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| chickenstrip |
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 chickenstrip Super Spammer

Joined: 06 Dec 2013 Karma :    
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 Posted: 07:17 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: Life Out There? |
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https://www.space.com/29990-stephen-hawking-intelligent-alien-life-initiative.html
That's a lot of money being spent. Does it really matter whether there is or not any other life out there? How does it affect us? I can see how we would want to increase our knowledge, but just how important is this? ____________________ Chickenystripgeezer's Biking Life (Latest update 19/10/18) Belgium, France, Italy, Austria tour 2016 Picos de Europa, Pyrenees and French Alps tour 2017 Scotland Trip 1, now with BONUS FEATURE edit, 5/10/19, on page 2 Scotland Trip 2 Luxembourg, Black Forest, Switzerland, Vosges Trip 2017
THERE'S MILLIONS OF CHICKENSTRIPS OUT THERE! |
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| BigShow |
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 BigShow Spanner Monkey

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| hellkat |
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 hellkat Super Spammer

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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

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| oldpink |
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 oldpink World Chat Champion

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| hellkat |
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 hellkat Super Spammer

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| dydey90 |
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 dydey90 World Chat Champion

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| Sabs |
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 Sabs Scooby Slapper
Joined: 12 Nov 2013 Karma :     
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 Posted: 08:39 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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I think it's fascinating.
There are suns out there a billion years older than our sun so why not? There's billions of planets like Earth in our galaxy and there's over a hundred billion galaxies out there.
And that's just the known expanse of space.
Did you know you can fit over 1 million Earth's in the Sun? WOW!!
How can you not be interested in this stuff! ____________________ My Photos
Theory in the bag, Mod 1 passed 28/3/2014, Mod 2 passed 9/4/2014 - Let loose
Kawaski ER6-f |
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| Islander |
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 Islander World Chat Champion

Joined: 05 Aug 2012 Karma :    
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 Posted: 08:53 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: Re: Life Out There? |
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| Rogerborg wrote: |
What matters is why the galaxy is so quiet.
Which is a followup to: why aren't we bug eyed freaks?
Even on impulse drive at sublight speeds it would only take a billion years or so for an expansive species - and we only need one, in all the galaxy - to completely colonise the Milky Way, and we're squatting on prime real estate.
Why on earth - or Kepler 62e - hasn't this happened? I find it difficult to imagine a galaxy not overrun by biological or mechanical rep-li-cay-tors. If life is common then the odds against the Klingons getting out there early enough to shove their flagpole in Gaia while we were still thinking about dabbing a flipper on the beach are literally astronomical.
We're alone, or something is silencing planets that ring the dinner bell. |
Our planet was only noisy for a relatively short period. With the advent of narrow beam communication, fibre optics, etc. The amount of radio noise we produce is diminishing. Now look at the timescales. Humankind has been around for around 200,000 years and it took us over 3 billion years to get there. The average survival time for a single species from speciation to extinction is around 2 million years - around 0.044% of the total time that evolution has been underway. We've been making radio noise for around 100 years - around 0.006% of the time our species has existed. We're going to have to be fairly lucky to detect life that way. We're more likely to detect life signature in spectrographic atmospheric analysis as a planet transits it's star and even that requires that the alien solar system has it's planetary disk edge on to us - many won't.
As for colonisation, our closest star is proxima centauri, some 4.2 light years away. Using an ion drive or something similar, it would take around 80,000 years with a peak velocity of 15.5km/s. At that speed, any kind of micrometeorite strike would be devastating. Assuming we used something with higher acceleration for longer, it would still take over 100 years and a prodigious quantity of mass to consume to get there and at the peak velocities reached a small grain of sand impacting would probably destroy the craft. In any event, a ship would have to continue working reliably for in excess of 100 years at a minimum in a very hostile, high radiation environment and more importantly protect and keep it's occupants alive. Highly unlikely.
As for life itself, it's statistically likely that it exists elsewhere. Whether it's intelligent or not is another matter. To quote Eric Idle though, let's pray that there's intelligent life somewhere up in space, 'cause there's bugger all down here on Earth.  |
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 09:13 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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Oh, it's unlikely that any particular planet will produce an expansive starfaring species, but it. Only. Takes. One. Ever.
A billion years is nothing cosmologically: there are multiple generations of stars already out there.
Why Earth hasn't been colonised by the bug-eyes is a fairly cuckoo-bananas thing to be concerned about, but on the other hand it's literally a bet-the-species issue.
Based on our current sample-set it looks we should expect the most aggressive, selfish and destructive species to dominate.
That leads to couple of suppositions. One, that any species that's both aggressive and technological enough to expand and colonise will nuke or consume itself out of existence while all of its eggs are in one basket.
The other is that sooner or later every species make self replicating machines and they do an even better job of it. Crush, kill, destroy.
But in either case you're still left with that issue that you only needed one exception, ever, and BAM, it's bug-eyed monoculture.
However if one lot of bug-eyes (again: ever) make self replicating machines capable of space travel then you get Berserkers (only without the dramatically convenient weaknesses). And that really is all she wrote for us ugly-bags-of-mostly-water, anywhere in the galaxy.
When I'm emperor of the world, I'll broadcast one more signal "LOL, JK, YOLO" then hush up the earth.  ____________________ Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike
Last edited by Rogerborg on 10:17 - 21 Jul 2015; edited 1 time in total |
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| smegballs |
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 smegballs World Chat Champion
Joined: 28 Oct 2007 Karma :  
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 Posted: 09:15 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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^^^Ion Drive
Go Orion or go home!!! |
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| The Wobbly Orange |
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 The Wobbly Orange Brolly Dolly
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| Polarbear |
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 Polarbear Super Spammer

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| BigShow |
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 BigShow Spanner Monkey

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| hellkat |
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 hellkat Super Spammer

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| oldpink |
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 oldpink World Chat Champion

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| oldpink |
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 oldpink World Chat Champion

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| Fisty |
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 Fisty Super Spammer

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| ScaredyCat |
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 ScaredyCat World Chat Champion

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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

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| oldpink |
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 oldpink World Chat Champion

Joined: 02 Aug 2006 Karma :   
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 Posted: 10:40 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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one of the issues is distance
even IF we receive a message from another civilisation the chances are by the time we get it that civilisation has fallen / become extinct  ____________________ I have become comfortably numb
Theory & hazard 24-may 2016, CBT 8th June 2016, MOD 1 2nd Aug 2016 Mod 2 2nd-Nov 2016 - Current bike CBR 600 RR |
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| trevor saxe-coburg-gotha |
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 trevor saxe-coburg-gotha World Chat Champion

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| nowhere.elysium |
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 nowhere.elysium The Pork Lord

Joined: 02 Mar 2009 Karma :    
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 Posted: 11:03 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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We quite possibly can't pick up on the communications methods used by any sufficiently advanced species out there; a hundred years ago we wouldn't have been able to tap into our own current communication systems, after all. There is also the fact that the means by which we examine the stars are still excruciatingly low-res in the grand scheme of things.
Rogerborg's fatalism is one that I typically agree with on this subject, but to assume that we can't see them because they're hiding, and not because we're under-equipped to see them is just tiny a bit self-aggrandising. We're really not that awesome a species if planetary and stellar engineering is the scale that we're using as a comparison basis.
An interstellar predator species is not even remotely outlandish a concept: it's the same model that we've observed in terrestrial species, so what's to say that the idea can't be scaled up? ____________________ '10 SV650SF, '83 GS650GT (it lives!), Questionable DIY dash project, 3D Printer project, Lasercutter project |
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 12:34 - 21 Jul 2015 Post subject: |
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Correction: Royal Astronomical Society reckons just 2 million years to colonise the galaxy at 0.1c with a 1:1 prep/travel ratio (100 year trip 100 years to prepare the next one hundred year trip...).
| nowhere.elysium wrote: | sufficiently advanced species |
https://chooseomatic.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/spacewizard.jpg
| nowhere.elysium wrote: | to assume that we can't see them because they're hiding |
Could be hiding, could be that the noisy ones have been eaten. Their faces first.
Actually, based on us living on a blue and green planet that hasn't been colonised by the Zorblaxian Empire, I'd bet on the Silencers being of the shiny "Crush. Kill. Destroy." variety, cleaning up carbon unit infestations.
This might sound like science fiction, and it is, but it's also a totes srs answer to the Fermi paradox.
The fluffiest explanation is that we've been zoned as a nature reserve. The Voyager probes should be passing the "DO NOT ENTER! PRIMITIVE LIFEFORMS EVOLVING!" signs right about now. ____________________ Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike |
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| hellkat |
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 hellkat Super Spammer

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Old Thread Alert!
The last post was made 10 years, 220 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful? |
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