbers are hardly a problem when you have a nuke factory as we do Laughing


Apparently the cap on the UK's stockpile was 225, just recently lifted to 260 (the goal, not at present). Interesting and recent article here:

https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/why-does-the-uk-want-more-nuclear-weapons/
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Nobby the Bastard
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PostPosted: 10:58 - 06 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im-a-Ridah wrote:
Polarbear wrote:
I'm sure even we have 50 nukes. Bye bye China.


We have around 250, plenty to handle China and Russia. That said nuke numbers are hardly a problem when you have a nuke factory as we do Laughing


Getting the ICBMs to put them on is problematic though. Ours are all made by the US.

I'm not aware of any aircraft in current use in the UK that can carry them either.

The last one with a nuclear capability was, I think, Tornado.
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 12:13 - 06 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

These days you'd need some kind of super-stealth aircraft if that was your chosen method of delivery. Countries stopped using aircraft as a means of delivery for good reason - too vulnerable. The SSBN was a much less detectable delivery platform, and probably still is to this day. Constant battle of technology though, so who knows what will be preferable in the future. Coupled with intelligence on the whereabouts of your enemy's major assets, command and control network etc, it may be that nukes will shrink in power and just increase in precision. The old style MAD strategy still doesn't really make any sense. That's more about generating fear factor in your enemies, probably has more political weight than military, especially when talking about countries with huge land masses like the USA, China, Russia. Nukes today I think are more about smaller, less militarily powerful countries multiplying their deterrence factor. I wonder would China be so aggressive about Taiwan if Taiwan had nukes mounted on a state-of-the-art delivery system, with good intelligence networks to aid effective targeting?

Then again, it seems to be easier to overthrow a country by poisoning its political system, as we are seeing done to great effect in the US currently. Internal strife can easily paralyse a country. Takes much longer, but communism has always been about the long game. And there is much more to be gained by dominating your enemies rather than destroying them by creating nuclear wastelands.
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thx1138
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PostPosted: 21:34 - 07 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

chickenstrip wrote:


I came here to post a link to this article, which I had read online and found interesting. Then I remembered where I had seen it before. In this thread.

I am getting old. Embarassed Laughing
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 22:04 - 10 Jul 2021    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nobby the Bastard wrote:


Getting the ICBMs to put them on is problematic though. Ours are all made by the US.

I'm not aware of any aircraft in current use in the UK that can carry them either.

The last one with a nuclear capability was, I think, Tornado.


The new generation of subs will be able to carry 12 missiles, each can theoretically carry 12 warheads, so 2 submarines could easily carry more than our entire stockpile. It exceeds treaty limits, but pretty minor compared to wiping out 250 cities. Realistically as a maximum you would want to split the warheads 3 ways because of 4 subs 1 is in refueling/refit, 1 outbound, 1 inbound, 1 in workup/pier side sub-strategic.

7 warheads x 12 missiles = 84 warhead per sub
84 warheads x 3 submarines = 252 warheads

The UK could make SLBMs if it wanted to spend the money, but buying American ones is more cost effective. Typhoons can be made nuclear capable if that is a requirement. The UK designed them and it can modify them. F35 will also be nuclear capable but again no requirement exists in the UK for this. If the UK actually wanted to have some nuclear air launched missiles then it would use a variant of Perseus or modify its Tomahawk or Storm Shadow missiles. Air dropped bombs are the quickest, probably under a week to roll a few of them under emergency use. It's a careful balance, the SLBMs are more than sufficient for the nuclear role and so using cruise missiles etc to overkill the role really just takes useful conventional munitions out of the stockpile which could otherwise be used to strike real enemy targets.
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Old Thread Alert!

The last post was made 2 years, 283 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful?
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