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ThunderGuts
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PostPosted: 13:23 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Strikes, strikes and more strikes Reply with quote

It's becoming a bit of a recurring theme these days. Trains, buses, tube, postal workers, baggage handlers, ambulance staff, nurses? There is seemingly an almost endless line of sectors either already undertaking a, or planning to, strike. I've never known anything quite like it over my lifetime, others may be able to tell me it's the same issues the country has seen going back decades where strikes have happened previously.

I get it; it's financially challenging at the moment. House prices, while coming down a bit, are still astronomical for most, coupled with rapidly increasing mortgage rates, high energy and food bills means anyone with a stretched income is immediately hitting difficult times. I can see why unions want their members to get inflation-matching (or even surpassing) rises in remuneration.

Where I struggle though is I just don't understand the mentality because most of these sectors (particularly NHS) are already on their knees financially. Train operating companies I don't think (happy to be corrected) aren't rolling around in billions in profit. So where does the money come from if there aren't enormous margins to eat into? Yes, I'm sure there are some significant efficiencies to be had, but people have been trying to reform the NHS for years so I can't see it suddenly getting successful. For government funded sectors, this will mean ultimately an increased allocation; unless tax goes up (and we're already seeing changes in this area as it is just to cope with the status quo) the only other thing is to cut budgets elsewhere. HS2 would be a good place to start, but in reality culling one-off projects isn't a sustainable way to fund recurring shortfalls in budget. Give every NHS employee a 10% rise, you'd need to find £3,360,000,000 this year alone (assuming 1.2 million NHS employees, average salary of £28k according to Google). That's public sector. Take rail companies, the only way (I assume) to get a significant income injection would be to boost ticket prices. Which hurts everyone else. In which case, one of two outcomes; either "everyone else" is worse off, or "everyone else" squeezes their employers for a rise, putting up prices and ultimately making the increase the original strikers got to be less effective, i.e. driving inflation up.

I'm not sure there's any magic silver bullet to any of this; the costs are primarily being driven by something we have limited control over (the war in Ukraine) and the direct and indirect consequences, but I think in reality a lot of areas have been under strain for some time and the fallout from the ongoing war has just accelerated things. Do we just tighten our belts? Have we been used to such a good standard of life for so long we just don't understand real austerity? When I was a kid (80s), the toys and possessions I had were limited and we lived in a pretty average house with an average income. It just was the way it was. We were content to play out on a battered second hand bike all day. We holidayed occasionally, it was often just down the road on a campsite. If we were lucky, we'd get a small cottage somewhere every few years. My peers were all much the same. I talk to people born in the middle of the 20th century or even earlier, and the proverbial "hoop and a stick" was your lot as a kid. Yes, probably slightly tongue in cheek, but the point is these days even children seem to expect (and a lot get) things like smartphones, foreign holidays, driving lessons when they get to 17, an expectation of so much. Adults even more so, with brand new cars on finance, every subscription service under the sun, Deliveroo sending overpriced food to your door on a regular basis etc.. (many generalisations in all of this of course, but it does seem to be quite common if not typical).

Maybe I'm a bit old-fashioned, or maybe I've totally got this all out of context, but it's both an interesting and challenging discussion topic.
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M.C
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PostPosted: 14:13 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought you asked for a pay rise when the organisation you work for is doing well Confused The pay demands seem like madness.

- The Royal College of Nursing is asking for a pay rise of 5% above RPI inflation
- At the time of the RCN ballot result, this equated to a rise of 17.6% using September inflation data

'Using October’s RPI inflation data, this would equate to a pay rise of 19.2% ...would cost around an additional £10 billion'


Obviously they're asking ordinary people (who are also struggling) to pay for this.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 14:23 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Unions are paid by their members to represent their interests not the interests of the company or the public. Working as intended.
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M.C
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PostPosted: 14:33 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
Unions are paid by their members to represent their interests not the interests of the company or the public. Working as intended.

Having been a member of one of the unions currently striking, all they did was try to justify their existence. Every year we were offered a standard raise, all the unions did was ask for more, negotiate for 6 months then settle on said standard raise (the delay actually messed things up for employees).

Also we actually got higher raises before the unions got involved.
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A100man
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PostPosted: 14:43 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Re: Strikes, strikes and more strikes Reply with quote

ThunderGuts wrote:
It's becoming a bit of a recurring theme these days. Trains, buses, tube, postal workers, baggage handlers, ambulance staff, nurses? There is seemingly an almost endless line of sectors either already undertaking a, or planning to, strike. I've never known anything quite like it over my lifetime, others may be able to tell me it's the same issues the country has seen going back decades where strikes have happened previously.

I get it; it's financially challenging at the moment. House prices, while coming down a bit, are still astronomical for most, coupled with rapidly increasing mortgage rates, high energy and food bills means anyone with a stretched income is immediately hitting difficult times. I can see why unions want their members to get inflation-matching (or even surpassing) rises in remuneration.

Where I struggle though is I just don't understand the mentality because most of these sectors (particularly NHS) are already on their knees financially. Train operating companies I don't think (happy to be corrected) aren't rolling around in billions in profit. So where does the money come from if there aren't enormous margins to eat into? Yes, I'm sure there are some significant efficiencies to be had, but people have been trying to reform the NHS for years so I can't see it suddenly getting successful. For government funded sectors, this will mean ultimately an increased allocation; unless tax goes up (and we're already seeing changes in this area as it is just to cope with the status quo) the only other thing is to cut budgets elsewhere. HS2 would be a good place to start, but in reality culling one-off projects isn't a sustainable way to fund recurring shortfalls in budget. Give every NHS employee a 10% rise, you'd need to find £3,360,000,000 this year alone (assuming 1.2 million NHS employees, average salary of £28k according to Google). That's public sector. Take rail companies, the only way (I assume) to get a significant income injection would be to boost ticket prices. Which hurts everyone else. In which case, one of two outcomes; either "everyone else" is worse off, or "everyone else" squeezes their employers for a rise, putting up prices and ultimately making the increase the original strikers got to be less effective, i.e. driving inflation up.

I'm not sure there's any magic silver bullet to any of this; the costs are primarily being driven by something we have limited control over (the war in Ukraine) and the direct and indirect consequences, but I think in reality a lot of areas have been under strain for some time and the fallout from the ongoing war has just accelerated things. Do we just tighten our belts? Have we been used to such a good standard of life for so long we just don't understand real austerity? When I was a kid (80s), the toys and possessions I had were limited and we lived in a pretty average house with an average income. It just was the way it was. We were content to play out on a battered second hand bike all day. We holidayed occasionally, it was often just down the road on a campsite. If we were lucky, we'd get a small cottage somewhere every few years. My peers were all much the same. I talk to people born in the middle of the 20th century or even earlier, and the proverbial "hoop and a stick" was your lot as a kid. Yes, probably slightly tongue in cheek, but the point is these days even children seem to expect (and a lot get) things like smartphones, foreign holidays, driving lessons when they get to 17, an expectation of so much. Adults even more so, with brand new cars on finance, every subscription service under the sun, Deliveroo sending overpriced food to your door on a regular basis etc.. (many generalisations in all of this of course, but it does seem to be quite common if not typical).

Maybe I'm a bit old-fashioned, or maybe I've totally got this all out of context, but it's both an interesting and challenging discussion topic.


Yep, this is a replay of the 70s - although I don't recall what triggered the inflation then - it seemed to be just what happened.

Lynch appears to have assumed the Arthur Scargill (or Red Robbo) role and it didn't end happily for Artie (or Robbo), although Lynch may know he's holding a better hand (we could import cheaper coal, perhaps not so easy for a railway).


Labour might suggest 'tax the rich more' to pay for these demands but that doesn't seem to work well - it rarely makes a big difference once all the avoidance schemes are exercised. In any case adding more money into the spending pot will then fuel inflation further I think.

Of course it's easier for middle earners to do without a few luxuries than it is low earners to do without essentials, but train driver aren't low earners, not these days.
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Nobby the Bastard
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PostPosted: 14:49 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

The miners strike was in an entirely different decade to the winter of discontent.
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ThunderGuts
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PostPosted: 14:53 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Re: Strikes, strikes and more strikes Reply with quote

A100man wrote:

Labour might suggest 'tax the rich more' to pay for these demands but that doesn't seem to work well - it rarely makes a big difference once all the avoidance schemes are exercised. In any case adding more money into the spending pot will then fuel inflation further I think.


Indeed, and trying to redistribute that wealth isn't easy. I think it's also relevant that, energy companies aside (who appear to be making a small fortune out of the current situation), the shortfall in some areas isn't because of profiteering elsewhere, it's just a genuine uptick in costs. Redistributing wealth isn't going to solve all this even if it was easy to do (both literally and politically).

A100man wrote:
Of course it's easier for middle earners to do without a few luxuries than it is low earners to do without essentials, but train driver aren't low earners, not these days.


I'm not sure a particularly large proportion of those striking are below middle earners actually; they're not minimum wage or self-employed scraping past. Most are former (or current) public-sector with a similar level of extra-salary benefits, e.g. generous sick pay, annual leave etc. etc.. and in fact I might have typo'd my average NHS wage as it appears to be £38k not £28k. Not sure, but either way, those who are on the minimum wage, in workplaces with far less security are the ones who will feel the pain of these strikes the most, both during and as a consequence of any enhancement to the packages and the resulting income-seeking that will inevitably happen elsewhere.
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A100man
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PostPosted: 14:54 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nobby the Bastard wrote:
The miners strike was in an entirely different decade to the winter of discontent.


True enough 80s vs 70s. But Lynch is emulating the Scargill firebrand rhetoric well enough
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stinkwheel
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PostPosted: 17:34 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

The rail workers strike is more about who's in charge than money. They don't want changes in working practices that are a hangover from the 70's British Rail days that made it easy to skive.

The NHS is more about overwork/understaff than pay.

Not really sure about the Royal Mail one but what I would sya is I thinkthe Mail and rail workers are in a very real and serious danger of striking themselves out of a job. These are both privately run companies now. When they were nationalised they couldn't really fail. The rail franchise holders will simply fold the company if it stops making money. Royal mail are pushing their luck, the lucrative part of the business is parcel delivery and once companies start using a different courier for that to avoid delays due to strikes, they'll be slow to move back again.

I was trying to think of a strike that actually got the strikers what they wanted. Can't think of one offhand. Possibly the Glasgow shipyards "work in" but even that all went tits-up soon after.
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 18:22 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

The late 70's and 80's was horrific. Stupidly high wage rises. Stupidly high inflation that served nobody any good. I remember getting a 17% pay rise and thinking - wow. Came back form a trip at seea and it was already eaten away and that time was the start when ship owners started looking at Hng Kong Chinese and Indian crews to save money.

Most people in work today didn't work in that era and won't see the similarities. It doesn't look good, that's for sure.

While nurses will have the goodwill of most of the population the train drivers won't as they are hardly on a crisis level salary. Royal mail will destroy themselves. The only snail mail I get is junk or the odd letter from HMRC. Everything else is email and parcels, well Amazon have their own system and there are plenty of couriers around.

Labour must love being in opposition. Brexit, Covid, Ukraine, Inflation, energy prices, NHS. Jesus, they will need Diane Abbotts magic maths when they get in power. Laughing
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M.C
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PostPosted: 21:35 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
Most people in work today didn't work in that era and won't see the similarities. It doesn't look good, that's for sure.

Sure but at the same time the last 10-15 years has been anything but normal...

https://www.economicshelp.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/base-rates-1975-2022-1000x597.png.webp

^ a flatline is apt for Britain

Polarbear wrote:
While nurses will have the goodwill of most of the population the train drivers won't as they are hardly on a crisis level salary. Royal mail will destroy themselves.

Unpopular opinion but I was honestly surprised nurses get over 30k. The way they go on I thought it was minimum wage/doing it cos your Florence Nightingale.

Polarbear wrote:
Labour must love being in opposition. Brexit, Covid, Ukraine, Inflation, energy prices, NHS. Jesus, they will need Diane Abbotts magic maths when they get in power. Laughing

It'll be interesting as normally Labour are in power during the good times, and the Tories when we feel we need some economic flagellation.
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 21:42 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

stinkwheel wrote:
The NHS is more about overwork/understaff than pay.

My impression is that whilst they think more investment would be good* they’re only striking for more pay. A pay rise would end the strike but won’t change anything else. Same again next year.

Much of this is just old-fashioned Union Tory-bashing. I’d have more belief that Socialist principles were at play if, for example, the already overpaid train drivers were striking only in support of low-paid colleagues and comrades in other public services who may actually be feeling a cost-of-living crisis, but no, everyone has to get a pay rise, and as a percentage too.

* Time to stop throwing money at the NHS problem and start spending what it has more wisely instead. Bring in experienced staff from supermarkets, factory floors, the army, places where waste, delay and inefficiency doesn’t get a bail-out and ‘that’s not how we work’, or ‘we’ve always done it that way’ won’t wash. Pathology labs should be working weekends. Diagnostic scanners should never go cold. If I have a doctor’s appointment at 8:30 I want to be seen at 8:30, not staring at a rolling display for 30 minutes (it’s happened) telling me how much time was lost to ‘non-attendees’ last month. I suspect they showed up on time but the day’s cumulative delays meant they couldn’t wait and had to get back to work.
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 21:48 - 13 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
stinkwheel wrote:
The NHS is more about overwork/understaff than pay.

My impression is that whilst they think more investment would be good* they’re only striking for more pay. A pay rise would end the strike but won’t change anything else. Same again next year.

Much of this is just old-fashioned Union Tory-bashing. I’d have more belief that Socialist principles were at play if, for example, the already overpaid train drivers were striking only in support of low-paid colleagues and comrades in other public services who may actually be feeling a cost-of-living crisis, but no, everyone has to get a pay rise, and as a percentage too.

* Time to stop throwing money at the NHS problem and start spending what it has more wisely instead. Bring in experienced staff from supermarkets, factory floors, the army, places where waste, delay and inefficiency doesn’t get a bail-out and ‘that’s not how we work’, or ‘we’ve always done it that way’ won’t wash. Pathology labs should be working weekends. Diagnostic scanners should never go cold. If I have a doctor’s appointment at 8:30 I want to be seen at 8:30, not staring at a rolling display for 30 minutes (it’s happened) telling me how much time was lost to ‘non-attendees’ last month. I suspect they showed up on time but the day’s cumulative delays meant they couldn’t wait and had to get back to work.


Absolutly.
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 11:25 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
The late 70's and 80's was horrific. Stupidly high wage rises. Stupidly high inflation that served nobody any good. I remember getting a 17% pay rise and thinking - wow. Came back form a trip at seea and it was already eaten away and that time was the start when ship owners started looking at Hng Kong Chinese and Indian crews to save money.

Most people in work today didn't work in that era and won't see the similarities. It doesn't look good, that's for sure.

While nurses will have the goodwill of most of the population the train drivers won't as they are hardly on a crisis level salary. Royal mail will destroy themselves. The only snail mail I get is junk or the odd letter from HMRC. Everything else is email and parcels, well Amazon have their own system and there are plenty of couriers around.

Labour must love being in opposition. Brexit, Covid, Ukraine, Inflation, energy prices, NHS. Jesus, they will need Diane Abbotts magic maths when they get in power. Laughing



We haven't had a left wing government for 43 years so really you have to look at the right and wonder if their policies have at least some responsibility.
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Diggs
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PostPosted: 11:27 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is the biggest test the Labour Party has faced for decades IMO. It will determine whether collective bargaining still works, and if it doesn't, then the Labour Party's reason for being doesn't either. Starmer has to come off the fence at some point, as if he doesn't, then he should stand down.

The media has done such a good job of telling the public that the strikes are all about pay that the public don't support them. I wonder who will complain when a drunk is groping their daughter and the only staff on the train is the driver? Likewise when it isn't possible to send a letter and they have to pay for a small parcel instead...

It is a test that as a nation we will probably fail. We'll then become a mini-America and swing to the right. Time to buy some guns... Crying or Very sad
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Ribenapigeon
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PostPosted: 11:31 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would have more sympathy for the nurses if they were taking action for half what they want and for reform of the workplace. The problem is though that nurses themselves are a massive part of the problem when it comes to being over worked, they refuse to see that its the working practices within the NHS which often drive workers away rather than pay. As an old NHS hand once told me...."the NHS is full of cults".

I work in the community-based social service sector and we got 5% this year. Our wages have lagged behind nurse for decades and we have to put up with the shoddy attitudes of our NHS "partners".
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ThunderGuts
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PostPosted: 14:15 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ribenapigeon wrote:
I would have more sympathy for the nurses if they were taking action for half what they want and for reform of the workplace. The problem is though that nurses themselves are a massive part of the problem when it comes to being over worked, they refuse to see that its the working practices within the NHS which often drive workers away rather than pay. As an old NHS hand once told me...."the NHS is full of cults".


Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
Time to stop throwing money at the NHS problem and start spending what it has more wisely instead. Bring in experienced staff from supermarkets, factory floors, the army, places where waste, delay and inefficiency doesn’t get a bail-out and ‘that’s not how we work’, or ‘we’ve always done it that way’ won’t wash. Pathology labs should be working weekends. Diagnostic scanners should never go cold. If I have a doctor’s appointment at 8:30 I want to be seen at 8:30, not staring at a rolling display for 30 minutes (it’s happened) telling me how much time was lost to ‘non-attendees’ last month. I suspect they showed up on time but the day’s cumulative delays meant they couldn’t wait and had to get back to work.


I think there's a lot of truth in this. My wife works in the NHS; she's very objective about things and openly talks about the horrendous working practices she sees day in, day out. Usually "management" (whoever they are) are responsible, but her immediate colleagues are happy to fiddle the system to their own benefit too. Most are up to this lark from what I can gather, so it goes unchecked as if someone started trying to control it, they'd be shooting themselves in the foot. The levels of waste are astronomical. I've seen it myself when I've been into hospitals as a patient; my professional background is around making business processes lean and efficient so I can't help but observe and the way these places are operated are appalling and often the level of organisation and structure you'd expect at a carboot sale. I'm not even joking! There are things I've been told (which I won't repeat) which make me genuinely question the IQ of those making 7 figure purchasing decisions in large hospital trusts.

It's such an enormous problem to deal with though; where do you start? Pretty much all processes would need to be rewritten to get true efficiency. That would be a huge undertaking in itself, but you've also got over a million employees to sort out. They would need training in new processes, contracts would need changing (both to reflect working patterns but also to tighten up on the ludicrously lax approach to sickness and attendance) and above all this, the culture would need changing. It's unlikely everyone would "abandon ship" because of the change; many are specialists and while a proportion could migrate to the private healthcare sector, or other industries, I suspect the majority would have to accept the change or find new careers.

This brings me back to unions; I may be wrong, but I get the impression the overly generous provision of sickness, a seemingly terror-driven reticence to query people's working ethics and a general "it's all about me" attitude (ironically) is a product of union involvement over the years. I suspect unions have actively campaigned for more and more protective and lenient working conditions, but that combined with workers (not all) who then take advantage of it, means the overhead cost must be astronomical. Maybe I'm being harsh here, but an example is someone has been repeatedly off with stress, on and off, for years, ever since getting a promotion. They've spent more time off than they have in work. The cause is job-related stress apparently. I'm sorry, but if it was the private sector, their competency would have been questioned a long time ago; some are just not cut out for stressful job positions!

I'll climb back down from my soapbox now. Some of this might be contentious, but based on my observations, it is worryingly true.
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KiwiBob
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PostPosted: 14:34 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

This guy nails it! ...

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Feasty
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PostPosted: 14:42 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

We live in such a capitalist society now, everything revolves around money. The more you have, the more you can do, the more you can influence, the more you can make, and so on.
The middle and lower classes are kept in place with the odd few getting higher due to lucky breaks or higher than average IQ's.

So let's take it a step further, let's make all financial decisions the choice of the earner. Take the NHS, if for example my local hospital has a huge waiting list and 3 days to get an emergency ambulance visit - I'll stop my tax payments towards that thank you very much, and pour it into private care instead.
Private companies pay their staff more, have a better quality of care and provide a better level of service.

Privatisation with regulation and public access to all financial books would surely improve and create a better service that is competitive than waste huge amounts of money on a failing NHS.
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PostPosted: 15:04 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

The NHS is the modern day religion. Touch it at you own risk.
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M.C
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PostPosted: 16:19 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
The NHS is the modern day religion. Touch it at you own risk.

https://cofecarlisle.contentfiles.net/media/thumbs/32/ce/32ce2a4bb3871f5b016b94312a90de79.jpg
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 21:02 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

KiwiBob wrote:


It’s ‘whataboutism’ though.

Also ‘gaslighting’ seems to mean having a different opinion. How dare they!
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colin1
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PostPosted: 23:31 - 14 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nurses want to be paid? I thought they lived on gratitude and us going outside to clap for them from time to time.
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PostPosted: 14:36 - 15 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

The amount of planning that goes into ensuring everybody gets through winter is fucking well difficult and complicated enough without this malarkey.

The really underpaid ones are healthcare assistants.
The ones you think are nurses but in fact are little better than minimum-wage slaves doing the duties that nurses are too busy doing paperwork to actually perform. Rolling Eyes
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chickenstrip
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PostPosted: 16:30 - 15 Dec 2022    Post subject: Reply with quote

colin1 wrote:
Nurses want to be paid? I thought they lived on gratitude and us going outside to clap for them from time to time.


How do you keep attaining such heights of intellectual profundity? Wish I could be like you! Laughing
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