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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
Joined: 08 Mar 2019 Karma :
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UncleFester |
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UncleFester World Chat Champion
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Robby |
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Robby Dirty Old Man
Joined: 16 May 2002 Karma :
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Posted: 09:40 - 18 May 2023 Post subject: |
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Easy-X wrote: |
Would you say the current trend in excess deaths is at least statistically interesting? |
It's interesting, but you're looking for evidence to back up your conspiracy theory and trying to make it fit.
The only piece of evidence here is that there are excess deaths on the stats. You are trying to make the covid vaccines the reason for those excess deaths. It also fits with the conspiracy theorist narrow mindset of trying to find a single reason to explain a broad trend.
I feel that the reality is, no-one knows, or we would have a public health campaign running to fix the problem. It is likely to be a combination of several factors.
Off the top of my head some factors could be:
1. Long term covid complications. Whilst the majority that caught covid just got better over a fairly short time period, a significant minority did not. It affected different people in different ways, but a lot of people ended up weaker and more vulnerable to illness.
2. Poverty and access to healthcare. More people can't afford to eat well, live in a warm home and stay healthy. Combined with an increasing NHS backlog, people end up weaker and more vulnerable to illness.
3. Stress, linked to cost of living. Stress fucks people up.
If you add a lot of new pressures to a large number of people, like the ones above, some of those people are going to die. |
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stinkwheel |
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stinkwheel Bovine Proctologist
Joined: 12 Jul 2004 Karma :
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Posted: 13:14 - 18 May 2023 Post subject: |
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So what you're doing is working on the assumption this is all a result of covid vaccine?
I think that's a bit of a jump.
Perhaps a more pertinant question would be "Is the upturn in excess death in any way statistically related to people who received the covid vaccine?".
Prove a correlation first, then look for a causation, then look for a cure. There's a lot of big data out there so I'm sure someone is crunching it.
People tend not to publish negative correlations unless they specifically set out to prove something is not the case. Like there's no study showing people who play the recorder are no more likely to die of a rectal prolapse than the rest of the population.
Diving straight in asking if there's a way to reverse damage done by a vaccine when there's no evidence damage has been done is pretty arse about tit. ____________________ “Rule one: Always stick around for one more drink. That's when things happen. That's when you find out everything you want to know.”
I did the 2010 Round Britain Rally on my 350 Bullet. 89 landmarks, 3 months, 9,500 miles. |
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MarJay |
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MarJay But it's British!
Joined: 15 Sep 2003 Karma :
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Posted: 13:44 - 18 May 2023 Post subject: |
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There are tonnes of reasons why the level of deaths may be higher. Maybe people who were at risk stopped isolating, caught Covid and died? Maybe their health was negatively affected by the lockdown? Maybe isolation meant that some people actually survived longer than they would otherwise, and when the lockdowns lifted they then went and had their heart attacks they otherwise would have?
I suspect the issue is down to the massive change in lifestyle we were all subjected to in the last 3 years. It could be as simple as people living off of Deliveroo for the last 3 years, and not getting any excercise. There are so many more reasons why the death statistics may have changed since 2020. I mean, literally everything else has changed. Medically, culturally, psychologically, philosophically. It could be even down to suicides feasibly? I mean, we've all heard that lockdowns have hurt our mental health.
As said previously though, those excess deaths are still less than the Covid deaths at the peak of the pandemic. ____________________ British beauty: Triumph Street Triple R; Loony stroker: KR1S; Track fun: GSXR750 L1; Commuter Missile: GSX-S1000F
Remember kids, bikes aren't like lego. You can't easily take a part from one bike and then fit it to another. |
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MarJay |
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MarJay But it's British!
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Nobby the Bastard |
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Nobby the Bastard Harley Gaydar
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 Karma :
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UncleFester |
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UncleFester World Chat Champion
Joined: 30 Jun 2013 Karma :
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Posted: 14:13 - 18 May 2023 Post subject: |
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What causes myocarditis?
Myocarditis is most commonly caused by:
a virus, such as the flu or Covid-19, or another viral infection.
If you’re worried, you can read more about the effect of Covid-19 on the heart, including how it can cause myocarditis.
When myocarditis is caused by a virus, symptoms can start to show one or two weeks later. This is because the immune system, the body’s own natural defence system, overreacts to being infected with a virus, and causes inflammation. This inflammation can stay in the heart even after the virus has gone.
Other causes include:
bacterial infections, such as sore throat, or chest infection, or fungal infections, such as athlete’s foot
auto immune diseases (when your own immune system attacks your body), for example lupus
a reaction to harmful substances (toxins), such as carbon monoxide, or drugs such as cocaine
a reaction to certain medicines or vaccines
There have been rare cases of myocarditis following the Moderna covid vaccine (or even more rarely, the Pfizer vaccine). If you are worried, you can find out more about what covid vaccines mean for your heart.
Sometimes it isn’t possible to find the cause of myocarditis. This can be frustrating and difficult for you. There is support available to help you manage your condition and your wellbeing – find out how we can help.
Myocarditis can affect anyone, of any age, but it tends to affect more males than females, and people under 50.
Go on then. Reliably extrapolate COVID vaccination as the probably primary cause. ____________________ Module 1 and 2 passed - October 2014. Happy owner of a 2017 Z1000SX, ex owner of a YBR125 / CB500 / VFR800. |
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Islander |
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Islander World Chat Champion
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Islander |
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Islander World Chat Champion
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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
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Kawasaki Jimbo |
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Kawasaki Jimbo World Chat Champion
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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
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Posted: 18:15 - 18 May 2023 Post subject: |
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Kawasaki Jimbo wrote: | ‘Excess deaths’ is a new statistic prompted by the pandemic, and the methodology might be problematic.
Quote: | -different mortality measures even from the same organisation can give differing results. For example, ONS data shows that excess deaths in 2022 were 6.3 per cent above the baseline average, but the age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was 0.7 per cent below. This is because the UK’s population is both growing and ageing, which will result in more deaths even if nothing else changes; as ASMRs adjust for these demographic changes, they will show a smaller excess over the baseline than the number of excess deaths. |
https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2023/03/when-death-excess-death-getting-behind-numbers |
So what you're say is if we weren't importing slave labour en masse the figures would be much worse? ____________________ Husqvarna Vitpilen 401, Yamaha XSR700, Honda Rebel, Yamaha DT175, Suzuki SV650 (loan) Fazer 600, Keeway Superlight 125, 50cc turd scooter |
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Kawasaki Jimbo |
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Kawasaki Jimbo World Chat Champion
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Nobby the Bastard |
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Nobby the Bastard Harley Gaydar
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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
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doggone |
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doggone World Chat Champion
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Ste |
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Ste Not Work Safe
Joined: 01 Sep 2002 Karma :
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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
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Posted: 10:51 - 24 May 2023 Post subject: |
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doggone wrote: | These excess deaths are not found in countries that did not deploy the mRNA vaccines. |
Does this include lots of sub-Saharan Africa countries? They didn't need the vaccine as their life expectance is less than 60
AFAIK this excess deaths "problem" is for most Western countries. It'd be interesting to see the stats for a Western country that did all of the stupid stuff - mask mandates, lockdowns, social distancing - but nobody got jabbed
Looking at this chart:
https://pandem-ic.com/the-50-least-vaccinated-countries-in-the-world
It looks like mostly Africa and Caribbean islands. Let's take a look at excess deaths for Jamacia and Bulgaria...
https://geoffjward.medium.com/wave-of-excess-deaths-worldwide-2fbe5b840df6/
Quote: | Excess mortality varied across the EU: Bulgaria (-1.5 %) and Romania (-7.0 %) recorded the lowest values, lower than the national monthly average for 2016–19. |
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/JAM/jamaica/death-rate
Looks like there was no spike due to Covid, probably a load of other more important factors on the island. Unfortunately we not just comparing apples to oranges but also bananas, grapes, turnips, etc.
One thing that does seem apparent is vaccine take-up in the West was quite high. It would have been incredibly useful if one country had volunteered to not vaccinate their population so as to act as a control subject, Iceland for example. ____________________ Husqvarna Vitpilen 401, Yamaha XSR700, Honda Rebel, Yamaha DT175, Suzuki SV650 (loan) Fazer 600, Keeway Superlight 125, 50cc turd scooter |
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Robby |
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Robby Dirty Old Man
Joined: 16 May 2002 Karma :
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Easy-X |
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Easy-X Super Spammer
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Posted: 02:28 - 25 May 2023 Post subject: |
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Robby wrote: | Stop trying to make the data support your conspiracy theory. Have a break from facebook and GB news. |
My conspiracy theory? I'm touched that you'd think I came up with all this myself
This is the stuff doing the rounds. We have to do better than just cry "conspiracy theory" when it's something we don't like. It's about as worn out as trying to end a conversation with Nazi, Fascist, Transphobe, etc. I refuse to believe the best course of action when you see someone on the edge of the precipice is to throw up your hands, declare them a nutter and urge them to jump! Surely the decent thing to do is talk them down?
With regards to control groups I regret to inform you that researchers do it all the time. New treatment for cancer on trial? Half of the subjects will be getting the saline drip ____________________ Husqvarna Vitpilen 401, Yamaha XSR700, Honda Rebel, Yamaha DT175, Suzuki SV650 (loan) Fazer 600, Keeway Superlight 125, 50cc turd scooter |
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UncleFester |
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UncleFester World Chat Champion
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stinkwheel |
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stinkwheel Bovine Proctologist
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Kawasaki Jimbo |
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Kawasaki Jimbo World Chat Champion
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Robby |
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Robby Dirty Old Man
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Posted: 09:01 - 25 May 2023 Post subject: |
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Easy-X wrote: |
Looks like there was no spike due to Covid, probably a load of other more important factors on the island.
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At the top of the page it says: "NOTE: All death rate data after 2019 are United Nations projections and therefore DO NOT include any impacts from COVID-19."
Which would suggest your data is no good.
As far as I can tell, you're trying to tie higher excess deaths post-pandemic to the vaccines. There is no evidence of this. I'm not even sure if there is data showing higher excess deaths.
As has been stated many times in this thread, there are lots of factors that could cause more people to die, the broadest being a general economic slowdown. We have 3 pages of people trying to talk you down.
A better question to ask yourself would be the disinformation questions to find out why you are thinking the vaccines are a problem. You don't have to answer these publicly.
- Where are you seeing the information making you think that vaccines are a problem? Is it a reputable source, or is it driven by herd mentality or algorithms on social media.
- Are you get into this more, is the information you see getting more extreme, or branching out into other realms of disinformation? The hop from covid vaccines to Jewish space lasers, for instance.
- Do the information or stories you see have instant appeal from a factual basis, or from an emotional basis. Or to look at it another way, does it feel like the articles you read are trying to inform you, or are they trying to change the way you think about a subject?
If it seems that you are being led down a rabbit hole by disinformation, take a 2 week break from social media and algorithmically generated suggestions. So facebook, twitter, youtube as the main culprits. See if you feel different after the 2 weeks. |
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