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| Visitor Q |
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 Visitor Q $25 whore

Joined: 30 Apr 2004 Karma :     
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 Posted: 03:57 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: A slightly deeper musing on the future of the planet? (PopN) |
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Right then kiddies, as a destraction from my work i want to see viable solutions to the REAL problem facing humanity.
Overpopulation.
First, have a brief read of this wiki page about Malthusian crisis, then consider all the current environmental drives.
Sustainable power, renewable energy, ban on GMO, ban on fishing etc
These to my mind would only work with a REDUCED population, but since every bugger is out to cure the few diseases we have left... we're going to start running into problems. What feasible solutions would you suggest, taken into account ethics if you fancy as well. Or provide one ethical feasible idea, and one less ethical.
My ideas are all slightly pessimistic sadly. With current economic and health growth, population inevitably follows.
As has been seen in China, population caps and limits to child birth tend to evoke very emotive responses from the world, and would have to be enforced globally, leading to outrages on humanitarian free will grounds.
An aldous huxley-esque 'permit' to child birth would also work, but under a long period of civil unrest when implemented, which would discourage introduction. Also contraception would have to be enforced, thus removing free will. This would, however, stop the trend (satarised in Idiocracy) of negative correlation between IQ and offspring production (ie the lower your IQ, the more children you produce in general)
Removing healthcare to those beyong a certain age would hasten the turnover, mitigating the unnatural disparty between Birth & Death rates. This again would be very unsavoury to implement, as well as setting in motion something similar to Logan's Run, where the age drops and people are actively removed at a certain age. However this would discourage economic productivity, as the carrot of a lifetimes work is the promise of retirement (by which point you're too old to enjoy it, youth is wasted on the young etc).
To my mind however, the BEST thing that could happen to humanity would be a recurrence of something similar to the 1918 spanish flu. Incredibly virulent, killing most who caught it and spreading throughout the globe quickly (without the aid of air travel). A recurrence of something similar, with air travel speeding up the distribution of index cases throughout the globe, assuming it had variable mortality due to some positive or at least non-random trait would thin down the population both massively and rapidly. This would leave a large enough population to be genetically viable with immunity from the disease to inherit the earth without any population caps.
Of course that is quite rose tinted, it could favour the old or young, both with inherent problems. It could be sex linked or just have a 100% mortality rate (although im yet to see ANY disease which hasnt had some -maybe few- people who survive infection), both of which would stop its utility obviously. Plus the killing of 95% of the earth population say, would leave 6 Billion bodies to be buried least they decompose and cause secondary epidemics.
Anyone else got any tenable solutions? As mentioned GMO and Nuclear/Zero point (if we can get it to work) may buy us another 100-200 years, but eventually a solution would need to be found (in the unlikely event a rampant infection hadnt arisen within those 2 centuries) ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule...
Last edited by Visitor Q on 04:09 - 11 Jan 2008; edited 1 time in total |
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 Visitor Q $25 whore

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 Posted: 03:59 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Oh, and please avoid the 'colonise mars' type bollocks.
Even IF (a big if) the technology does come around in time for its use, the economic feasability to use it on a large scale (even displacing millions of people would be a drop in the ocean) nullifies its implementation. ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule... |
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 Itchy Super Spammer

Joined: 07 Apr 2005 Karma :     
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 Posted: 08:39 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Although I skipped over lots of your post
#1 war a big one, resources etc
I personally think China maybe involved in a civil war shortly due to the wealth inequity gap becoming enourmous with '300mil middle class' still leaves 900mil in poverty who are abused and often have their land stolen or wages unpaid when factory owners abscond. The law allows people there to be paid in one lump sum at the end of the year.
As Hetz says the ruling elite realise this and want to secure resources for themselves , the Russians have lots of resources,
Note China has a massive population due to lack of high tech weapons and thus relied upon the infantry rush, which sounds silly to us but if you have enough lives to waste it actually works imagine the somme but increase the half million men with 50 million men rushing the german lines.
#2 convient nuclear accidents why do YOU think the government wants lots of nuclear power everywhere? , population gets too high whoops convient nuclear accident occurs.
#3 Bird flu pandemic , as some comentators have said we've not had our big pandemic yet which occurs every so often much like San Francisco and Tokyo expecting a gigantic earth quake. ____________________ Spain 2008France 2007Big one 2009 We all die. The goal isn't to live forever, the goal is to create something that will. In the end, your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching. |
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 Itchy Super Spammer

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| Hetzer |
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 Hetzer Super Spammer

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 Posted: 09:22 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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A big fat war/cataclysm.  ____________________ "There's the horizon! Ride hard, ride fast and cut down all who stand in your way!" |
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 silky666 Captain Rulebook

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 Visitor Q $25 whore

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 Posted: 10:25 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| Hetzer wrote: | A big fat war/cataclysm.  |
Stochastic events will only affect single areas, and tend to promote 'baby-booms' afterwards.
We have plenty of interesting things killing people, thailand tsunami or katrina for instance.
But they are drops in the ocean. We need something that will thin the global population, not eradicate it from small areas. And a stochastic event that took out massive quantities of people would undoubtedly ravage the planet (eg large meteorite) quite easily tipping the balance.
We need to thin the crop globally without ruining it for the lucky few left to inherit it.
I do think we need a good war though Give the youth something to believe in. Nowadays though all we ever get is bitching about the validity or legality of the war. If we got attacked and forced into a total war perhaps things would be different, but this is unlikely. At least not in time to stiffen ourselves up from the flaccid state we're in now to a pant-elastic snapping morning glory... Not before the red hordes of the chinese overwhelm us anyway.
Plus war now is usually guerilla, it wouldn't make men anymore, just fill bodybags. Useful for thinning, but i highly doubt on the same level as a pandemic.
The spanish flu killed far more people in the WW1 period then bullets ever did. Ironically the only place it wasnt prolifically was spain, its just everywhere else was at war and didnt want to admit everyone was dying.
Itchy: I had a bigger reply for you but site went skitzy.
Eugenics is a very good idea objectively, but it scuppered by emotional subjectivity. I had a list of my genetic pros, and consider myself to have very good genes. But it depends how anal you want to get with it. Only keep those with an IQ above 100 and over 5,10 say? That then goes to IQ above 110 and 6 foot etc.
Plus every society needs its proleteriate, the more fertile the mind the more it rebels to menial labour.
Aldous Huxleys solution was very visionary in including a deliberate underclass. Another model society were the Spartans, who had slaves to do the farming, and killed all babies that showed signs of weakness.
I actually support hitlers broad view on eugenics, and it is his endorsement that makes it an unpalattable topic. But personally i believe in the future there is much scope. Those with genetic debilitating or cognitive impairment diseases should not breed, nor should those with very low IQ's (unless you intend to make an underclass). And if foodstuffs become limited, or other resources, the old and infirm should be euthanised.
All very logical stuff, but its one of those things you endorse up until its your turn. Or your relatives. It will only be accepted in a society if it is orthodox, hence introduction would be impossible unless we hit serious crisis.
One point though, do yourself a favour and actually do some PROPER research on Nuclear Power, ignore the greenpeace esqe bullshite. It's seriously the only present power source that ticks all the boxes, green, cheap, safe, reliable etc. I endorse it fully.
Before you mention Chernobyl, despite it being an ancient plant it was still caused by human stupidity, and deliberate stupidity at that. They turned off ALL the safeguards to run an experiment, which ran 'amok' so to speak. If memory serves a guy actually crawled underneath it and managed to stop it exploding, possibly turned a release valve or such.
That scenario could never happen now, and i despair when i see poorly informed mention of reactors detonating at random.
Also your theory (assuming they could detonate at random) is massively flawed for two reasons. The govt in its great wisdom bowed down to NIMBY power and started decomissioning them all, which its now stopped after great expense It takes something like 8 years to do it, and a ridiculous amount of money, so well done Sir Tony. Secondly, do not think of nuclear reactor accidents wiping out nice neat areas of people and thus lowering the population. Think of them more as death in the immediate close vicinity, with a steady cline for 100 miles or so of lifelong health conditions of rising severity as you get closer to the death zone. They also (in the case of chernobyl) threw up radioactive particals into the atmosphere to be rained down at random, indeed snowdon is still massively polluted from chernobyl 20 years on.
So in answer to what i think of them sticking them everywhere as convenient little population thinners to lower the tax burden by a few hundred thousand miscreants... ? I think its nonsense on par with the nuttiness of the cheese toasty virgin mary. ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule... |
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| UrbanRacer |
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 UrbanRacer World Chat Champion

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 Posted: 10:37 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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 silky666 Captain Rulebook

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 D O G World Chat Champion

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 killa Won't Shut Up

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 Posted: 11:10 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Yeah, im unclear what the aim of this topic is.
Humans suck, dirty cunts.
On the topic of global warming, saving the planet. No one actually mentiones the planet wil be fine for another 4.5billions years, its us who are fucked. ____________________ Cleverly disguised as a responsible adult.
Bike:- Yamaha TRX850 | Killas Biking History | Killas Gaming History | Killas autmotive history |
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 Visitor Q $25 whore

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 Posted: 11:32 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| killa wrote: |
On the topic of global warming, saving the planet. No one actually mentiones the planet wil be fine for another 4.5billions years, its us who are fucked. |
Quite.
Saving the planet = Keep it in the state of stasis we have evolved to survive in
As for topic aim, i wasn't expecting to go into such depth in my post. But basically what peoples thoughts are on curbing the massive overpopulation route we seem to be following.
As in the wiki link, eventually those populations collapse anyway. What im after is a tenable solution to the problem, a way of keeping everyone happy without the massive population expansion we currently have. Perhaps thinning the population down to the extent that we dont have to transform every bit of greenery on the planet into cheap housing or intensive farming.
Maybe just consider this a discussion about overpopulation, effects and solutions  ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule... |
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| Hetzer |
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 Hetzer Super Spammer

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 Posted: 11:48 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Ok, I'll try to be serious as this is a subject of great interest to me.
Firstly, you need a firm foundation of metaphysic, philosophy and guiding principle.
The metaphysic gives a broad purpose/understanding of the point of all creation.
The philosophy instructs purpose and morality.
The guiding principle instructs day-to-day deployment of the above.
If we accept that the purpose of life is pleasure the rest follows easily.
Too many people = deprivation = lack of pleasure (for the majority).
However, radical de-population (euthanasia or war for example) = misery, so it's not on.
There is also the issue of the mean IQ, it's not high enough for a utopian society/civilisation to be viable.
Solutions require advanced technology, which require energy. In the absence of Zero-Point energy the best we've got is nuclear, which is, as Bonny says, entirely doable.
Genetic engineering can overcome the mean-IQ issue.
Social engineering can address the issue of over-population in the long term (have less babies, the population will decrease to a sustainable level).
So, reduce the population, deploy automated systems of manufacture (includes food production) and make mankind's goal the escape from our single-planet situation. Increased longevity wouldn't be a bad thing either, at the moment our life-span makes life a game rather than anything inherently 'important'.
That's my rough outline, I'm going to get back to counting my money. ____________________ "There's the horizon! Ride hard, ride fast and cut down all who stand in your way!" |
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| Itchy |
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 Itchy Super Spammer

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 Posted: 12:47 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| bonny_ricardo wrote: | [One point though, do yourself a favour and actually do some PROPER research on Nuclear Power, ignore the greenpeace esqe bullshite. It's seriously the only present power source that ticks all the boxes, green, cheap, safe, reliable etc. I endorse it fully.
Before you mention Chernobyl,. |
Please can you read my post again , I said conveint nuclear accidents ,
ie intentional,
Sort of like in Manchester where there was a scrap yard of 100,000s of old fridges new EU laws on recycling were to come in soon, and there was a conveint fire which conveintly destroyed most of them.
I think the above it taken from a book I read years ago which I currently forget.
I personally don't care what powers my stuff , having been in the fall out zone from the explosion in Ukraine when the plant went pop (ie when the radioactive cloud blew over to the UK) to having ridden past the two in cumbria to the one in Devon port , doesn't bother me. ____________________ Spain 2008France 2007Big one 2009 We all die. The goal isn't to live forever, the goal is to create something that will. In the end, your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching.
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 Itchy Super Spammer

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 Posted: 12:53 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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This brings me back to this old old article I read in GQ way back in the 90s.
Which I paraphrase ....
it said that in Japan they pioneered an experiment where they recycled human excrement into burger type patties and processed them in an unknown manner.
They then took these 'burgers' to some chefs in Japan and 8/10 couldn't tell the difference.
Which leads to the idea in K240 in that K240 is a game set in the dar future where fresh food costs too much so they feed people mulch, of Algae growths which is processed in the same manner as reclaimed meat and reformed into sausages burgers or what not..
Also the erm energy effect , in that it is SUPPOSED to be more efficient to have humans eat veg instead of have a cow run around a field hoovering up the grass turning it into meat and us eating the meat, thus we could all turn veg which would ease the food supply problem. ____________________ Spain 2008France 2007Big one 2009 We all die. The goal isn't to live forever, the goal is to create something that will. In the end, your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching. |
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 Visitor Q $25 whore

Joined: 30 Apr 2004 Karma :     
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 Posted: 14:09 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| Itchy wrote: |
Also the erm energy effect , in that it is SUPPOSED to be more efficient to have humans eat veg instead of have a cow run around a field hoovering up the grass turning it into meat and us eating the meat, thus we could all turn veg which would ease the food supply problem. |
Also a fallacy.
Yes there is an inherent loss of energy fed to a cow from the laws of thermodynamics, so roughly 10% of the energy put in comes out as meat energy. That figure is a constant in all ecosystems, 10% crosses the trophic level, leading to food pyramids (100,000 maggots feed 10 birds feed 1 cat etc). Also the reason whales can attain their huge size, as they eat krill, which eats phytoplankton, which is photosynthetic. Few trophic layers so less energy lost.
However, pigs can be fed on the bits of plants we cant use. Sheep can be put on fields we cant farm due to the incline. Cows can pasture on fallow fields, thus enriching the soil with their manure.
Etc
If NIMBY's stopped protesting about GMO's THEN we could definitely ease the supply problem. 'Its not natural...' Nor is normal fucking agriculture, wheats bloody polyploid, and most veg are derived from the wild cabbage (eg cauliflower, broccili, brussel sprouts, cabbage) through intense selective breeding.
GMO's just do it quicker. They're all sterilised to stop hybridisation, so whats the problem
One way to wind up food faddists, tell them 'organic' PURELY means the method with which they are grown. Not the plant itself. So it is perfectly legal to advertise a GM plant as Organic if nothing was added to it after it was sown. I doubt anyones had the gall to do that yet, but it'll keep em on their toes  ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule... |
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 Visitor Q $25 whore

Joined: 30 Apr 2004 Karma :     
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 Posted: 14:16 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| Hetzer wrote: | Increased longevity wouldn't be a bad thing either, at the moment our life-span makes life a game rather than anything inherently 'important'.
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Aye, there are very feasible ways of doing so. One i've seen requires ALOT of extra food (like 5 times the daily amount), but could work.
However any solution will almost certainly be genetic, which is something you can retrofit into the genome. It has to be present from the very very very beginning. Who would a) approve the testing on human embryo's b) be willing to be the first to test it on their own children, knowing it could have horrific effects
Plus, even if some magical dust was found that could do it, that somehow did the reverse of dog years to us, a) we would spend far longer as a child/puberty, possibly with delayed cognitive development too unless they could isolate purely somatic affects b) we would have even longer to make babies, the peak time for a child now is 20 years say (20-40), imagine that increase even 3 fold between loving couples and youd imagine the increase in birth rate versus death rate.
To my mind, no matter how noble a cause it may seem, with the current overpopulation problems looming (if not here already.. cough africa/china) no scientist would be naive enough to unleash that evil upon the world ____________________ China traffic/travel bike vid - When I make a sweeping statement, please add the word 'statistically' in to the sentence before you bitch...
From September 2014 to January/February 2015 I will not be using any English, nor reading any. As such, I won't be on here. PM at will, but I won't be checking/posting unless in emergencies. Certainly not for the first couple of months. Please berate me savagely if I break that rule... |
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| Kickstart |
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 Kickstart The Oracle

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 Posted: 14:32 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Hi
Firstly, what is a reasonable population level?
Assuming cutting the population down is a chosen option I don't think war is a particularly good method. Leads to too much long term social problems. Added to which it tend to be the men that are killed and frankly it doesn't take many men to repopulate a region.
Disease? Well could be pretty random and essentially fair. However it relies on a natural disease. Any kind of unnatural one created for this would just cause a war.
Euthenasia of the elderly? Not viable. Especially when those getting towards being regarded as elderly and to be culled would also be at the peak of their power and thus in a position to cull others.
Long term only real solution is to cut down on breeding. While the Chinese example gets a lot of flak for breeding spoilt brats and for resulting in a bias towards male children. First is difficult to solve. Second is just making the process more effective in the short term and should solve itself in the long term.
How to cut down on breeding is the real question.
All the best
Keith ____________________ Traxpics, track day and racing photographs - Bimota Forum - Bike performance / thrust graphs for choosing gearing |
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 cestrian World Chat Champion

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 JonB Afraid of Mileage

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 Posted: 16:21 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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Cestrian you show such little knowledge of culture it's unbelievable.
Take our country, we have less children, but people live a lot longer due to better technology, resources etc.
Go to India and your typical working class community, many children, many will not live beyond 60.
It's our aging population that is truly the problem, not people having more babies, 100 years ago 10+ children was noway uncommon, yet there was a lower population.
A recent report reckons by the year 2050 people living to 120 will not be uncommon at the current rate of growth, bearing in mind even if the retirement age was increased to 80 years old, that's still 40 years of someone contributing very little to a community as a whole, yet still using Earths dwindling food and fuel supplies.
It's controversial, but a cure for cancer and heart disease would be devastating in the long term. ____________________ Be careful whose advice you buy, but, be patient with those who supply it. Advice is a form of nostalgia, dispensing it is a way of fishing the past from the disposal, wiping it off, painting over the ugly parts and recycling it for more than it?s worth. |
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 pa_broon74 World Chat Champion

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 Itchy Super Spammer

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 Posted: 17:19 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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| bonny_ricardo wrote: |
If NIMBY's stopped protesting about GMO's THEN we could definitely ease the supply problem. 'Its not natural...' Nor is normal fucking agriculture, wheats bloody polyploid, and most veg are derived from the wild cabbage (eg cauliflower, broccili, brussel sprouts, cabbage) through intense selective breeding.
GMO's just do it quicker. They're all sterilised to stop hybridisation, so whats the problem :roll |
That is precisely the problem in that they are sterilised and thus are another form of monopoly and thus control.
In the past you can buy seeds , plant them and keep some of the harvest back to use next year. Pretty normal stuff.
With GMOs you have the potential for this scenario...
Where you have to buy seeds , which are sterile , grow them , and you can't keep some of the harvest back to plant for next year.
Which means you are effectively tied down to buying these seeds over and over, at which they can change the genetic code of such seeds so that you have to buy fertiliser or weed killer X which is conveintly also provided by the GM food company.
Thus creating a monopoly which is VERY bad, you have this type of monopoly on such an essential item as food you effectively control governments.
Thus Iraq war could have been solved by diverting the Euphraties water is essential as is food, you divert the river (as with the Russians the Aral sea) you have absolute control over the country. ____________________ Spain 2008France 2007Big one 2009 We all die. The goal isn't to live forever, the goal is to create something that will. In the end, your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching. |
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 Itchy Super Spammer

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| colin1 |
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 colin1 Captain Safety
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 Posted: 17:31 - 11 Jan 2008 Post subject: |
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We are not over populated, and the earth can take a lot more of us.
As countries go, england is pretty denseley populated, but even here, most of the country is sparselly pouplated, with only major towns having people fairly closely packed.
If our entire land mass was as denseley poulated as london, we could hold a huge number of people.
Thats an extreme example and its not going to happen, but it would work fine, we would just import all our food as we wouldnt have any farms left.
Obviously, we still need to have enough farm land somewhere in the world to support the cities, but if EU farmers werent so well protected against foreign competition, imports would be a lot cheaper, and third world countries could develop off the money from exporting farm produce.
So if managed properly, huge populatsions could be supported. ____________________ colin1 is officially faster than god |
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Old Thread Alert!
The last post was made 18 years, 22 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful? |
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