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Russia, Putin and the New Cold War

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pwntifex
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PostPosted: 11:59 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Russia, Putin and the New Cold War Reply with quote

https://sun3.lib.uci.edu/jariel/atomicblast.jpeg

What are your thoughts about Putin's threats to launch nukes against Europe should America go ahead and install a radar for their anti-missile system in the Czech republic?

It seems as if these threats have appeared more or less from nowhere—Putin is obviously eager to flex the old military muscles in true Soviet stylee.
None of the news agencies seem to be treating it very seriously, so should we be worried or not?

Furthermore, are the U.S.'s actions acceptable or not? Do you think they're really planning to use them against the middle east?
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pwntifex
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PostPosted: 12:04 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here are some news links, by the way: one and two.
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craigie b
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PostPosted: 12:07 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Political posturing-the west could as easily wipe Russia from the face of the planet too.
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pwntifex
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PostPosted: 12:13 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

craigie b wrote:
Political posturing-the west could as easily wipe Russia from the face of the planet too.

Interesting.
I suppose, though, that if Russia were to strike first (and let's face it, the West is unlikely to take the first step in terms of nuclear action), it doesn't much matter, does it?
So the question is not 'who will strike first?' but 'will they strike?'.
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craigie b
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PostPosted: 12:16 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don't be daft. If Russia was to strike as you talk of, they would have to simultaneously nuke every western nation to oblivion without allowing the aforesaid nations a chance to retaliate. Highly unlikely. The ultimate outcome would simply be MAD.

So no, they wouldn't strike.Besides, Russia acting like the bad guy is great for western countries looking for an excuse to inject vast quantities of cash into military funding.
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killa
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PostPosted: 13:24 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've got my shades on... Cool

If it lands in Europe i'll be alright
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strawberry
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PostPosted: 19:41 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Re: Russia, Putin and the New Cold War Reply with quote

pwntifex wrote:
It seems as if these threats have appeared more or less from nowhere—Putin is obviously eager to flex the old military muscles in true Soviet stylee.


I don't think Putin's words are from more or less nowhere given the stated wishes of the USA - if anything, this flexing of military muscles is something the USA should respect given it spends so much of its own time and resources doing just that.

Quote:
Furthermore, are the U.S.'s actions acceptable or not? Do you think they're really planning to use them against the middle east?


I don't think the USA's actions are acceptable, I think it's another example of that particular state trying to broaden its control over the world. I doubt they're planning to use them against the Middle East specifically, it seems more a of a general bullying gesture.
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UrbanRacer
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PostPosted: 19:55 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Two sides going to war with nukes would result in both sides losing and they know this.
Whats more likely to happen is Russia squeezing the west with its Gas and Oil supply.
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 20:21 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

No conceivable American missile defence system is going to be able to defend against a large or even medium scale strike from a serious nuclear power. The system is being put in place to defend against limited strikes from rogue nations with inferior resources and technology.

As such, it would be no threat to Russian nuclear capability, they are just using it as an opportunity for a bit of posturing.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 20:37 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

Agree with Mister James. However such a system would make a first strike option rather safer for the USA (should they choose to concentrate the use of the system on the area they wish to defend).

Whether they would do such a first strike is another question, and comes down to you opinion of the USA. Personally suspect that if it came to it they would do it, but have no real need to. On the other hand Russia similarly has no need to but can take the view that it is a first step to negating their nuclear offensive capabilities.

Suspect Russia could design / implement its own missle defence system fairly rapidly if they wanted to. And we would be paying for it through our gas / electricity bills.

All the best

Keith
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cestrian
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PostPosted: 20:51 - 04 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Russians?.....Pahhh......
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JonB
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PostPosted: 11:52 - 05 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let's face it, why would Russia want to bomb its primary customer of oil and provider of their fairly stable economy. I use that term lightly, Russia is still in a bad way. It is coming up to election time in Russia, therefore Putin is trying to use symbols of strength to get the vote.

Cold Wars are fine, in fact during the first Cold War, it was actually the longest sustained period for centuries without a serious war. What tends to happen is many proxy wars occur, e.g Vietnam, Korea. Where the two superpowers were indirectly involved with military actions against each other.

Let's not forget we don't live in a Bi-Polar superpower system anymore. Russia is not a superpower. The US is still the only majorly recognisable superpower.

This hasn't been broadcast on the media, but I have a sneaky feeling, these missile defences could also be for use against the up and coming Chinese and Indian economies, its a well known fact India have nuclear arsenal.

What will this mean for the UK?

The new trident system will probably get a definite go ahead, provided a new arms race begins.

Also important to remember this wont be a war about different ideologies here.
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Itchy
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PostPosted: 12:28 - 05 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mister James wrote:
No conceivable American missile defence system is going to be able to defend against a large or even medium scale strike from a serious nuclear power. The system is being put in place to defend against limited strikes from rogue nations with inferior resources and technology.

As such, it would be no threat to Russian nuclear capability, they are just using it as an opportunity for a bit of posturing.


true its probably posturing on a scale of Cuba missile crisis, sort of but not quite , but then it you look closer the missiles to be stationed in cuba were just a response to missiles the US put around Turkey.
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innominate
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PostPosted: 20:53 - 05 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Meh


Might as well flip a coin to decide which side to support.


Putin and his corruption of democracy thorugh his ex KGB shennanigans.

Bush and his corruption of democracy via various lobby groups and vested interests.
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 22:51 - 05 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jon B wrote:
What tends to happen is many proxy wars occur, e.g Vietnam, Korea. Where the two superpowers were indirectly involved with military actions against each other.


We are already involved in wars-by-proxy, just not with Russia. We can't afford to be drawn into any form of confrontation with them at the moment.

Quote:

Let's not forget we don't live in a Bi-Polar superpower system anymore. Russia is not a superpower. The US is still the only majorly recognisable superpower.


Russia is still a power to be reckoned with, it has almost double the number of warheads that the US has access to, and has been rebuilding its forces over the last decade. Don't write them off yet, the post-Cold War myth about the broken bear is exactly that - fiction.

Quote:

This hasn't been broadcast on the media, but I have a sneaky feeling, these missile defences could also be for use against the up and coming Chinese and Indian economies, its a well known fact India have nuclear arsenal.


China has had long range ICBMs for donkeys' years, if we'd felt we needed a defence against them we'd have deployed one a long time ago. India is too busy developing short/medium range weapons to slap Pakistan about, it doesn't have the resources to develop a significant threat to us.

Quote:

The new trident system will probably get a definite go ahead, provided a new arms race begins.


It was always going to, any consultation is simply a paper-exercise to keep the nay-sayers thinking their opinion counts.

Quote:

Also important to remember this wont be a war about different ideologies here.


Indeed not. Whether Muslim, Christian, Capitalist or Communist, it's always been about power and wealth, and frakk all to do with ideologies.
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colin1
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PostPosted: 23:04 - 05 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

you cant blame putin for being a bit cross

today these defence missiles could be a token defence against a theoretical threat from iran, but in time they could be a way of further weakening russias position

the americans didnt like castro having nuclear weapons based in cuba, so why should putin be ok about something based by him that could in time invalidate his nuclear deterant ?

i doubt he'd actually nuke, but the possibilty that he might, is enough that america should think again.

america has a habit of doing something for one reason under the pretext of something else

for example weakening iraq with sanctions and then invading on the grounds that iraq might have weapons by which it could defend itself from being attacked.
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hellkat
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PostPosted: 00:54 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

You have to admit, though ... that Ahmadinejad is a pretty dodgy sort of character. I'm inclined to give airtime to the idea that they've put the weapons there to discourage him from getting too high and mighty.

Although when they get as deranged as he obviously is, sometimes no sort of deterrent is really going to bother them.

Russia and the US would be better off co-operating about putting weapons in places to deter the likes of him, and the North Koreans.
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Yorkie Bar Kid
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PostPosted: 01:01 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Having recently seen Threads for the first time I have to say that this news frightens me, but I don't see a second arms race resulting from this.

Threads for those who don't know was made by the BBC in 1984.
It hypothesises the long term results of a full scale nuclear war involving the complete destruction of the UK's major cities, The US and I believe mentions that the US sends a salvo over to the USSR. focusing on the city of Sheffield and its citizens, and the aftermath up to 13 years after the event. Its filmed in a mockumentary style with a very unemotional narration, It makes for very harrowing viewing.

I recommend if you havn't see it please do, you will then see that Russia is not going to risk its own mutally assured destruction with this.
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hellkat
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PostPosted: 01:08 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cold wars are so dull, anyway. All that double/triple/quadruple agent stuff ... nobody ever REALLY gets to know who was the Bad Guy, life gets a bit like a Robert Ludlum novel Rolling Eyes
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 15:21 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

colin1 wrote:
you cant blame putin for being a bit cross

today these defence missiles could be a token defence against a theoretical threat from iran, but in time they could be a way of further weakening russias position


Colin, read my post.

This system is NO threat to Russia's deterrent, and will not become one. Any such threat would require a totally new system based on technology none of us have.

Putin has NO reason to be concerned, he is playing the situation for political leverage.

Quote:

the americans didnt like castro having nuclear weapons based in cuba, so why should putin be ok about something based by him that could in time invalidate his nuclear deterant ?


Perhaps not; but as this situation bears no resemblance at all to your theory, we can safely ignore it.

Quote:

i doubt he'd actually nuke, but the possibilty that he might, is enough that america should think again.


Ermmm, I think the idea is that Europe thinks again, as it's there that Putin has said he will aim his missiles.

Quote:

america has a habit of doing something for one reason under the pretext of something else


Oh, you mean like EVERY OTHER FRAKKING COUNTRY IN THE WORLD?

Quote:

for example weakening iraq with sanctions


Would that be those UN-mandated sanctions, the same UN that everyone who hates America worships? Rather than browsing through back issues of the Mirror and Granuiard, why don't you actually research the issue a little? You'd find that France and Russia signed off on the sanctions, France helped enforce them, and both nations sold far more weapons to Iraq than the US or UK every did. Both signed massive oil contracts just before the last Gulf war, and then suddenly decided that Saddam was ok. How ginger beer.
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 15:23 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yorkie Bar Kid wrote:

I recommend if you havn't see it please do, you will then see that Russia is not going to risk its own mutally assured destruction with this.


That might be true if the people with their finger on the button lived in Sheffield - or even in the real world. All politicians are insulated from the consequences of their actions, and thus have no immediate stake in considering them carefully.
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JonB
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PostPosted: 15:50 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mister James wrote:


Indeed not. Whether Muslim, Christian, Capitalist or Communist, it's always been about power and wealth, and frakk all to do with ideologies.

All of your other comments were stuff I agree with, however I don't think you can wipe ideology out of the box like that.

The Truman doctrine exampled to some extent why the US went to war with Vietnam in the first place. This so called "domino effect", was the theory that once one country had fallen to communism, so the next one would. China had been "lost" to communism and Vietnam was a potential gateway seeing as the Vietcong were fighting in vietnam prior to the Vietnam war, the North was already under communism and the US didn't like the idea of it spreading to the south.

Besides wealth and ideology both tied in well with the Marshall Plan after WWII, simply because giving money to rebuild Europe after the war would have been far beneficial than for Western Europe to fall to communism, so I do believe that if there was a "Second Cold War" it would be ever so slightly different to the first one.

Smile
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 16:10 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

You are fixating on the minutia.

Communism was simply the route certain people took to power and wealth.

Western democracy was another.

If the whole world was Communist, we'd still have wars. If it was all Muslim, we would too.

Ideologies, religions, politics and beliefs, they are all simply manifestations of Man's desire to grab a little bit extra for himself.

Edit: Grade = B- 'John shows good background knowledge of the subject, but has yet to show he is capable of looking beyond the immediate context to discern the underlying causes.'

Wink

[/patronisinggitmode]
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Last edited by Mister James on 16:59 - 06 Jun 2007; edited 1 time in total
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TheShaggyDA
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PostPosted: 16:46 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mister James wrote:
You are fixating on the minutia.

Communism was simply the route certain people took to power and wealth.

Western democracy was another.

If the whole world was Communist, we'd still have wars. If it was all Muslim, we would too.

Ideologies, religions, politics and beliefs, they are all simply manifestations of Man's desire to grab a little bit extra for himself.


I might be wrong, but I seem to remember that in one of the Indian langauges, "War" is another word for "Need more cows" Smile
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Mister James
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PostPosted: 16:59 - 06 Jun 2007    Post subject: Reply with quote

That sounds like something DemoNSR would say!

Wink
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