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Petrol prices - crazy or what?

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mchaggis
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PostPosted: 02:26 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

The earth's core is not undergoing nuclear fusion. It is a solid inner core surrounded by a liquid outer core, mostly consisting of iron. The flow of this molten iron core creates the earths magnetic field.

Once the fusion process gets as far as creating iron, it cannot go any further, because fusion of iron atoms requires more energy to cause it than it produces as a result. There is a hell of a lot of radioactivity down there, but no fusion.
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Walloper
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PostPosted: 10:08 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

We are unlikely to see a drop in price as the oil industry wastes so much money finding the stuff and can just pass the cost onto Joe Bloggs.
If we find Joe and have a quiet word with the twat for being so generous to shell, bp, texaco, tesco's and asda maybe the price rise can be checked.

What's the difference between nuclear Fusion and Fission then?
Will we ever see a nuclear or hydrogen powered bike.
Will the effin rain ever go off?

BTW a well maintained pedal bike is the most or one of the most efficient modes of transport known.
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feef
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PostPosted: 10:41 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Legnum Boy wrote:
There was a web site that had lots of info on it, but I don't have the addy here. I will find it and post it.... Then you can decide what you believe..


oooh it was on a website? it MUST be true Wink

all that will happen is, as the reserves lessen, prices will rise in line with the cost of obtaining the oil. In doing so, the higher prices will force many people to stop using it, as more and more people stop using it, they will find it harder to sell, so the price will eventually level out. it will be at a stupidly high price, but it will level out, and be a rare fuel for the rich and famous..

a
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natv4
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PostPosted: 11:35 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wish I could say I can see a way this will go differently, but it seems that what with vast increases in consumption (China's consumption is set to sky rocket) and a limited supply, I think high petrol prices are inevitable.

Not neccessarily a bad thing, as others have said (Keith), it just means that other sources of energy are going to become viable. Until then, I will be checking that my future bikes have good economy as well as performance (unlike the v-tec VFR800, which seems to only achieve a rubbish 33mpg!).
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Mungel
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PostPosted: 17:10 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

feef wrote:
oooh it was on a website? it MUST be true Wink


Rolling Eyes

Just because it is information on the web, doesn't lessen its credibility anymore than if it were broadcast on the TV, Radio or in broadsheets, although there are a lot of tossers spouting shit on the web, as you prove..... Wink

Here's the link - Fact Or Fiction You Decide

I guess that its still an unproven theory, but its better to think half full more than half empty - especially when thinking about the world your children will grow up in.
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jimster
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PostPosted: 18:48 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

feef wrote:
its still an unproven theory


Yes, and although one fairly renowned scienstist believes it, no-one else does!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Gold


Last edited by jimster on 06:18 - 14 Aug 2005; edited 1 time in total
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tsmith
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PostPosted: 19:06 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

i always joked if petrol went above £1 a litre, I'd go back to riding a CG125 so I could get 100mpg - now that looks like a real possibility.

At the moment I'm riding the GPZ500 slower and slower to try and save money. Getting 75mpg now and can't really get any better than that.

If petrol does go above £1 a litre there's not much point using a 75mpg GPZ at 50mph everywhere when I could be riding a CG125 at 60mph getting 100+mpg

and as for diesel...it costs far more than petrol so if I was to buy a diesel bike I would want at least 150mpg to make it worthwhile.

Middle Finger to Tony Blair and his 80% fuel tax
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 23:02 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Craggles wrote:
Something has to budge - at the end of the day Oil is going to be on ration. I doubt we'll ever run out completley, but it's not going to be readily avaliable for privateers to just burn.


Maybe it does, but there seems little point in subsidising public transport to save fuel when public transport is no more fuel efficient.

Yokogeri wrote:
Wonder how long it will be till we go back to cole powered cars (ie steam) I was told theres at least a 300 year supply of cole in the UK.


Think you are right on the 300 years. Figure I have heard as well. Only question is how much of that can no longer be safely accessed due to the abandoning of mines.

All the best

Keith
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kawakid
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PostPosted: 23:08 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

CGs seem to run on anything.

But seriously, I don't get hit by the prices too much as the bike is soo much cheaper than the car, i'm saving money by using it.

If I had a a commute, which would be Leeds for me, I would buy a commuter 125, the CG I had when i was learning, was fantastic on petrol.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 23:17 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

Heard that theory about creating oil before, but to be honest dismissed it so much out of hand that I never bothered reading up on it.

Interesting idea. But sounds too good to be true.

All the best

Keith
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Craggles
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PostPosted: 23:30 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
Maybe it does, but there seems little point in subsidising public transport to save fuel when public transport is no more fuel efficient.


I'm referring more to services like trains... these can be powered by electricity which can be generated from a number of sources - some of which are very inefficent and rely on fossil fuels but others are not.

Hopefully we'll begin to see Fusion reactors become viable in the next 20 years...

Craig
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Davo
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PostPosted: 23:41 - 13 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Any one fancy doing an a LPG conversion for their bike?

I'm seriously thinking of ditching the car completly for commuting and either cycling to work (its only 12 miles) or getting around to assembling the CG125 in the garage, and using that.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 00:07 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Craggles wrote:
I'm referring more to services like trains... these can be powered by electricity which can be generated from a number of sources - some of which are very inefficent and rely on fossil fuels but others are not.


Maybe, but fossil fuels are currently the cheapest way to get electricity so you can guess where the power will come from.

Personally I would suggest that using other sources for elextricity generation has a big advantage for saving oil for those uses it is better at.

All the best

Keith
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mchaggis
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PostPosted: 00:11 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kickstart wrote:
Personally I would suggest that using other sources for electricity generation has a big advantage for saving oil for those uses it is better at.


I think that should really be the issue, not what where we get our energy from. Pretty much anything and everything burns, using oil purely for the purpose of burning it is really rather unneccessary and crude imo.

Give it fifty years and plastics and artificial vaccines will start to become luxury goods. Ceramics, metals and woods shall take precedence again before too long.
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Adam.I
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PostPosted: 00:43 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

I remember reading when I was at school that scientists say the way we are with fuel these day, it'll have run out by 2020. I don't know what to believe. I do think that it WILL eventually 'run out', but if left long enough then it could replenish but surely that would take many many years.
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 00:59 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi

Suspect they were not scientists, but teachers who were not informed. I too was told we had about 20 years worth of oil, but that was in the mid to late 1970s.

Oil reserves are quoted in proven reserves, and these can go up and down. Eg, there might be a giant oil reserve under London (unlikely I know, bear with me), but at current prices of around $50 a barrel this is not viable to extract so is not counted. Price rises to $100 a barrel and it becomes viable (yea, right) and is counted.

All the best

Keith
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mchaggis
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PostPosted: 01:02 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's one of the reasons I'm considering going to Aberdeen to work in the oil industry. It's booming, not because they're necessarily pumping any more oil, but because they're getting paid so much more for the same thing.
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stinkwheel
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PostPosted: 01:09 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Legnum Boy wrote:

As for oil reserves, they will never run out.... Anyone (myself included) that used to believe the old - oil is dead animals and trees routine - open your eyes a bit. It's been proven that oil is a naturally produced by-product of the earths core fussion (sp) process.


Well, since a guy I know had a full time, very well paid job studying microfossils of diatoms (microscopic plankton that store energy in the form of an oil rather than carbohydrate) in North Sea core samples to predict where and what sort of oil they are going to find. I would say the above is a bit far-fetched.

Quote:
What's the difference between nuclear Fusion and Fission then?


Fission is the splitting of very heavy elements such as plutonium and uranium into smaller elements releasing huge quantities of heat, but also lots of radiation and highly radioactive by products. ie what is used in nuclear power stations.

Fusion is the sticking together of small light elements (such as hydrogen) to make slightly bigger ones (such as helium) releasing MASSIVE quantities of energy and less radiation. ie what happens in the sun.

Quote:

Will we ever see a nuclear or hydrogen powered bike.

Unlikley to see a nuclear powered one any time soon unless we can perfect small scale nuclear fusion and find a way of harnessing the energy produced that does not involve boiling water with the heat produced to power a steam turbine (which is what a nuclear power plant does, no matter how high-tech they would have you believe it is).

Hydrogen power cells are certainly possible, even now. There are however problems with the safety of carrying compressed hydrogen about and the amount of pollution produced in making the hydrogen in the first place.

Quote:
Will the effin rain ever go off?

Yes.

stinkwheel
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THCi
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PostPosted: 02:16 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

Personally, I believe Oil is going to run out, not within the next 20 years, but within the next 50? Who knows.

China is gonna start taking a MASSIVE chunk of the worlds oil soon, afterall it is the most populous country on the face of the earth (or was that India?).

We could all do what they do in India, use petrol to START your engine, then run them on vegetable oil, theres a plus point in this for 2stroke owners... no need to add oil! Wink

That diesel bike looks interesting, but as someone said, diesel costs are sky rocketing as people catch on that diesel isnt as bad as it was 10 even 5 years ago. That Honda add with the rabbits and stuff comes to mind.

What ever happens, we are in for a sea of change, and soon-ish.
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jimster
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PostPosted: 07:04 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

stinkwheel wrote:
a guy I know had a full time, very well paid job studying microfossils of diatoms in North Sea core samples


Not that I think it's a sensible theory, but the presence of organic materials is dealt with by saying that microbes enter the oil after it's formed, and start eating it. (!) However the guy was a respected scientist from Cornell, so if you want an ostrich theory to help you sleep at night, this is the one! Wink

kickstart wrote:
Oil reserves are quoted in proven reserves


Oil reserves aren't proven. Kuwait says that it hasn't depleted its oil supplies at all in 20 years, despite pumping millions of barrels a day. No-one knows how much oil is really out there. And with China's demand and the lack of alternatives to oil, at some point there has to be a crash. I just hope it's 30 years away.

PS I don't agree that when oil goes, there'll be enough alternative energy supplies to maintain our standard of living - unless there are some incredible leaps in technology or someone cracks fusion power.

https://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4681935.stm
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mchaggis
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PostPosted: 13:26 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

jimster wrote:
And with China's demand and the lack of alternatives to oil, at some point there has to be a crash. I just hope it's 30 years away.

PS I don't agree that when oil goes, there'll be enough alternative energy supplies to maintain our standard of living - unless there are some incredible leaps in technology or someone cracks fusion power.


There're plenty of alternatives to oil. Bio-diesel and alcohol are the main ones. Just because they're not* financially favourable just now doesn't mean they won't become so.


*I assume they're not, it might well just be reluctance to change and a willingness to screw the population over which means we can't get a hold of them easily yet.
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THCi
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PostPosted: 13:59 - 14 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

The good things about biodiesel and alcohol are that they are a renewable energy source. Which means, as we use them there will be less polution because they are actually made of that polution (crops take in carbon dioxide), in a way anyway.

Will be a cleaner planet to live in when we start using biofuels in greater volumes. Thumbs Up
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Kickstart
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PostPosted: 01:49 - 15 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

jimster wrote:
Oil reserves aren't proven. Kuwait says that it hasn't depleted its oil supplies at all in 20 years, despite pumping millions of barrels a day.


Err, quite. Provem reserves at current rates of consumption. Use some and they go down, find new easily extracted reserves and they go up. It has very little to do with how much is actually there.

All the best

Keith
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Chriss
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PostPosted: 06:39 - 15 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

stinkwheel wrote:

Hydrogen power cells are certainly possible, even now. There are however problems with the safety of carrying compressed hydrogen about and the amount of pollution produced in making the hydrogen in the first place.


I can imagine the witness report now: "I heard this squeeky popping noise..."
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jimster
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PostPosted: 21:48 - 16 Aug 2005    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think people will look back on us as the most wasteful generation ever.
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