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JackButler |
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JackButler Traffic Copper
Joined: 11 Nov 2019 Karma :
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Posted: 23:47 - 26 Feb 2020 Post subject: Coronavirus -archive |
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Split thread from June 2021. New thread here:
https://www.bikechatforums.com/viewtopic.php?t=333101
I sort of understand that there's a semi-defined timeline involved with pandemics & we seem to be fairly accurately hitting the benchmarks.
So when's the best time to stock the larder & fill up the fridge ??? ____________________ I clean my guns with the tears of the snivelling, left wing scum. |
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mentalboy |
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mentalboy World Chat Champion
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Kawasaki Jimbo |
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Kawasaki Jimbo World Chat Champion
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Sister Sledge |
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Sister Sledge World Chat Champion
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Polarbear |
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Polarbear Super Spammer
Joined: 24 Feb 2007 Karma :
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Posted: 09:32 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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I have 2 bottles of Captain Morgan's finest, a case of diet coke and numerous Bombay Bad Boy pot noodles on my boat.
I'm fixed for the duration. ____________________ Triumph Trophy Launch Edition |
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doggone |
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doggone World Chat Champion
Joined: 20 May 2004 Karma :
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WreckTangle |
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WreckTangle Scooby Slapper
Joined: 21 Oct 2019 Karma :
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JackButler |
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JackButler Traffic Copper
Joined: 11 Nov 2019 Karma :
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mentalboy |
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mentalboy World Chat Champion
Joined: 05 May 2012 Karma :
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Posted: 13:17 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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Maybe we'll get the opportunity to clear out last year's unused stack of hurricane tins, just in time to stock up again.
Having spent the last week bashing the Moonie churches in South Korea I'm surprised the media here gave barely a passing mention to the hordes of Catholics crammed into St Peter's square yesterday trying their best to infect the doddery old bloke in the white frock...
Oh, and PB, can you really make two bottles of Captain Morgan last long enough when stuck inside for 14 days? ____________________ Make mine a Corona. |
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Nobby the Bastard |
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Nobby the Bastard Harley Gaydar
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 Karma :
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Posted: 13:34 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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You can just improvise when needing more rum.
https://www.bikechatforums.com/download.php?id=103159 ____________________ trevor saxe-coburg-gotha:"Remember this simple rule - scooters are for men who like to feel the breeze on their huge, flapping cunt lips."
Sprint ST 1050 |
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bhinso |
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bhinso World Chat Champion
Joined: 21 Jun 2008 Karma :
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Posted: 15:46 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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Overhyped.
The media are struggling for news after things have died down with Brexit/Meghan/Schof/Snacks.
This gives them something to devote a whole hour of reporting to |
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Howling Terror |
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Howling Terror Super Spammer
Joined: 05 Dec 2008 Karma :
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Posted: 18:26 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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WreckTangle |
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WreckTangle Scooby Slapper
Joined: 21 Oct 2019 Karma :
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Posted: 20:12 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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Holy Moly!!
just come across news that now even the pople might have this!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BGW1iL88Fws
Even gods favourite one is not immune
ONe wonders if he will next on the celebrity rip thread ____________________ My wife asked me to get her something that goes from 0-100 in under 5 seconds for her birthday. ......................I got her a bathroom scale. |
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Polarbear |
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Polarbear Super Spammer
Joined: 24 Feb 2007 Karma :
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Kawasaki Jimbo |
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Kawasaki Jimbo World Chat Champion
Joined: 09 Oct 2015 Karma :
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Posted: 22:27 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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For context, estimated deaths in England due to influenza, 2017-2018: 26,408
The flu-like 2020 Coronavirus outbreak appears to have killed mostly old folk, putting it in ordinary flu territory.
The classically feared flu pandemic was 1918's Spanish Flu which curiously killed all ages including the typically healthy 20-40 age group. Theories include strong immune systems fighting it out to exhaustion and death, whilst weaker systems quit and allowed the virus to follow its life cycle, moving on instead of killing the host. Another theory is that people exposed to a Group 2 sub-type virus in early life (outbreak in 1898 in this case) are predisposed to succumb to a Group 1 sub-type (1918's Spanish Flu). Of course, Spanish Flu was particularly unkind bearing in mind that WW1 had already killed so many young men. Another theory says the flu virus only opened the door to bacterial lung infections which, in the absence of antibiotics, did the real damage.
I do wonder whether this is a media-led pandemic. |
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doggone |
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doggone World Chat Champion
Joined: 20 May 2004 Karma :
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Posted: 22:48 - 27 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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The problem is the huge numbers who won't survive without a rather prolonged spell in the ICU if not on a ventilator due to pneumonia
The NHS is well prepared they keep saying
The main problem will be the economic disaster of general shutdown of almost everything for several weeks in an attempt to slow it down. It won't work but might help spread the peak out and conceivably a vaccine will be nearly ready before autumn.
It won't go away for several years and could have multiple waves with different variations as happened in Spanish Flu |
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Nobby the Bastard |
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Nobby the Bastard Harley Gaydar
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 Karma :
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Pigeon |
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Pigeon World Chat Champion
Joined: 27 Sep 2012 Karma :
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Posted: 00:50 - 28 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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400 million people on lock down in China alone.
11% Official mortality rate in Iran (13% unofficial)
3.4% Official mortality rate in China (14% unofficial)
R0 between 2.5 and 6.6 (although nearer 6.6 seems more likely, particularly given its aerosol based and infectious through farts)
Even if only 25% of the UK gets it. That could be between 2.2m and 9.2m deaths.
Compared to flu of 600 a year.
Doesn't sound overhyped.
EDIT: But beyond that, the economic side could interesting.
Supply chain issues, everything is JIT and it must have a significant impact. Container ships are queuing up in ports.
Then each country / company has debt to service, but with receipts dropping. How long can they pay people to be at home for.
Central banks / governments are going to have to co-ordinate and helicopter money all over the shop if this goes on for more than a few months.
EDIT2: As Dogone said, severe cases require intravenous fluids, crititcal cases require ventilation. I cant remember the figures quoted by Dr Campbell. But I thought it was 15% are severe and 5% critical.
Spent some time in a few hospitals in South in last 18 months. They have always been rammed with zero capacity (Cardio, Gastro and A&E). The NHS is, like most health organisations, absolutely not resourced for this. Which country could afford to have that level of spare capacity for a once in 100 year event. |
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Suntan Sid |
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Suntan Sid World Chat Champion
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UncleFester |
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UncleFester World Chat Champion
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Polarbear |
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Polarbear Super Spammer
Joined: 24 Feb 2007 Karma :
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Posted: 09:01 - 28 Feb 2020 Post subject: |
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Nature was always going to come up with something to control the germs called homo sapiens.
Good on it. ____________________ Triumph Trophy Launch Edition |
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iooi |
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iooi Super Spammer
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doggone |
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doggone World Chat Champion
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iooi |
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iooi Super Spammer
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mentalboy |
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mentalboy World Chat Champion
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Old Thread Alert!
The last post was made 4 years, 103 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful? |
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