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| Pete. |
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 Pete. Super Spammer

Joined: 22 Aug 2006 Karma :     
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 Posted: 21:40 - 30 Mar 2014 Post subject: Will the clement weather push accident stats up or down? |
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Was thinking about this the other day. The weather has been so warm that I've seen loads of extra bikes on my commute that I wouldn't expect to see until at least after Easter. I wonder if the extra bikes on the road so early will mean higher accident stats for this year, or will the weather being so warm, with better grip and visibility mean that they will be lower.
Aside from that - has anyone here brought their bike out of hibernation early this year? I ride my Bandit all year round, but for sure I wouldn't be out on my 'busa in March yet I've been out on it four Saturdays out of the last five. ____________________ a.k.a 'Geri'
132.9mph off and walked away. Gear is good, gear is good, gear is very very good  |
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| P. |
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 P. Red Rocket
Joined: 14 Feb 2008 Karma :   
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| MC |
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 MC Banned
Joined: 01 Apr 2013 Karma :   
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 Posted: 21:48 - 30 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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F**k knows, have better things to think about  ____________________ Yamaha MT-03 '08 (crashed)
Honda XR-125L '04 |
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| covent.gardens |
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 covent.gardens World Clap Champion

Joined: 09 Jun 2012 Karma :     
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| Pete. |
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 Pete. Super Spammer

Joined: 22 Aug 2006 Karma :     
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 Posted: 21:52 - 30 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 22:36 - 30 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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More "hibernation" bikers awakening, more accidents for them.
More bikes out there, more awareness and less chance of me getting SMIDSYd.
https://i57.tinypic.com/2qxqqgk.jpg ____________________ Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike |
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| Teflon-Mike |
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 Teflon-Mike tl;dr

Joined: 01 Jun 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 06:19 - 31 Mar 2014 Post subject: Re: Will the clement weather push accident stats up or down? |
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| Pete. wrote: | I wonder if the extra bikes on the road so early will mean higher accident stats for this year, or will the weather being so warm, with better grip and visibility mean that they will be lower. |
From stat chops I have looked at, ISTR March Stats always tend to show a spike. The Mad-March-Hares, coming out of hybernation; out of practice, on bikes that haven't been ridden for months, more likely to have faults and more likely they'll be overlooked by riders full of over-enthusiasm at being back in the saddle.
Summer sees most accidents; mainly from greatest number of bikes on the road; Winter see's fewer from less bikes on the road; and the rate per mile remains pretty much the same throughout the year. Weather being such a small influence on actual risk; but peoples reactions to it perversely skewing the odds slightly the wrong way; Winter riders will tend to be a tad more aware and cautious of road conditions, summer riders more blase, over compensating to perceived risk. As well as winter bikers more likely to be riding for necessity, rather than pleasure, hence less likely to be thrill seekers taking unnecessary risks.
Not so sure its a particularly early 'spring' this year? End of march today? How long till Easter? Stats seem to climb through easter till May Bank, then plateau as summer settles; August Summer-Holidays sees the season starting to decline, but co-incides with start of accademic year, beginning of September, and yoofs getting bikes to get to and from college, propping them up for a month or so, into beginning of November, until weather stars to bite.
Seems pretty much the same every year, dont think this year is much different, though last three summers have been pretty dire, so may seem like we have better and earlier weather this spring; but I dont think it's unusually 'nice' unusually early this year.
| Pete. wrote: | | MC wrote: | F**k knows, have better things to think about  |
When you're standing wearing ear plugs watching a machine for 6 hours you get time to think about all manner of things  |
It was better in the olden days when the Suds had solvents in them, and if you wanted a real hit, you went to the standards room to and cleaned the slip guages with MEK to check your tolerences! ____________________ My Webby'Tef's-tQ, loads of stuff about my bikes, my Land-Rovers, and the stuff I do with them!
Current Bikes:'Honda VF1000F' ;'CB750F2N' ;'CB125TD ( 6 3 of em!)'; 'Montesa Cota 248'. Learner FAQ's:= 'U want to Ride a Motorbike! Where Do U start?' |
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| nerald |
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 nerald Borekit Bruiser

Joined: 25 Oct 2012 Karma :   
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| doggone |
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 doggone World Chat Champion

Joined: 20 May 2004 Karma :    
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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| wr6133 |
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 wr6133 World Chat Champion
Joined: 31 Dec 2013 Karma :   
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| chickenstrip |
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 chickenstrip Super Spammer

Joined: 06 Dec 2013 Karma :    
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 Posted: 08:56 - 31 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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Just make sure YOU are not a statistic! Course there will be more accidents with the huge extra numbers of bikes coming out of hibernation. Take it easy when you start your season, remember and practice those rusty skills before going nuts, make sure the bike is in good fettle, and accept that some people are better/faster riders than you are - let them be, doesn't mean it'll be any less enjoyable for you.
Sad to see the statistics rise each year, but there will always be some unfortunately
On the upside, there were thousands of us out enjoying sunshine and dry roads on the weekend WITHOUT mishap  |
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| Rowey |
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 Rowey World Chat Champion

Joined: 07 Oct 2007 Karma :   
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| doggone |
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 doggone World Chat Champion

Joined: 20 May 2004 Karma :    
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| Vincent |
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 Vincent Banned

Joined: 16 Oct 2006 Karma :    
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| Teflon-Mike |
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 Teflon-Mike tl;dr

Joined: 01 Jun 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 09:57 - 31 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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| chickenstrip wrote: | Sad to see the statistics rise each year |
Lies, Damn Lies and statistics!
Gov't figures, for what they are worth, actually show that road accident rates have been declining in the UK over the last couple of decades. M/C accidents are still disproportionate to the number of riders and the miles they travel; but are claimed to have reduced over the last three years, where car accidents have increased.
Dip is, like as not, due to the three crappy summers just past, keeping many fair-weather rider's indoors, and if the decline continues, will likely be due to them making it so fucking hard to get a licence, numbers don't increase much & biking dwindles even more as a % of road use; though no doubt they will claim that that shows the 'success' of new licencing regime! ____________________ My Webby'Tef's-tQ, loads of stuff about my bikes, my Land-Rovers, and the stuff I do with them!
Current Bikes:'Honda VF1000F' ;'CB750F2N' ;'CB125TD ( 6 3 of em!)'; 'Montesa Cota 248'. Learner FAQ's:= 'U want to Ride a Motorbike! Where Do U start?' |
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| fozzym |
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 fozzym Brolly Dolly

Joined: 14 Mar 2011 Karma :  
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 Posted: 11:18 - 31 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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Just a theory but if the season is extended due to better weather it may be that whilst the usual spike in accidents as people get going still happens. After that because folks will get more time on the bike hence more experience that overall the figures will be less or just similar to last year.
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| Ribenapigeon |
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 Ribenapigeon Super Spammer

Joined: 20 Feb 2012 Karma :   
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| orangepeeleo |
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 orangepeeleo Scooby Slapper
Joined: 29 Mar 2010 Karma :  
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 Posted: 15:06 - 31 Mar 2014 Post subject: |
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I was forced to follow about 6 very sensible chaps on cruisers at 40-50mph down country roads on Sunday, while in my car to visit the inlaws for mothers day. So apparently not in Northants lol think they were all going to the Harley shop in Uppingham.
Did like winding the windows down and listening to them though, bloody loud!  |
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Old Thread Alert!
The last post was made 11 years, 291 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful? |
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