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Cure for Covid vaccines?

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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 08:57 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

MarJay wrote:
...I have zero concerns.


That's good to know, thanks.

Would you say the current trend in excess deaths is at least statistically interesting?
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UncleFester
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PostPosted: 09:34 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

To me - no.

To someone who wants to infer something, no doubt
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Robby
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PostPosted: 09:40 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:


Would you say the current trend in excess deaths is at least statistically interesting?


It's interesting, but you're looking for evidence to back up your conspiracy theory and trying to make it fit.

The only piece of evidence here is that there are excess deaths on the stats. You are trying to make the covid vaccines the reason for those excess deaths. It also fits with the conspiracy theorist narrow mindset of trying to find a single reason to explain a broad trend.

I feel that the reality is, no-one knows, or we would have a public health campaign running to fix the problem. It is likely to be a combination of several factors.

Off the top of my head some factors could be:
1. Long term covid complications. Whilst the majority that caught covid just got better over a fairly short time period, a significant minority did not. It affected different people in different ways, but a lot of people ended up weaker and more vulnerable to illness.
2. Poverty and access to healthcare. More people can't afford to eat well, live in a warm home and stay healthy. Combined with an increasing NHS backlog, people end up weaker and more vulnerable to illness.
3. Stress, linked to cost of living. Stress fucks people up.

If you add a lot of new pressures to a large number of people, like the ones above, some of those people are going to die.
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stinkwheel
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PostPosted: 13:14 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
stinkwheel wrote:
Nope, you're still going to have to enlighten me as to what damage the vaccine has done?


From the ONS stats, adjusting for "old people things" (Dementia is the big one, a grim fate for the majority of us) the upticks in order are as follows:

Symptoms, signs and ill-defined conditions
Ischaemic heart disease
Heart failure and complications and ill-defined heart disease
Chronic lower respiratory diseases
Nonrheumatic valve disorders
Malignant neoplasm of colon sigmoid rectum and anus
Cirrhosis and other diseases of the liver
Diabetes
Septicaemia
Cardiac arrhythmias

Such colourful terms! "Symptoms, signs and ill-defined conditions?" I'd be curious as to what that covers but half the rest are easy fodder for foil fedora fiddlers and "this is why football players are dropping dead!" Rolling Eyes

Anyhoo, there's no direct correlation between anything in the above list and the mRNA vaccine only that it can be interesting to see what people won't talk about*. BTW these are deaths so umm... ultimately final figures. Feel free to speculate on how many people have had a sudden long-term downturn in health.

What's happened in the last few years? Covid, the vaccines, stress on the NHS... cost of living? It would seem weighing up only some of these is permissible Thinking

*Owen Jones did do a bit in the Guardian a while back but for the sake of public decency I shan't link to it Wink


So what you're doing is working on the assumption this is all a result of covid vaccine?

I think that's a bit of a jump.

Perhaps a more pertinant question would be "Is the upturn in excess death in any way statistically related to people who received the covid vaccine?".

Prove a correlation first, then look for a causation, then look for a cure. There's a lot of big data out there so I'm sure someone is crunching it.

People tend not to publish negative correlations unless they specifically set out to prove something is not the case. Like there's no study showing people who play the recorder are no more likely to die of a rectal prolapse than the rest of the population.

Diving straight in asking if there's a way to reverse damage done by a vaccine when there's no evidence damage has been done is pretty arse about tit.
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MarJay
But it's British!



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PostPosted: 13:44 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

There are tonnes of reasons why the level of deaths may be higher. Maybe people who were at risk stopped isolating, caught Covid and died? Maybe their health was negatively affected by the lockdown? Maybe isolation meant that some people actually survived longer than they would otherwise, and when the lockdowns lifted they then went and had their heart attacks they otherwise would have?

I suspect the issue is down to the massive change in lifestyle we were all subjected to in the last 3 years. It could be as simple as people living off of Deliveroo for the last 3 years, and not getting any excercise. There are so many more reasons why the death statistics may have changed since 2020. I mean, literally everything else has changed. Medically, culturally, psychologically, philosophically. It could be even down to suicides feasibly? I mean, we've all heard that lockdowns have hurt our mental health.

As said previously though, those excess deaths are still less than the Covid deaths at the peak of the pandemic.
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MarJay
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PostPosted: 13:49 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh yeah, there is also massive evidence that catching and fighting off Covid even once negatively affects your heart. So what's to say that people who had Covid who generally had some other unknown medical conditions were not entirely responsible for the excess deaths?
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Nobby the Bastard
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PostPosted: 13:58 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fill yah boots....

https://www.bhf.org.uk/informationsupport/conditions/myocarditis#causes
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UncleFester
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PostPosted: 14:13 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

What causes myocarditis? 
Myocarditis is most commonly caused by:

a virus, such as the flu or Covid-19, or another viral infection.
If you’re worried, you can read more about the effect of Covid-19 on the heart, including how it can cause myocarditis.

When myocarditis is caused by a virus, symptoms can start to show one or two weeks later. This is because the immune system, the body’s own natural defence system, overreacts to being infected with a virus, and causes inflammation. This inflammation can stay in the heart even after the virus has gone.

Other causes include:

bacterial infections, such as sore throat, or chest infection, or fungal infections, such as athlete’s foot
auto immune diseases (when your own immune system attacks your body), for example lupus
a reaction to harmful substances (toxins), such as carbon monoxide, or drugs such as cocaine
a reaction to certain medicines or vaccines
There have been rare cases of myocarditis following the Moderna covid vaccine (or even more rarely, the Pfizer vaccine). If you are worried, you can find out more about what covid vaccines mean for your heart.
Sometimes it isn’t possible to find the cause of myocarditis. This can be frustrating and difficult for you. There is support available to help you manage your condition and your wellbeing – find out how we can help.

Myocarditis can affect anyone, of any age, but it tends to affect more males than females, and people under 50.

Go on then. Reliably extrapolate COVID vaccination as the probably primary cause.
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Islander
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PostPosted: 14:49 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
Oh? There's no political angle when it comes to Covid? That's very interesting. "Trust the science!" okay... so should I mention Thalidomide?


Thalidomide is why we have the strong checks and balances in place for new drugs etc. today. The Medicines Act was developed and passed for that very reason. Science learns from data - extensive data gathered, checked and published. Conspiracy theorists learn from YouTube videos and social media. The two aren't even remotely comparable.

Oh and Thalidomide is still an effective drug and in use today.
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Islander
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PostPosted: 15:05 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Also, you do realise that ALL drugs come with side effects that will affect a tiny percentage of the people taking them in fairly rare cases? Have you ever read the Patient Information Leaflet that comes with every drug including common OTC stuff like Ibuprofen and Paracetamol?

What the science does is weigh up the overall beneficial effects of using the drug against the side effects and it does so using real numbers gathered from studies and patient feedback. If the risks are too high then the drug doesn't go to market. If they're significantly smaller than the benefits then it does. The MHRA won't issue a product licence number until they're satisfied and the pharmaceutical companies have to go through the whole process again for every small change and new product.

In the case of the covid vaccines, they're undoubtedly saved many lives and allowed a return to normal for the vast majority of the population. The unfortunate deaths from side effects are infinitesimally small compared to that.

When you trot out numbers of deaths from covid so blithely, you forget to factor in the numbers of people that didn't die because of the rules on social distancing, lockdowns etc. It was a serious disease that could potentially have killed many many more people than it did.

Now step away from the conspiracy theories and use your brain.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 15:37 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

MarJay wrote:
I suspect the issue is down to the massive change in lifestyle we were all subjected to in the last 3 years. It could be as simple as people living off of Deliveroo for the last 3 years, and not getting any excercise.


This seems like the smartest answer so far.
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 17:21 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

‘Excess deaths’ is a new statistic prompted by the pandemic, and the methodology might be problematic.

Quote:
-different mortality measures even from the same organisation can give differing results. For example, ONS data shows that excess deaths in 2022 were 6.3 per cent above the baseline average, but the age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was 0.7 per cent below. This is because the UK’s population is both growing and ageing, which will result in more deaths even if nothing else changes; as ASMRs adjust for these demographic changes, they will show a smaller excess over the baseline than the number of excess deaths.


https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2023/03/when-death-excess-death-getting-behind-numbers
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 18:15 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kawasaki Jimbo wrote:
‘Excess deaths’ is a new statistic prompted by the pandemic, and the methodology might be problematic.

Quote:
-different mortality measures even from the same organisation can give differing results. For example, ONS data shows that excess deaths in 2022 were 6.3 per cent above the baseline average, but the age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was 0.7 per cent below. This is because the UK’s population is both growing and ageing, which will result in more deaths even if nothing else changes; as ASMRs adjust for these demographic changes, they will show a smaller excess over the baseline than the number of excess deaths.


https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2023/03/when-death-excess-death-getting-behind-numbers


So what you're say is if we weren't importing slave labour en masse the figures would be much worse?
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 18:31 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Make of it what you will. Just try to stay back from the edge.
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Nobby the Bastard
Harley Gaydar



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PostPosted: 18:36 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Excess deaths aren't more deaths than births.

It means that there were more deaths than the norm.

Not sure how immigration would really make much of a difference to that.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 19:15 - 18 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nobby the Bastard wrote:
Excess deaths aren't more deaths than births.

It means that there were more deaths than the norm.

Not sure how immigration would really make much of a difference to that.


Amazing how humour levels drop significantly when you talk about the wrong topics Laughing
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doggone
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PostPosted: 22:23 - 23 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Historically, excess deaths should turn negative after a pandemic.
That they have remained positive has never happened before.
These excess deaths are not found in countries that did not deploy the mRNA vaccines.

Prof Norman Fenton, a statistician, has given a detailed breakdown as to why the ONS data distinguishing vaccinated from unvaccinated is inaccurate and is hiding the truth of the problem.
The vaccinated and unvaccinated data is not equivalent - unvaccinated population being derived from subtracting vaccinated from the total population. If the total population figure is wrong then the denominator is wrong and this has huge effect on the stats. There is clear evidence the denominator is indeed wrong as would be the case if, relating to a separate issue, the ONS are underestimating population size - (hmm wonder why they might be doing that).

The statistics regulator has agreed with him. The ONS now put a small text footnote against the data indicating there are problems with it. Of course nobody in government notices that or wants to understand why.
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Ste
Not Work Safe



Joined: 01 Sep 2002
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PostPosted: 22:36 - 23 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

doggone wrote:
The statistics regulator has agreed with him. The ONS now put a small text footnote against the data indicating there are problems with it. Of course nobody in government notices that or wants to understand why.

You can show us the footnote you're referring to?
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 10:51 - 24 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

doggone wrote:
These excess deaths are not found in countries that did not deploy the mRNA vaccines.


Does this include lots of sub-Saharan Africa countries? They didn't need the vaccine as their life expectance is less than 60 Shocked

AFAIK this excess deaths "problem" is for most Western countries. It'd be interesting to see the stats for a Western country that did all of the stupid stuff - mask mandates, lockdowns, social distancing - but nobody got jabbed Thinking

Looking at this chart:

https://pandem-ic.com/the-50-least-vaccinated-countries-in-the-world

It looks like mostly Africa and Caribbean islands. Let's take a look at excess deaths for Jamacia and Bulgaria...

https://geoffjward.medium.com/wave-of-excess-deaths-worldwide-2fbe5b840df6/

Quote:
Excess mortality varied across the EU: Bulgaria (-1.5 %) and Romania (-7.0 %) recorded the lowest values, lower than the national monthly average for 2016–19.


https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/JAM/jamaica/death-rate

Looks like there was no spike due to Covid, probably a load of other more important factors on the island. Unfortunately we not just comparing apples to oranges but also bananas, grapes, turnips, etc. Rolling Eyes

One thing that does seem apparent is vaccine take-up in the West was quite high. It would have been incredibly useful if one country had volunteered to not vaccinate their population so as to act as a control subject, Iceland for example.
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Robby
Dirty Old Man



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PostPosted: 23:57 - 24 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:
It would have been incredibly useful if one country had volunteered to not vaccinate their population so as to act as a control subject, Iceland for example.


No. It would have been incredibly damaging, because of all of the extra dead people.

Stop trying to make the data support your conspiracy theory. Have a break from facebook and GB news.
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Easy-X
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PostPosted: 02:28 - 25 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Robby wrote:
Stop trying to make the data support your conspiracy theory. Have a break from facebook and GB news.


My conspiracy theory? I'm touched that you'd think I came up with all this myself Wink

This is the stuff doing the rounds. We have to do better than just cry "conspiracy theory" when it's something we don't like. It's about as worn out as trying to end a conversation with Nazi, Fascist, Transphobe, etc. I refuse to believe the best course of action when you see someone on the edge of the precipice is to throw up your hands, declare them a nutter and urge them to jump! Surely the decent thing to do is talk them down?

With regards to control groups I regret to inform you that researchers do it all the time. New treatment for cancer on trial? Half of the subjects will be getting the saline drip Shocked
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UncleFester
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PostPosted: 05:57 - 25 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's almost like you lot think the happily vaccinated need saving from some mystery killer. This thread is the most attention i've ever paid to the fact.

Much like riding a bike, did my initial risk assessment and got on with life as i suspect did everyone else. Chances of catching Covid - far higher than the chances of being allegedly potato'd by the vaccine.

Statistically, you'd be far better off getting an annual set of blood scans done to check for cancer and worrying about that. Or avoiding all processed foods etc etc.
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stinkwheel
Bovine Proctologist



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PostPosted: 07:47 - 25 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:

With regards to control groups I regret to inform you that researchers do it all the time. New treatment for cancer on trial? Half of the subjects will be getting the saline drip Shocked


That's because they don't know if it's going to work, or may have unseen harmfull effects. That bit had already been done with the COVID vaccine before it was offered to the general public.
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Kawasaki Jimbo
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PostPosted: 08:26 - 25 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
(Least vaccinated-) It looks like mostly Africa and Caribbean islands.


A hot climate might suppress transmission.
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Robby
Dirty Old Man



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PostPosted: 09:01 - 25 May 2023    Post subject: Reply with quote

Easy-X wrote:

Looks like there was no spike due to Covid, probably a load of other more important factors on the island.


At the top of the page it says: "NOTE: All death rate data after 2019 are United Nations projections and therefore DO NOT include any impacts from COVID-19."

Which would suggest your data is no good.

As far as I can tell, you're trying to tie higher excess deaths post-pandemic to the vaccines. There is no evidence of this. I'm not even sure if there is data showing higher excess deaths.

As has been stated many times in this thread, there are lots of factors that could cause more people to die, the broadest being a general economic slowdown. We have 3 pages of people trying to talk you down.

A better question to ask yourself would be the disinformation questions to find out why you are thinking the vaccines are a problem. You don't have to answer these publicly.

- Where are you seeing the information making you think that vaccines are a problem? Is it a reputable source, or is it driven by herd mentality or algorithms on social media.

- Are you get into this more, is the information you see getting more extreme, or branching out into other realms of disinformation? The hop from covid vaccines to Jewish space lasers, for instance.

- Do the information or stories you see have instant appeal from a factual basis, or from an emotional basis. Or to look at it another way, does it feel like the articles you read are trying to inform you, or are they trying to change the way you think about a subject?

If it seems that you are being led down a rabbit hole by disinformation, take a 2 week break from social media and algorithmically generated suggestions. So facebook, twitter, youtube as the main culprits. See if you feel different after the 2 weeks.
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