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| Ribenapigeon |
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 Ribenapigeon Super Spammer

Joined: 20 Feb 2012 Karma :   
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 Posted: 08:31 - 26 Nov 2015 Post subject: Saudi Arabia sueing social media critic WTF! |
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| notbike |
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 notbike World Chat Champion

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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

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| Yorkshire Geek |
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 Yorkshire Geek Scooby Slapper
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| MCN |
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 MCN Super Spammer

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| Ribenapigeon |
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 Ribenapigeon Super Spammer

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 - Super Spammer
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| Yorkshire Geek |
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 Yorkshire Geek Scooby Slapper
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| ThoughtContro... |
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 ThoughtContro... World Chat Champion

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| Ste |
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 Ste Not Work Safe

Joined: 01 Sep 2002 Karma :    
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 Posted: 11:32 - 26 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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He added that Saudi Arabia would not hesitate to take legal action against "any media that slandered the religious judiciary of the Kingdom", according to a report in the Al-Riyadh newspaper.
Saudi Arabia sentencing a man to death for apostasy is just as bad as what ISIS do.
The Saudi Government and the Saudi Royal family are to blame for this.
fite me and sue me |
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| ThoughtContro... |
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 ThoughtContro... World Chat Champion

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| MCN |
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 MCN Super Spammer

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| Nobby the Bastard |
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 Nobby the Bastard Harley Gaydar

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| -Matt- |
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 -Matt- World Chat Champion
Joined: 28 Apr 2013 Karma :     
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 Posted: 00:27 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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| Rogerborg wrote: | When you say "radical muslims", it's important to frame the boundaries.
45% of British muslims say that those preaching violence against the west are not out of touch with mainstream muslim opinion.
24% say that violence against those who publish images of Mahomet can be justified. | Its equally important to break down how statistics are gathered - In this case polling 1,000 Muslims out of a UK population of at the very least 2,706,066 (last census).
Using statistics against a group of people when they're gathered from 0.05% of the total group is pretty pointless in trying to determine anything thats actually statistically useful or reliable . |
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 - Super Spammer
Joined: 22 Oct 2013 Karma :     
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 Posted: 10:23 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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| -Matt- wrote: | | Rogerborg wrote: | When you say "radical muslims", it's important to frame the boundaries.
45% of British muslims say that those preaching violence against the west are not out of touch with mainstream muslim opinion.
24% say that violence against those who publish images of Mahomet can be justified. | Its equally important to break down how statistics are gathered - In this case polling 1,000 Muslims out of a UK population of at the very least 2,706,066 (last census).
Using statistics against a group of people when they're gathered from 0.05% of the total group is pretty pointless in trying to determine anything thats actually statistically useful or reliable . |
True, but a sample of 1,000 is about as good as it gets with an "independent poll", hell, some adverts on TV include less than 100 people and pass advertising standards.
You can hardly expect them to poll all 2.7 Million, plus the other Million or so, who just never returned after a "visit" to the UK ____________________ TZR250 2MA road, TZR250 1KT road, TZR250 2MA race, TDR250, YZF-750R Boost colours.
Jaguar S Type 3.0 V6 Sport R, VW Transporter T5 GP LWB Shuttle 140ps DSG. |
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| Yorkshire Geek |
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 Yorkshire Geek Scooby Slapper
Joined: 02 Jun 2015 Karma :     
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| Ste |
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 Ste Not Work Safe

Joined: 01 Sep 2002 Karma :    
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 Posted: 12:38 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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Using statistics gathered from 0.05% of the total group being represented?
On that basic, 16 people can speak for BCFs 31,564 active users.
Or, 1 person with 15 socks.
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 13:13 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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| Ste wrote: | Using statistics gathered from 0.05% of the total group being represented?
On that basic, 16 people can speak for BCFs 31,564 active users. |
As it turns out, for 31564 you still need 1000 to get the levels of confidence mentioned above.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2011/11/21/understanding-margin-error/
It may all be bullshit, but it's the commonly accepted bullshit, and for predictive polls like pre-election voting does tend to produce accurate numbers if you get something like random selection from your population.
I would be suspicious about how and where they found the respondents in this case. If it's from outside mosques in at 2pm on Tuesday then it might be as representative as judging BCF based on a live chat session. ____________________ Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike |
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 - Super Spammer
Joined: 22 Oct 2013 Karma :     
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| -Matt- |
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 -Matt- World Chat Champion
Joined: 28 Apr 2013 Karma :     
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 Posted: 15:09 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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Ah yes; the 'randomised' and 'mathmatically accurate' group polling system. Unfortuately it often doesn't work out remotely accurate - it entirely depends on which 'population' group; especially certain demographics within that group are being interviewed, no matter how 'randomised' it claims to be. Not asking 99.95% of a group of people their opinion is leaving some serious margin for error - especially when the 'randomised sample' is often not that randomised or balanced.
| Quote: | ComRes interviewed 1,000 Muslims living in Britain aged 18+ by telephone between 26th January and 20th February. Data were weighted to be representative of the known population. Sample was drawn from two sources, as outlined below:
National Random Digit Dialing (RDD) Surveys: A database collected from national, RDD surveys where respondents identified as being Muslim who were happy to be re-contacted for research.
Super Output Areas: RDD sample was drawn based on the Office for National Statistics’ Output Areas – the statistical regions created by the Office for National Statistics that are the lowest geographical level at which census estimates are provided – in order to determine the Middle Layer Super Output Areas that have the highest density and incidence of BME adults (18+). |
So what we can safely say is; a microscopic statistical sample of Muslims, who can be bothered to take part in phone surveys, from selective areas after factoring in some alterations to the 'randomised' process, focusing or not focusing on high density BME population areas - expressed those views. Perhaps ringing around asking for Muslims who are happy to participate in phone surveys is a good way of rooting out potential future-extremists then, going by the statistics?
That is in no way an accurate or broad representation of all Muslims as a whole. I suspect the majority of people for starters would hang up the minute they recieve a 'please do our survey' call; the ones that don't certainly don't represent the majority on that basis alone, nevermind the pre-selective methods used to find participants for the polling. There is a ton of seemingly 'insignificant' factors that accumulate and end up making most of these types of surveys anything but 'random' or 'representative'.
Something as simple as polling by phone versus sitting someone in a quiet room with a questionaire may give largely differing results over a large group, purely on the basis people may be more inclined to answer quickly during a telephone interview, were on paper they generally take time to re-read, formulate and consider their answers.
| Yorkshire Geek wrote: | so long as you select them properly and don't (for example) pick 1000 non-English speaking | Well, this poll has already ruled out non-english speaking participants being phone-based, theres one fairly significant bias and misrepresentation of 'the UK muslim population' from this survey already.
Was it using land-line numbers only too? Many younger people, or people in low income areas don't even have land-lines anymore and will just use mobile phones - potentially missing out a huge two other huge demographics in the survey. |
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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| -Matt- |
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 -Matt- World Chat Champion
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| Rogerborg |
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 Rogerborg nimbA

Joined: 26 Oct 2010 Karma :    
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 Posted: 15:46 - 27 Nov 2015 Post subject: |
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OK, let's not extrapolate then.
240 British muslims said that violence against those who publish images of Mahomet can be justified.
That's 240 too many. ____________________ Biking is 1/20th as dangerous as horse riding.
GONE: HN125-8, LF-250B, GPz 305, GPZ 500S, Burgman 400 // RIDING: F650GS (800 twin), Royal Enfield Bullet Electra 500 AVL, Ninja 250R because racebike |
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| Ribenapigeon |
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 Ribenapigeon Super Spammer

Joined: 20 Feb 2012 Karma :   
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Old Thread Alert!
The last post was made 10 years, 289 days ago. Instead of replying here, would creating a new thread be more useful? |
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