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Motorcycle market down 8% in 2011

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c-m
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PostPosted: 14:53 - 03 Feb 2012    Post subject: Motorcycle market down 8% in 2011 Reply with quote

But scooters are up 12%

There's an article about the popularity of 2 wheels, mainly scooters, on the BBC site.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-16844525
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 16:26 - 03 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

PolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolice
healamp beat you to it. Razz
PolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolicePolice
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c-m
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PostPosted: 16:52 - 03 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

No he didn't, he posted an hour later than me. Very Happy
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 16:56 - 03 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

c-m wrote:
No he didn't, he posted an hour later than me. Very Happy


14 is more than 13, riiiiight. Good job I don't work with numbers or dates or times for a living. Shifty

Well in that case, +1 Informative for you, and a repost (which will doubtless go in General Bike Chat as well when someone dupes it there):

Code:

By bike type:

Sector                 Dec-11  Dec-10  %    |YTD 2011  YTD 2010  %
Total Mopeds              719    608  +18.3 | 14,448   14,523   -0.5
Scooter                   947    641  +47.7 | 18,962   15,795  +20.1
Trail/Enduro              255    247  +3.2  |  4,085    4,686  -12.8
Naked                     617    512  +20.5 | 16,800   17,838   -5.8
Sport/Tour                140    182  -23.1 |  5,083    7,518  -32.4
Supersport                404    358  +12.8 | 12,851   14,257   -9.9
Touring                    88     88  0.0   |  2,776    3,248  -14.5
Custom                    247    240  +2.9  |  7,866    8,301   -5.2
Adventure Sport           512    325  +57.5 | 10,570    9,308  +13.6
Unspecified                26     14  +85.7 |    408      448   -8.9
Total Motorcycles       3,236  2,607  +24.1 | 79,401   81,399   -2.5
M/C excluding Scooters  2,289  1,966  +16.4 | 60,439   65,604   -7.9
Total Two Wheelers      3,955  3,215  +23.0 | 93,849   95,922   -2.2

By manufacturer:
Rank              Year End % change  year end  % change  year end
                    2011   11 vs 10    2010     10 vs 09  2009
1  Honda           14639     +8.8     13460      -14.1    15672
2  Yamaha          11133    -24.6     14767      -19.8    18415
3  Triumph          7854     +3.8      7564       +1.5     7450
4  BMW              5920    -11.7      6705      +12.3     5973
5  Piaggio          5273     -0.7      5309      -18.9     6548
6  Suzuki           5260    -31.3      7659      -32.0    11271
7  Kawasaki         5123     -6.3      5468      -27.3     7519
8  Harley-Davidson  3727    -13.3      4300      -14.6     5035
9  SYM              2641    +58.2      1669       +0.3     1664
10  KTM             2421    +11.1      2179       -7.6     2357
11  Ducati          2345    +15.3      2033       +6.2     1915
12  Lexmoto         2266   +269.1       614     +433.9      115
13  Peugeot         2210    +45.2      1522      -25.0     2029
14  Aprilia         1999     -9.1      2198      -28.9     3090
15  Pulse           1494   +106.9       722      +19.1      606


Honda and Yamaha are doing OK from their 125s and scooters, but only in number of registrations. I'd be more interested in the total value of sales.

Triumph and BMW probably have decent margins, but Suzuki and Kawasaki, oh dear. Suzuki's sales have more than halved in 2 years (and 2009 was a bad year to begin with) - no wonder they're having a fire sale at the moment. Pale
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Last edited by Rogerborg on 17:02 - 03 Feb 2012; edited 1 time in total
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c-m
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PostPosted: 17:00 - 03 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks, that's helped my OCD.

Sports tourers and super sports are down by large amounts. Will we see manufacturers cull of their models in these ranges and instead focus on commuters?

I'd be interested to see comparative figues for the EU countries, then EU v USA
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 10:20 - 04 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Maybe, although I'm not quite sure how bikes get classified. Personally I'd be concerned about spares availability for unpopular bikes.

Then I look at the SV650, Gladius and Bandit and wonder why anyone would passionately want one of them over the other, enough to win or lose a sale. They strike me as bikes that you buy because they're in your budget and do a similar job to within about 10% of each other. And that's just within the Suzuki range, let alone competing with the other manufacturers.

As a bit of editorial, it's BMW's 2012 launch day today. I was pondering tooling along to the local Motorrad, then looked out the window to see driving sleet. Trying to drive sales in the depths of the UK winter seems like the triumph of hope over experience, or common sense.
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c-m
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PostPosted: 15:05 - 04 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

It probably about time we see manufacturers specialise rather then be a jack of all trades. We don't really need 4 Japanese companies making the same bikes as each other in every class.

European manufacturers tend to be smaller and so stick to specific areas, though more lately we've seen KTM and BWM expand into other areas.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 15:35 - 04 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

c-m wrote:
It probably about time we see manufacturers specialise rather then be a jack of all trades. We don't really need 4 Japanese companies making the same bikes as each other in every class.


To an extent that is how they have survived so long.

Problem with specialising is that when what you specialise in goes out of fashion you are stuffed, with high fixed costs (staff, factory space, etc) and without the sales to support it.

KTM have done well as they have gone from being a minor niche player as that niche has grown.

All the best

Keith
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 20:15 - 04 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
KTM have done well as they have gone from being a minor niche player as that niche has grown.


Ironically on the back of Ewan and Thingy being dumped by KTM at the 11th hour and going with BMW. Very Happy
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multijoy
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PostPosted: 18:07 - 05 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:
Kickstart wrote:
KTM have done well as they have gone from being a minor niche player as that niche has grown.


Ironically on the back of Ewan and Thingy being dumped by KTM at the 11th hour and going with BMW. Very Happy


That's incidental (and old news). Their continued domination in the off-road competition space is probably far more important, and the association with Red Bull certainly isn't hurting them.
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 19:41 - 05 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

multijoy wrote:
That's incidental (and old news). Their continued domination in the off-road competition space is probably far more important, and the association with Red Bull certainly isn't hurting them.


I reckon that they can thank Ewan and Thingy (and BMW) for growing interest in the off-piste sector of the market though, at least in people who have the money to spunk on either a brand new BMW or KTM.
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Sako
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PostPosted: 22:20 - 19 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

a lot of KTM's success has to do with the Supermoto championships and indeed regional competitions become more popular and accessable to your average man - the KTM is always the choice machine for the sport.
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Polarbear
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PostPosted: 00:37 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:

Then I look at the SV650, Gladius and Bandit and wonder why anyone would passionately want one of them over the other, enough to win or lose a sale. They strike me as bikes that you buy because they're in your budget and do a similar job to within about 10% of each other. And that's just within the Suzuki range, let alone competing with the other manufacturers.



Why make 3 bikes basically aimed at the same purchaser. Maybe a naked SV/gladius and a faired bike but 3 different with all the various combinations just strikes me as stupid.
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 09:53 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Polarbear wrote:
Why make 3 bikes basically aimed at the same purchaser. Maybe a naked SV/gladius and a faired bike but 3 different with all the various combinations just strikes me as stupid.


Well, they have the GSX650F as well (Bandit in a frock).

Whatever the reason for the strategy, it isn't working.

New registrations by brand, January 2012

Code:

MAJOR MANUFACTURERS BY BRAND
Honda    869
Yamaha   535
Piaggio  349
Triumph  238
Kawasaki 234
Lexmoto  197
Suzuki   179
KTM      169
BMW      156
SYM      156


And that's with their £600 - £1000 off offer that pushed them up to #2 when they ran it last September.

OK, January is the slowest month, and sales are likely mostly scooters and 125s, but if they can't shift bikes at by far the lowest sticker prices (and thus margins) of any Japanese manufacturer, then, well... shades of George White.
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 12:31 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just read roger's link and a couple of the BBC coments. This is one of the things that annoy me the most:

Steve Jones wrote:
I think the problem with the two wheelers is the way they seem to have rules all of their own. For example, three lanes of traffic, here comes the organ donor wannabe on his two wheeled missile down the middle of two lanes of traffic.It’s illegal and downright dangerous! I think part of the CBT qualification should be an IQ greater than your shoe size. I have ridden, responsibly, I have to add!


You just know that this guy will be the one 'teaching people a lesson' by swerving in front to prevent legal filtering.

For some reason transport in the UK is seen as a battle ground. People need to respect the most vulnerable the most, look out for those who may be risking their lives - not rant and try to endanger them more.

The missus and I were having a discussion about cyclists in London. Her whole argument against cyclists was the running red lights but she couldn't see that instead of daemonising they should be looked out for. Especially when the only argument against them is mostly a risk to themselves.

The system over here in the Netherlands seems to work so much better - the small are mighty. In the majority of cases the more vulnerable and the less training you have the more leeway you have in law so hitting a cyclist or pedestrian is virtually always the larger vehicles fault. Why can't this culture be transported to the UK?

</slightly off topic rant>
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 12:41 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

daemonoid wrote:
Especially when the only argument against them is mostly a risk to themselves.


Tell that to the pedestrians they kill and seriously injure.

All the best

Keith
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 13:03 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
daemonoid wrote:
Especially when the only argument against them is mostly a risk to themselves.


Tell that to the pedestrians they kill and seriously injure.

All the best

Keith


Bah! an overstated number and also the reason I said 'mostly'. I'm not saying cyclist should have free reign, more that softer should equal more protection. Cyclist vs pedestrian and the cyclist should have a lot of explaining to do, car vs cyclist and the car should have the explaining to do. But most of all just a tiny bit of respect for other people would be a start...

Also, what do you base your numbers on ie. running redlights contributing to accidents or are you just referencing the cyclist vs pedestrian numbers? I would've guessed most injuries were due to filtering type incidents.
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 13:37 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Are you proposing deciding default innocent and guilt based on the consequences to each party? Surely not, I must be mistaken. Neutral
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 13:53 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

Figures just based on the cyclist / pedestrian death figures. Suspect many of which are from use of the pavements.

For 2010 that was 4 pedestrians kills and 76 seriously injured, for cars the figures are 237 and 3934. But as cars did 78 times as many vehicle miles, that means cyclists kill 28% more pedestrians and serious injure 50% more per vehicle mile (let alone per passenger mile).

Now I do have some sympathy with the idea of respect, but there are many cyclists whose behavior does not engender any respect (just as there are pedestrians, drivers, motorcyclists, bus drivers, etc). And while there are that significant number any idea of an assumption of fault based on the mode of transport of the people involved is pretty abhorrent.

Looking at the figures the Netherlands has a pedestrian death rate of 3.8 per million population compared to the UKs 8.5 (2009 figures) which appears pretty good, but looking at the child figures the rates are 3.1 and 2.4 respectively which suggests most of those UK pedestrians killed are adults (and old enough to know better). One of the countries in Europe with lowest child pedestrian death rate is Italy with 1.9 deaths per million population, a country hardly known for its forgiving drivers Razz .

All the best

Keith
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 14:06 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
cyclists kill 28% more pedestrians and serious injure 50% more per vehicle mile


Shocked

My, my, and The Man wants to get more of us on pushbikes? (he said, laughing as he looked out the window at the driving sleet)

It'd be interesting to know how many of the UK's pedestrian casualties (from all causes) were drunk or 'tarded or on benefits. When I used to drive through the Pollock sink estate, it was like playing a game of GTA with all the drunken 'tarded spongers strutting straight across the road without looking or caring. Nothing to lose, essentially.
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 14:14 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:
Are you proposing deciding default innocent and guilt based on the consequences to each party? Surely not, I must be mistaken. Neutral


I think it would be an interesting concept - making people look out for others.

It depends how you frame the argument, but I think a trained operator of a 2 tonne machine should have a greater burden of responsibility than an untrained, unprotected pedestrian.

I'm not claiming it should be absolute, merely that training and the choice to operate a potentially dangerous machine means the balance should be skewed away from you.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 14:18 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:

It'd be interesting to know how many of the UK's pedestrian casualties (from all causes) were drunk or 'tarded or on benefits.


Over the limit is counted to an extent. From a sample of 209 killed in 2009 (16 years old or more only), 79 were under the drink drive limit (not that it applies to pedestrians) and 130 were above it. 64% of those killed between 22:00pm and 3:59am, and 27% of those killed during the rest of the day. 22 out of 209 were over 200mg/100ml (ie, 2.5 times the drink drive limit).

Given how lose these figures seem to be I wouldn't put too much weight on them though.

All the best

Keith
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 14:23 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

daemonoid wrote:

It depends how you frame the argument, but I think a trained operator of a 2 tonne machine should have a greater burden of responsibility than an untrained, unprotected pedestrian.


I ride a bike (and sometimes even cycle), and I strongly disagree with that. As an idea it is about as appealing as having a legal position that the untrained and unprotected person should take more care and responsibility to compensate for their vulnerability.

All the best

Keith
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 14:41 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
Hi

Figures just based on the cyclist / pedestrian death figures. Suspect many of which are from use of the pavements.

For 2010 that was 4 pedestrians kills and 76 seriously injured, for cars the figures are 237 and 3934. But as cars did 78 times as many vehicle miles, that means cyclists kill 28% more pedestrians and serious injure 50% more per vehicle mile (let alone per passenger mile).

Now I do have some sympathy with the idea of respect, but there are many cyclists whose behavior does not engender any respect (just as there are pedestrians, drivers, motorcyclists, bus drivers, etc). And while there are that significant number any idea of an assumption of fault based on the mode of transport of the people involved is pretty abhorrent.

Looking at the figures the Netherlands has a pedestrian death rate of 3.8 per million population compared to the UKs 8.5 (2009 figures) which appears pretty good, but looking at the child figures the rates are 3.1 and 2.4 respectively which suggests most of those UK pedestrians killed are adults (and old enough to know better). One of the countries in Europe with lowest child pedestrian death rate is Italy with 1.9 deaths per million population, a country hardly known for its forgiving drivers Razz .

All the best

Keith


The per mile argument may be slightly disingenuous in this case, per hour could be an equally easily chosen metric (due to the types of journey completed by bicycle) and would skew the figures in completely the opposite direction. But interesting figures nonetheless.

As a guess the Italian system 'works' because people pay attention - people expect mopeds to head down the pavements or to scythe through traffic. It highlights the failure in the UK system where everyone drives/rides/walks on auto pilot. Probably a great example of risk compensation...
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 14:47 - 20 Feb 2012    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
I ride a bike (and sometimes even cycle), and I strongly disagree with that. As an idea it is about as appealing as having a legal position that the untrained and unprotected person should take more care and responsibility to compensate for their vulnerability.


Different philosophy I guess, but in almost every other aspect of life if you do something that could endanger others then the onus of responsibility is on you. Somehow that doesn't apply to transport though. I just don't understand why the person in charge of a vehicle and has training doesn't have a higher level of responsibility than others.
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