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Spin off from the work thread, how/why have we allowed this?

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fatpies
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PostPosted: 11:09 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Spin off from the work thread, how/why have we allowed this? Reply with quote

I was cleaning out some of my old papers and came across a wage slip from the 1990. Doing a few calculations, I was actually better paid relative to living costs and outgoings than I am in 2013. Even though I have a ton of experience, considerably more qualifications etc.

Then I read this.

Quote:
In the 60's my Grandmother and Grandfather could buy a large 3 bed house with a decent amount of land, own a car and feed a family of 6 on his wages alone, no state benefits needed - he wasn't a banker, nor did he have exceptional qualifications - he was the average man and thats the lifestyle he could afford.

Fast forward 50 years later, if you are a family on an average wage you both need to work, which means if you have young children you need childcare, if you are both on that wage you have to save a small fortune for a deposit for a home and take out a mortgage of 5x your joint income to buy the same property.


I am curious tbh in that how as a society we allowed this to happen, and why we allowed this to happen, as living standards are supposed to improve and go up.

Admittedly there have been some improvements, in terms of trinkets here and there.

But for the basics say a roof over your head and food (which I can justify is more expensive because it is considerably lower quality) we seem to be a nation of debt slaves where we work more and more are ever more productive, yet we take home less and less of the pie.


Quote:


This is a graph from the USA, a similar trend has happened in the UK.
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P.addy
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PostPosted: 11:16 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Greed.
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ficedula
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PostPosted: 11:26 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Are you sure your grandfather (or whoever's grandfather it was in the quote) was on an average wage?

My mother's parents never owned their house, nor did they ever have a car.

My parents could afford to buy a house in the 70s after they got married, but getting a mortgage involved travelling down to Bristol (from Liverpool) to speak to a manager because Bristol building society was the only one that would give them an affordable mortgage. They didn't have bad jobs, either - dad worked for the council, mum was a teacher, but that still wasn't enough for most places to consider lending them money.

When I left university in 2003, I was on a below average wage, but it was still enough for me to rent a house to myself (really a luxury - does one person need a whole house?), buy/run a car, and start putting money aside for a mortgage deposit. When I wanted a mortgage, I could arrange that without having go around bank branches begging for somebody to consider lending me the money.

Things weren't all amazing in the 40s/50s/60s/70s. Which isn't to say that everything is amazing nowadays, it certainly isn't, but I'm not sure it's obviously true that living standards haven't gone up.
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 11:28 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

We're not actually more productive it's an accountancy myth. Profit derived from 'service' has been added into the productivity when actually nothing of value is added.
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Shaft
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PostPosted: 11:45 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

ficedula wrote:
Are you sure your grandfather (or whoever's grandfather it was in the quote) was on an average wage?

My mother's parents never owned their house, nor did they ever have a car.

My parents could afford to buy a house in the 70s after they got married, but getting a mortgage involved travelling down to Bristol (from Liverpool) to speak to a manager because Bristol building society was the only one that would give them an affordable mortgage. They didn't have bad jobs, either - dad worked for the council, mum was a teacher, but that still wasn't enough for most places to consider lending them money.

When I left university in 2003, I was on a below average wage, but it was still enough for me to rent a house to myself (really a luxury - does one person need a whole house?), buy/run a car, and start putting money aside for a mortgage deposit. When I wanted a mortgage, I could arrange that without having go around bank branches begging for somebody to consider lending me the money.

Things weren't all amazing in the 40s/50s/60s/70s. Which isn't to say that everything is amazing nowadays, it certainly isn't, but I'm not sure it's obviously true that living standards haven't gone up.


I agree.

My parents also never owned their own home, because Dad wasn't comfortable with forking out such large monthly payments, relative to rent.

He had a pretty reasonable job and Mum always worked, but a mortgage would've been a stretch; his deputy bought a house in the early 70s, but he had to have his in-laws come and live with him and pay rent, so he could afford the mortgage.

He bought his first car a few weeks before I was born in 1965, a 30 year old Morris that he paid a tenner for; it was the 80s before he managed to get anything nearly new.

Family of 6, 3 bed house and a car on an average 60s wage?

No chance.
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Hetzer
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PostPosted: 11:51 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

daemonoid wrote:
We're not actually more productive it's an accountancy myth. Profit derived from 'service' has been added into the productivity when actually nothing of value is added.


I think you'll find that machine technology has hugely increased the hourly productivity of the average worker. Car factories and CNC lathes for just two obvious examples. Damn, even office cleaners with modern vacuums are more productive.

So stop talking bollocks.
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Hetzer
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PostPosted: 11:53 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shaft wrote:


Family of 6, 3 bed house and a car on an average 60s wage?

No chance.


Actually yes. My old man, just out of the RAF and working as an ice-cream salesman with a mortgage on a 4-bedroom three-story house in Oxford (off the Cowley Road) in the early sixties.

And owned a car and a motorbike.
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Lord Percy
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PostPosted: 13:06 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

It could be to do with the overarching fact that the UK is not really a world powerhouse any more. In the 60s and earlier, I guess to an extent the UK was still thriving off the general trade directed to our shores as a lasting knock-on effect from our very recent global empire.

So in those days everyone had a lot because the world was pretty much pointed towards us.

Now the empire is gone, trade happens elsewhere, we haven't really got much coming in or out.

We hardly shift any proper hard goods any more, manufacturing happens in other parts of the world... We don't really have any major income or production anywhere. Hence lower wages and things costing more. Things cost more because they are (from a sort of purist closed-box perspective) less available.

Simply:

We don't get all the spices and nice things from India for free any more.
We don't make any money selling slaves from Africa.
We have no quarters in Hong Kong or the West Indies.

So we're back to being a country on our own again. Oh and Thatcher sold off all the national industries so all the all our public service fees go to foreign interests.

The UK just doesn't have anything any more!

Hence less money, lower wages, harder to afford stuff, etc.

That's my sort of explanation, based on the economic system we function under.

edit: I do think the main factor is that most public services are run by foreign companies. Basically all payments go straight out of the country. We can't function like that. Come to think of it, how can we even be proud of our country when we don't even have the means to run things ourselves?! British companies should provide British needs.

And then Socialism blah blah
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G
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PostPosted: 13:23 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wasn't that comment also followed by mention of women lib and the like.

Now twice as many people want to to do work, but we have a lot lower number of people to do work for.

In the past we could be competitive selling British made products abroad.

Now people in other countries which are willing to work for massively less money make the same products.

British people don't support British industry if it can be bought cheaper abroad.

As for 'productivity' how is that measured?
I suspect that's accounting for the fact that now one person can do more for less.

If 'the people' supported small firms that employed more humans and less mechanisation, this would be less of an issue.
But the public generally buy the cheapest/best value possible, meaning those that use more automation (higher productivity per person for the output) get the best market share, so can further increase their market share.

Finally, there was the 'credit crunch'.
I found it really noticeable how the price of food and other goods really shot up. At a similar time prices of fuel went up, which boosts up pretty much every other area, which uses transportation for something.

Why did the credit crunch happen?
People were happy to use institutions that promised quick and big returns without thinking about the consequences.
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 13:38 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

fatpies wrote:
a family of 6

All of whom wanted houses of their own.

And to under-cut his wage and break the back of the Trades Unions, we imported cheap foreign labour who didn't know any better, at least for a few years.

And they had as many kids as they could afford too.

While the labour market glutted and we stopped producing things for export that any Joe Hamfists could make.

So now we're groaning at the seams and building on flood plains and our exports are "financial services", drugs and bombs. An "average" job means selling payment protection insurance to someone whose job is to reclaim mis-sold payment protection insurance.

Zombies within the decade, mark my words.
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D O G
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PostPosted: 13:42 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

The reality is that lives are easier then they ever were, living standards ARE higher.

People look back on near history with rose tinted glasses.

If anyone of us was sent back to the 50's/60's/70's we'd be appalled at the quality of housing, vehicles, medicine, foodstuffs, clothes, technology.

Random example. My parents have only just had double glazing put in their house. They were the last people I knew that had single glazing, roll the clock back 40yrs and only the rich in there super posh new builds would have double glazing.

People will always complain that life is shit now and it used to better. All bollocks.
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daemonoid
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PostPosted: 13:49 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hetzer wrote:
I think you'll find that machine technology has hugely increased the hourly productivity of the average worker. Car factories and CNC lathes for just two obvious examples. Damn, even office cleaners with modern vacuums are more productive.

So stop talking bollocks.


Wow, you are angry with me...

You raise a good point, it doesn't mean mine was invalid though. Combination of automation and service counting as productivity would increase productivity.

Don't forget though that a lot of the automation is used to add value rather than just to speed up production. A modern car is built in a comparable amount of time to a 70s one, but, there are more features. Is that more productive considering a car's primary purpose is to transport?
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_Will_
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PostPosted: 13:51 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

The thing is, as things are right now living standards seem fairly reasonable, ever more schemes for credit have propped the whole facade up, when the curtain drops and the shtf then we will have to ask wtf happened.

My grandmothers house was a new build, first on the estate she's still in it, cost around £4.5k, wage around the £1.2k mark

It's not easy to directly correlate to today including inflation due to the unit changes, but looking at it proportionally you can get an idea.

This is a scary graph:
https://www.wwwk.co.uk/culture/housing/

Young adults now generally have no savings (not that they would get a return), no pension (not that they are of any worth) no assists (most expensive purchases on finance) and live month to month.

Interesting read too :
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/media/downloads/Resolution-Foundation-Squeezed-Britain-2013_1.pdf
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_Will_
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PostPosted: 14:14 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

D O G wrote:
The reality is that lives are easier then they ever were, living standards ARE higher.

People look back on near history with rose tinted glasses.

If anyone of us was sent back to the 50's/60's/70's we'd be appalled at the quality of housing, vehicles, medicine, foodstuffs, clothes, technology.

Random example. My parents have only just had double glazing put in their house. They were the last people I knew that had single glazing, roll the clock back 40yrs and only the rich in there super posh new builds would have double glazing.

People will always complain that life is shit now and it used to better. All bollocks.


Funnily enough, living standards in the 1960's were much better than the 1860's, technology & knowledge has progressed much more in half that time. It's all relative, but relatively we have stood still.
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D O G
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PostPosted: 14:23 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

_Will_ wrote:
Funnily enough, living standards in the 1960's were much better than the 1860's, technology & knowledge has progressed much more in half that time. It's all relative, but relatively we have stood still.


Yes, but that is my point, it is NOT relative, it is absolute.

Others here have argued that in the 60's you could have a very comfortable life on one working wage, a one at a higher standard than now. I say that is not correct.
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G
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PostPosted: 14:34 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

_Will_ wrote:

Indeed it is - look at the massive leap between 1946 and 1947!
The bar shows a pixel or two which massively misrepresents that it's a 28% rise on one year.

If there was the same jump between 99 and 00, the prices in 2000 would actually be £120 not £101!

So, err, what was that about modern life being rubbish?
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krarkol
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PostPosted: 14:59 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wouldn't say that everyone could afford a house back then. Considering that it was the era where council estates where being built everywhere.

However I do think for the time they where better paid. Obviously there'll be a few exceptions due to the fact there was no minimum wage but I think overall people got paid what they where worth, rather than now where you accept what you have and get on with it.

Back then it was more an employee's market, being able to walk from one job straight into another. This in turn meant companies had to offer you more reason to stay with them.

I think there was a lot more to do aswell and due to the fact you didn't feel like a slave to the system, people where a lot happier doing stuff like factory work. Whereas now, it's depressing as you feel like you are worth nothing, just a number and that you'll never get out of it.

Obviously I could be wrong and I am going off things such as the price of beer and the general attitude of grandparents and the stories I've been told by my parents.
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Hetzer
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PostPosted: 18:08 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

daemonoid wrote:
Hetzer wrote:
I think you'll find that machine technology has hugely increased the hourly productivity of the average worker. Car factories and CNC lathes for just two obvious examples. Damn, even office cleaners with modern vacuums are more productive.

So stop talking bollocks.


Wow, you are angry with me...

You raise a good point, it doesn't mean mine was invalid though. Combination of automation and service counting as productivity would increase productivity.

Don't forget though that a lot of the automation is used to add value rather than just to speed up production. A modern car is built in a comparable amount of time to a 70s one, but, there are more features. Is that more productive considering a car's primary purpose is to transport?


I'm not angry. Eh?

Modern tech and automation means more features can be put into a car in less time than it took to make one years ago that had less.
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Rogerborg
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PostPosted: 18:45 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

D O G wrote:
Living standards ARE higher.

If you count paying far more of your take-home wages for a much smaller house, then sure.

Space and privacy are luxuries that are becoming beyond the means of all but the wealthiest. I doubt I'll ever make it to a detached house, and I make a decent living.

Granted what I do have is packed with electronics and toys, but I couldn't swing a cat in it, not even the little 'un.
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Ariel Badger
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PostPosted: 19:07 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

My parents worked all their lives. My dad for Joe Lucas and mom in the NHS and they bought their house in the late 60s. This however was not common, most of the kids in my primary school were in rented accommodation. My parents had to take out a 25 year mortgage for this and as for the land, all they had was a back garden.
They never had a car.
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D O G
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PostPosted: 19:08 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rogerborg wrote:
D O G wrote:
Living standards ARE higher.

If you count paying far more of your take-home wages for a much smaller house, then sure.

Space and privacy are luxuries that are becoming beyond the means of all but the wealthiest. I doubt I'll ever make it to a detached house, and I make a decent living.

Granted what I do have is packed with electronics and toys, but I couldn't swing a cat in it, not even the little 'un.


*Shrugs* Move to a cheaper location, with a bigger commute if it bothers you that much.

If you were thrown back to the 70's into a detached 4 bed with a big garden tomorrow, I'd give you a week before you were screaming to come back to the present day and your shoebox.
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smegballs
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PostPosted: 19:28 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

krarkol wrote:

Back then it was more an employee's market, being able to walk from one job straight into another. This in turn meant companies had to offer you more reason to stay with them.


The more value you have as an employee the greater the financial incentive to treat you well.

Conversely, when you have a massive labour pool on clamouring for unskilled jobs, the value on that unskilled labour is pretty low. When you have a supply much in excess of demand, the natural thing is for prices to fall which encourages more of that commodity to be bought. When you have govt mandated price controls, cough NMW cough, the price cannot fall to an equilibrium level and therefore buyers/employers will be very selective in what they buy/employ.

It's no wonder employers are so harsh on NMW staff, they have very little value. They are easily replaceable, usually doing unskilled work and if someone decides to leave then they can be quickly replaced from the legion of people looking for work.

OTOH if you are hard to replace with a rare set of skill etc, it makes sense to treat you nicely and keep you on-side.

TL;DR

If you don't like it, jog on. Plenty more where you came from.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 19:34 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Re: Spin off from the work thread, how/why have we allowed t Reply with quote

fatpies wrote:
I was cleaning out some of my old papers and came across a wage slip from the 1990. Doing a few calculations, I was actually better paid relative to living costs and outgoings than I am in 2013. Even though I have a ton of experience, considerably more qualifications etc.


Difficult to work out.

Houses have gone up but interest rates are far lower making them cheaper to buy. Strangely real rent has gone up.

Also depends on salary level / job. Min wage type jobs have seemingly gone up rather more than most normal level jobs.

In the shorter term how much prices have gone up also depends on what date is chosen as the start date. Go back (say) 6 years and prices of imports were artificially low due to ludicrous exchange rates for the pound while now they are at more normal levels.

Prices of toys these days are very low. For example back in 1988 an Aprilia AF1 Sintesi was £3k, while an Aprilia RS4 125 is £4270 - in 25 years the price has gone up 42% while it should have gone up about 120%. VHS player was hideously expensive compared to a DVD player now, while a prerecorded film has dropped by a fair amount.

Go back a few decades and houses might have been bigger, but a hell of a lot more people living in that space.

All the best

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Pigeon
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PostPosted: 19:39 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mums dad was a plumber, chippy and they kept pigs, chickens and grew veg. They scrimpt for years and bought land and built a 3 story house (themselves) in 1930. He continued as a plumber / chippy / small holder, but then also let out many rooms to travellers and local workers.
The cost of the land and build was £1,300

As a very rough guide, value of money halves every 10 years. So that's £250,000 in todays money.

The house (not owned by them anymore) sold last year for £900,000

Inflation, the cost of money over time. But that's 360% more than fair value.

We have more people chasing fewer assets, whether that be houses, land or food/energy. And more of those people choose to use leverage in the form of debt, which does nothing but drive prices beyond fair value. In the short term, like any Ponzi, those at the front perceive they have won, but there is a longer term cost.
People are allowed debt, so both parents have to work because they can both borrow and choose to because its the only way to afford it.
Princes inflate and people borrow more.

It's a great way of controlling the population while those at the top can extract as much inflation free cash. It's the person having to service a debt over 30 years who sees the inflation, not the people who benefit from it today (ie politicians, bankers, shareholders and CEO's).

My little hut in the Canadian wilderness is calling.

Also, energy costs were low for many decades as it was cheap and plentiful. For every unit of GDP, there has to be a consumption of energy. Some argue that the easy to reach energy has already run out and we're having to spend a lot more to access it. This cost has partially been hidden by the increase in technology and knowledge.
I'd like to think that humans will always innovate and find a way (if we can), but there is a lot of power invested in maintaining the status quo. I vaguely remember something about a bloke inventing batteries that were 50x as powerful as Lithium and cheaper to produce. He was going to use them in cars nearly 15 years ago, but a large oil company bought the Intellectual Property and shelved the project. These competing forces have probably been at work since the dawn of time though. But perhaps the difference now is scope.
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fatpies
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PostPosted: 19:54 - 08 Oct 2013    Post subject: Reply with quote

smegballs wrote:


Conversely, when you have a massive labour pool on clamouring for unskilled jobs, the value on that unskilled labour is pretty low. When you have a supply much in excess of demand, the natural thing is for prices to fall which encourages more of that commodity to be bought.


Yes and the government should have gone Australia, France, Canada, Japan, even China... hell most countries on the planet.


I.e. protected their indigenous work force instead of letting any old Harry Muhammed and his 10 brothers and sisters in.

But nah, Labour sent out search parties for people.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/immigration/10055613/Labour-sent-out-search-parties-for-immigrants-Lord-Mandelson-admits.html
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