One for the statisticians among you.....

[Danny]

I know that if you took a commercial flight everyday of your life, you would live to about 100 before experiencing an in-flight emergency.

So, if you rode your bike 10miles, twice a day, for every day of your life, how long would you live statistically speaking?

[Kickstart]

Hi

Say 700 deaths a year and about 5b passenger km by motorcycle each year. So one death every ~4.5m miles. Doing 20 miles a day you would expect to live 225000 days, so about 616 years.

All the best

Keith
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[cc123]

I'd rather ride a bike than take a flight, I hate flying, had the worst flight ever back home from Corfu last year...

At least on a bike, your in control, don't like trains either for that matter!
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[zx636]

Nothing like tempting fate.
Expect a post tomorrow from someone who has just had an accident on their bike. The usual, pilot pulled out in front of me and I skidded into his wing. Whats worst it was a women pilot who was using her mobile at the time.

[cc123]

[jimster]

I make it slightly more than that (pedant post warning!!)

According to the Transport 2000 website, in Britain in 2002 there were 111 deaths per billion kilometres travelled on two-wheeled motor vehicles.

https://www.transport2000.org.uk/factsandfigures/Facts.asp

That's 1 billion/111 = one death for every 9 million kms (or one death for every 5.6 million miles)

It would take you 766 years to drive 5.6 million miles if you drive 20 miles a day.

But beware statistics! It's all a bit meaningless, because if you ride like a maniac high on the joy of speed I would imagine your chance of having a fatal accident skyrockets pretty fast And of course, an average of 766 years might mean that one guy survives 1400 years and the other lasts two weeks!!


-edit- This is quite interesting - https://www.bikeclaim.net/RTA%20Statistics.htm

Shows that you're (slightly) more likely to die walking 11 miles than motorbiking 5 miles! (Although of course, 11 mile walk takes all day, whereas 5 miles on bike takes, erm, less time)
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