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The Future of Britain - Impending Doom?

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Bubbs
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PostPosted: 14:23 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: The Future of Britain - Impending Doom? Reply with quote

Just watched this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdyQd6Xks7A

It's an hour long but is incredibly interesting. Basically explaining how we are on the brink of a major depression which will include the Government raping us of all our wealth to pay back loans etc.

Snippet:

It explains how Cyprus as a country owed 300% of it's GDP and it kept borrowing as the Interest over time continued to stay low... but eventually the trend turned and the money needed repaying which mean the interest shot up... This led to the government drastically trying to come up with ideas on how to sort out the debt... I'm sure you all saw and heard about what happened in Cyprus as a result!?

This also happened to Argentina who owed a similar percentage of it's GDP (circa 300%)

The UK currently owes 900% of it's GDP.. and we could well be on the brink of disaster.

What are your thoughts?
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 15:16 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Eh, we'll be fine as long as we keep doing the Rothschild-Lizard-Jews' bidding and invade... oops.
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Tungtvann
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PostPosted: 15:19 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am hoping for impending financial doom in this country.
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Lord Percy
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PostPosted: 15:57 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

I stand by the 'Interesting' upvote that I've just given...

BUT

Skip to anything beyond the halfway point of the vid, and you'll see it's just a massive, scaremongering, hysteria-inducing ADVERT for the magazine who created it.

It made interesting points, but frankly now I'm pissed off at how much of a cheap shot it was. They just want you to buy their magazine.
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Bubbs
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PostPosted: 16:01 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lord Percy wrote:
I stand by the 'Interesting' upvote that I've just given...

BUT

Skip to anything beyond the halfway point of the vid, and you'll see it's just a massive, scaremongering, hysteria-inducing ADVERT for the magazine who created it.

It made interesting points, but frankly now I'm pissed off at how much of a cheap shot it was. They just want you to buy their magazine.



Yeah I got that impression too... although they still raised some interesting points.
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Pigeon
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PostPosted: 19:41 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

While the BoE can print, I'd be surprised if they steal directly such as the bail-in from Greece.

Yes legally they can do it, but printing and devaluing is socially more acceptable form of theft.
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fatpies
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PostPosted: 20:23 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

The killer is that at 0.5% interest rates, we have to pay 60bn in debt interest. Now consider the total tax take is only 450bn.

If interest rates go to a mere 4% we pay more debt interest than taxes taken.

Can't happen won't happen?

There is a bloke called George Soros, he broke the back of the bank of England in the 1990s.

The government raised interest rates to defend the £. Except we can't do this, the government is pulling a ruse of printing money, which never works. Works for the USA because of the petrodollar and US military.

As a society we painted ourselves into a corner.

With 50% of GDP being government spending, if the government cuts spending, GDP collapses, and debt is a bigger % of GDP, meaning blokes like Soros force an interest rates move.

If taxes are raised, less taxes are taken, meaning even more has to be borrowed and debt is a bigger % of GDP.

Yet if you keep spending (i.e. borrowing more) is means debt becomes a bigger % of GDP and you spend more of your output on debt interest.


Thus the government has chosen to welch on its debts by printing money. Which is why living standards are back to 2001 levels.
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fatpies
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PostPosted: 20:31 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lord Percy wrote:
I stand by the 'Interesting' upvote that I've just given...

BUT



Sure you can't deny the fundamentals of it though, remember that debate we had about the SK economy vs the UK economy? Where ours is twice as big yet it is mostly shuffling bits of paper around.
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mr jamez
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PostPosted: 20:38 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

The BBC had a story on the other day about strong and encouraging signs in the economy, an ice cream vendor was doing good business and has expanded by buying another ice cream van.

Now if that is the best example they can find to contend with the 'doom mongering'...
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ThoughtContro...
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PostPosted: 20:50 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

fatpies wrote:
Sure you can't deny the fundamentals of it though, remember that debate we had about the SK economy vs the UK economy? Where ours is twice as big yet it is mostly shuffling bits of paper around.


Stop being so negative. You can do things with the bits of paper. You can draw numbers and pretty pictures on them. Then you can build a house out of them.

I'm sure you could even give people mortgages to buy the houses, so they can rent them out for profit. Then you can collateralise all the mortgages and call it assets, which can be traded. Can't you see a recovery in the making? All out of bits of paper. Razz
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_Will_
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PostPosted: 21:38 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

A reset should have happened back in 2008, all the gov did was the equivalent of pay day loans, making the eventual economic crash much more of an issue, fucking over the sensible people in the process whilst temporarily rewarding chancers and speculators.

All Ponzi schemes end in tears, eventually.
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fatpies
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PostPosted: 21:45 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

_Will_ wrote:
A reset should have happened back in 2008,



A reset should have happened in 2002 after the dot com bubble, the government blew a housing bubble to replace it.

So we're on the 3rd or 4th bubble re inflation so when it pops its going to be 10+ years of ponzi so it'll be a big one.
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Tungtvann
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PostPosted: 22:24 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

So like, I shouldn't buy a house soon?
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Pigeon
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PostPosted: 22:43 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tungtvann wrote:
So like, I shouldn't buy a house soon?


Near zero interest rates
Funding For Lending Scheme
Home Buy Scheme

These are all helping to drive prices up, in turn bringing forward any buyers on the side lines who don't want to miss out again. Possibly bringing money out of savings/investments and into BTL's for people who would not normally do that. Prices rise further.

So prices may rise for 1-3 years. But will wages? If wages don't rise then what holds prices up once the last waive of buyers has been and gone. Prices would likely fall. But at what point. Who can predict.
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BakesBeans
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PostPosted: 23:49 - 04 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok, just watched the advert for MoneyWeek. It does raise good points, but misses many others.

Firstly the 900% debt is unfair, because it includes liabilities that it does not yet have to pay (ok, an issue but it is not yet a debt). Also, financial sector debt is extremely high because London is one of the hubs for global finance.

Although, I do agree with the message - and the mega bust is coming.

What you also have to look at is those previous country crisis generally happened in isolation to the rest of the world. Whereas today, yes the UK up to it's eyes in debt, but who isn't? What you have to watch, imo, is the USA where it appears they are coming out of recession.

Also, the Tory's have thrown the last dice with the housing market - home buy lending, which to any sane person, will end in tears.

The last hurray is coming, but it's still a few years away imo, remember the market can be irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
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Lord Percy
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PostPosted: 01:53 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

fatpies wrote:
Lord Percy wrote:
I stand by the 'Interesting' upvote that I've just given...

BUT



Sure you can't deny the fundamentals of it though, remember that debate we had about the SK economy vs the UK economy? Where ours is twice as big yet it is mostly shuffling bits of paper around.


Yep, that's why I said I stand by the 'Interesting' vote I gave it.

And yeah definitely the points in the video were poignant and I'm more than willing to believe it (actually I somehow like the idea of general collapse - 'change' interests me).

But the end of the video was such blatant advertising, it gave me this awful cringing feeling. It was a real low blow, using scare tactics to sell a magazine. "You're gonna die, buy our product to stay alive!"

Definitely interested in how the near-future plays out for the UK though.

While I was watching it I got this strange new image of how the world might perceive British people. Y'know how these days a lot of us are really resentful towards Arabs, Africans, Eastern Europeans, etc - basically people leaving their homeland to find a better life. And how we can go to quite a few places in the world and people offer us greater respect just because we're from the UK ( Confused ). Well I got this really clear picture of the coin being totally flipped. Brits will soon be the 'bloody immigrants', people will politely smile when we tell them where we're from, and in their heads they'll just feel a mixture of pity and worry.
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_Will_
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PostPosted: 11:23 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

BakesBeans wrote:
What you have to watch, imo, is the USA where it appears they are coming out of recession.



Come again?
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Skudd
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PostPosted: 11:49 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tungtvann wrote:
I am hoping for impending financial doom in this country.


I'm not, I want to be able to buy a Mars Bar.
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ThoughtContro...
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PostPosted: 15:53 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

_Will_ wrote:
BakesBeans wrote:
What you have to watch, imo, is the USA where it appears they are coming out of recession.



Come again?


They're paying off the $17 trillion national debt, probably in food stamps.
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fatpies
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PostPosted: 16:35 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

ThoughtControl wrote:


They're paying off the $17 trillion national debt, probably in food stamps.


No they have been welching on the debt by printing money. Right now QE3 is printing 80-85bn a month until unemployment goes below 7%.

They can't stop printing the market just on noises about stopping printing went south real quick.
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ThoughtContro...
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PostPosted: 17:00 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

pies it was a poor attempt at sarcasm. Bernanke has been mumbling about "tapering", maybe their printer is running out of toner?
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smegballs
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PostPosted: 17:35 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

ThoughtControl wrote:
pies it was a poor attempt at sarcasm. Bernanke has been mumbling about "tapering", maybe their printer is running out of toner?


Running low on toner? I'll get the toner press fired up.
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ThoughtContro...
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PostPosted: 17:42 - 05 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

smegballs wrote:
Running low on toner? I'll get the toner press fired up.


Maybe they could print some more money to buy some more toner so they can print even more money Wink
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owl10
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PostPosted: 00:51 - 08 Sep 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

BakesBeans wrote:
remember the market can be irrational longer than you can stay solvent.


Amen.

Long awaiting the crash, and by sitting on this side of the fence I was putting off buying a house, but now looks like any crash is a good few years away due to govt manipulation in the market.

So biting the bullet and going to buy one now and hope for the best on that side of the fence instead.

Either way a roll of the dice, red or black...
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