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Who would win this war ?

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Gazz
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PostPosted: 23:18 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Who would win this war ? Reply with quote

Today - rather randomly - my mate (who is Polish) and I hypothetically came up with the scenario of Russia and UK going to war - for whatever reason I dont know.

We discussed possible developments in the course of war - for example, allies who would join either side, etc and what would the final outcome of the event be.

Personally I thought Russia would win and the UK would finish in 2nd place Rolling Eyes .

However he thought that the UK would win, which really surprised me since in the past his country has been slapped about by Russia/USSR so he should know better than most, what they are capable of.



So, who do you think would win ?
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P.addy
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PostPosted: 23:25 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

North Korea. Mr. Green
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tatters
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PostPosted: 23:27 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

opps wrong era
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Last edited by tatters on 23:30 - 02 Dec 2010; edited 1 time in total
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Itchy
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PostPosted: 23:27 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Russians would walk over us.

They can turn off the gas and boom Europe is toast, or rather an ice ball.

Hell they have a carrier still we don't even have one
https://tinyurl.com/2c38pyx

Their Kirov battlecruisers can eat RN destroyers for breakfast, they have 5 of them. Our gold plated weapons have been eroded with numbers AND asymetric advantage.
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The999Kid
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PostPosted: 23:32 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Russia wins hands down

this country is halted by large quantities of frozen water... we're f*cked!
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tatters
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PostPosted: 23:37 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

CHR15 wrote:
Quote:
They can turn off the gas and boom Europe is toast, or rather an ice ball.



this.

there was a series of programmes about 9 / 10 years ago, called "what if...." i think... one of them was what would happen if russia switched off the gas, basicaly the country stops after about a week.



Denial of such a key economic resource as oil and gas would be a tipping point to force a country to war such as japan attacking the USA in WWII when there oil supply was stopped.
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Redoko
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PostPosted: 23:55 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Weren't the Japanese subject to a nuclear 'test run' in WW2?
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pinkyfloyd
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PostPosted: 23:57 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Russia would win unless the UK hired Chuck Norris.
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Redoko
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PostPosted: 23:58 - 02 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

pinkyfloyd wrote:
Russia would win unless the UK hired Chuck Norris.


Can't hire Chuck Norris.







Chuck Norris hires you.
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Ariel Badger
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PostPosted: 00:00 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

where would the battle field be? during the Cold war it was the forests of Germany and Mit-Europa but since the fall of the wall all has changed.
Also you need to define what constitutes "Victory", is it last man standing or territorial gain?
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pinkyfloyd
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PostPosted: 00:02 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ariel Badger wrote:
where would the battle field be? ?


Wouldnt be in Russia. Snows too much and Britian doesnt do well in the snow.

Laughing
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pinkyfloyd
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PostPosted: 00:12 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

CHR15 wrote:
if Russia nuked us, i doubt America would do anything.


Thats not true. The USA would help Russia by joining in Englands war effort with that well known term they are so fond of using "Friendly Fire"
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c_dug
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PostPosted: 01:08 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

CHR15 wrote:
we don't have the man power to take Russia strategically.

nuke it and there'd be no gas, now there's tonnes of coal under the uk, but there would be a delay between loosing gas and re opening coal mines.

also, if Russia nuked us, i doubt America would do anything.


Surely our subs would just launch a shit load of nukes back?
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Redoko
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PostPosted: 01:20 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

c_dug wrote:
CHR15 wrote:
we don't have the man power to take Russia strategically.

nuke it and there'd be no gas, now there's tonnes of coal under the uk, but there would be a delay between loosing gas and re opening coal mines.

also, if Russia nuked us, i doubt America would do anything.


Surely our subs would just launch a shit load of nukes back?


Depends, half of them might be beached.
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Frost
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PostPosted: 01:22 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

It depends on the war really...
If it were some strategic war for some territory, or to occupy the other nation then thats very different to a war of annihilation. For example the UK has 160 nuclear missiles, most on the vanguard sub's. Russia has 4,650. That's plenty enough to ensure not a single thing could live on UK soil for a good long while.
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MattJ
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PostPosted: 01:25 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Redoko wrote:
pinkyfloyd wrote:
Russia would win unless the UK hired Chuck Norris.

Can't hire Chuck Norris.

Chuck Norris hires you.


But then in Russia, wouldn't it be the other way around?



In (Soviet) Russia, you hire Chuck Norris.
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colin1
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PostPosted: 01:34 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Without looking, I would have thought russia had far more personnel but its not as much as I thought.

Russian armed forces have 360,000 personnel we have about 190,000.

Alone we would get whipped, but if Russia attacked a member of NATO, all of NATO would attack back, so we would win.

In Nuclear war, there are no winners, everyone is toast.
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c_dug
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PostPosted: 01:47 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

DaFrostyOne wrote:
It depends on the war really...
If it were some strategic war for some territory, or to occupy the other nation then thats very different to a war of annihilation. For example the UK has 160 nuclear missiles, most on the vanguard sub's. Russia has 4,650. That's plenty enough to ensure not a single thing could live on UK soil for a good long while.


Not much lives in a large proportion of Russia in the first place Laughing With 160 nukes we could take out their major cities too.

Besides surely firing four and a half thousand nukes at us would result in radiation spreading to any of our near neighbours, Ireland, France, Germany, Holland and Belgium.

To be honest if it came to nuclear war everybody looses. If it came down to WW2 style war with no allies, just UK vs Russia we would loose, we don't have the manpower to invade Russia and we would be over-run in no time if Russia came to us.

However if Russia tried to invade the UK for some reason then we would probably have allies which could tip the balance. Being an island has its advantages, they couldn't invade by land. By sea would involve them having thousands of troops based in nearby Europe. Would the French or Germans allow this? Probably not.
By air is pretty easy to defend against. They would need to land thousands of troops in a country with no allies and no safe land at all. It would come down to WW2 style bombing of each other. Would us and our allies be able to out-do the Russians in air raids, there are way too many variables to tell that one.

In all honesty though, there is no reason for the Russians to want to invade us so any war between ourselves and Russia would be political and so more likely to end in nukes than WW2 style.
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Frost
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PostPosted: 02:16 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Russia wouldn't invade the UK, it has zero benefits for them and a lot of near certain grief. The soviet union didn't invade as britain had little to offer and had strong allies. If sure allies didn't exist and it was our shitty little island Vs the world biggest country, we're fucked. In a nuclear war, we can't launch ALL of our nukes at once as the sub's can only fire at a limited rate, plus you've got the targetting issues. Even then the limited range and huge size of russia would stop us getting all their cities and military.

Wikipedia might say the russian army isn't much bigger than ours, but at a time of war you draft everyone.

Russia
Manpower available for military service:
males age 16-49: 34,850,217
females age 16-49: 35,693,977 (2010 est.)


UK
Manpower available for military service:
males age 16-49: 14,732,445
females age 16-49: 14,118,320 (2010 est.)

So we'd be farked.
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Phoenix
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PostPosted: 03:35 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Redoko wrote:
Weren't the Japanese subject to a nuclear 'test run' in WW2?


Ouch, do they really not teach WW2 in school anymore? That was not the reason Japan attacked the USA and subsequently entered the world war.

As tatters mentioned originally, they attacked due to oil supplies being shut off on them because of their expanding invasion of Asia, the nuclear bombs were what ended the war with Japan.
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MinhDinh
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PostPosted: 07:31 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

Itchy wrote:
The Russians would walk over us.

They can turn off the gas and boom Europe is toast, or rather an ice ball.

Hell they have a carrier still we don't even have one
https://tinyurl.com/2c38pyx

Their Kirov battlecruisers can eat RN destroyers for breakfast, they have 5 of them. Our gold plated weapons have been eroded with numbers AND asymetric advantage.


Ships are getting obscelete. Missiles are cheaper than aircraft and ships and could easily destroy a huge ship these days.
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hmmmnz
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PostPosted: 08:23 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

i think the uk would win,
not because the uk is strong in any way shape or form, but the fact it actually has allies, really in the world stage, who would back the Russians??
it would end up being the western world against Russia, i would almost hazard to guess the chinkies would side with the uk as they don't even like the Russians,


if it was strictly the uk, (and not including the commonwealth) vs the Russians then,

well at over 1 million soldiers, and 3/4 million in reserve , its pretty safe to assume the Russians would eat the poultry 200000 troops the uk have, but they both spend about the same each year, so i dare say the brits have far superior gear,

i suppose it'll depend on who drops what bombs where, at the end of the day
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MarJay
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PostPosted: 09:20 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

MinhDinh wrote:

Ships are getting obscelete. Missiles are cheaper than aircraft and ships and could easily destroy a huge ship these days.


That is what the RAF thought in 1965. Turns out they were wrong.
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Im-a-Ridah
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PostPosted: 09:47 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

OK, this is pretty much how it stands.

Whilst its easy to pick figures from the internet, most websites that host such information are highly inaccurate. Most of the Soviet gear is junked, Russia is moving its forces towards a massively downsized, high quality western style force.

Russia has very little capability for projection warfare, if its not on their land border then generally they can't do much. They have a contract for a couple French assault ships, but that would maybe be enough for a small Georgia operation, but not much more, and certainly no threat to the UK.

Russia could attempt a blockade with surface ships, but their numerical advantage isn't particularly impressive, most of the old Soviet gear isn't going anywhere and it would be more effective to just build new stuff than try to bring it back into service. Any such blockade would be pretty easy to defeat as the Russian ships would lack air cover, and whilst we have lost the Nimrod, we can still nail them with helicopter launched missiles, or against ships lacking high ceiling SAMs (thats most of them), then just fly a Tornado/Eurofighter nearby and glide them a few LGBs killing pretty much everyone onboard. They could use their submarine force, but thats a two way street, both having nuclear powered submarines with the ensurance to cruise around looking for months for good targets.

The Russians have bombers which they could send our way, but they don't have very many (under 50 IIRC) and most would be easy targets, which means they would be restricted to sending long range cruise missiles, which they would soon run out of, and which can also be shot down.

In terms of nuclear the Russian's have vastly more warheads than they need to finish off the UK, even taking into account the fact that many of them are in storage or having little maintenance. The UK has around 200, though again its pretty much overkill against Russia. Allocate 12 warheads to Moscow, 3 to each of the next 14 largest cities. Thats one submarine load of 16 missiles, 2 of which could be loaded with 6 warheads, the rest with 3 for a total of 54 warheads. We've only allocated 25% of our stocks and most things worth anything Russia are history. There are 4 SSBNs in total, one is in refit, one waiting to cycle with one at sea, and two available for distant patrol. The one at dockside can still be used for warning shots, but won't survive a first strike. Also, those warhead loadouts aren't maximums, the treaty limit would work out as 144 warheads per missiles IIRC, and ignoring treaties its 198 warheads per submarine. If there is a buildup to the war, there is also no reason AWE couldn't produce more warheads, there's plenty of material even just in the military stocks, let alone the civilian stocks.

The Russians really don't want a major war with a powerful country, as they have a lot of natural resources and a very resource constrained neighbour that would love to "expand", namely China. India, if Russia was weak enough, probably wouldn't pass up the chance either. A war with a major European country will weaken them up massively, and make the chances of a Chinese landgrab a near certainty.
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MarJay
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PostPosted: 11:40 - 03 Dec 2010    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think we'd win, because we'd send James Bond over who would hanglide in, kill all the guards and stop the missile launch countdown with 007 seconds to go...

Cool
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